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GARCIA MOLINOS JORGE

Arctic Research CenterAssociate Professor

Researcher basic information

■ Degree
  • PhD, Zoology, University of Dublin, Trinity College, Ireland
  • Postgraduate Diploma, Statistics, University of Dublin, Trinity College, Ireland
  • MSc Aquatic Ecosystem Management, School of Life Sciences, Napier University, UK
  • BSc Forestry, Universidad de Valladolid, Spain
■ URL
researchmap URLホームページURL■ Various IDs
J-Global ID■ Research Keywords and Fields
Research Keyword
  • Arctic
  • Aquatic ecology
  • Disturbance ecology
  • Biogeography
  • Climate change ecology
Research Field
  • Life Science, Aquatic life science
  • Environmental Science/Agriculture Science, Conservation of biological resources
  • Environmental Science/Agriculture Science, Environmental dynamic analysis, Ecology
■ Educational Organization

Career

■ Career
Career
  • Feb. 2016 - Present
    Hokkaido University, Arctic Research Center, Assistant Professor
  • Jul. 2015 - Dec. 2015
    National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, Japan, Center for Environmental Biology and Ecosystem Studies, Research Associate
  • Apr. 2013 - Oct. 2015
    Scottish Association for Marine Science, Ecology Department, Research Associate in Climate Change Ecology
  • Oct. 2014 - Mar. 2015
    National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, Japan, Center for Environmental Biology and Ecosystem Studies, Visiting researcher
  • Aug. 2011 - Feb. 2013
    University of Dublin, Trinity College, Ecology Department, Research Associate
  • Sep. 2005 - Sep. 2006
    Environment Protection Agency (Zamora, Spain), Wildlife Division, Forestry Engineer
  • Jul. 2001 - Feb. 2003
    Estudios y Proyectos Linea (Environment Consultancy), Forestry engineer
  • Apr. 2000 - Jul. 2000
    National Botanic Gardens, Assistant curator
Educational Background
  • Sep. 2006 - Jul. 2010, University of Dublin, Trinity College, Zoology, PhD
  • 2008 - 2008, University of Dublin, Trinity Col lege, Statistics, Postgraduate Diploma
  • Sep. 2003 - Sep. 2004, Napier University, School of Life Sciences, MSc Aquatic Ecosystem Management
  • Sep. 1999 - Jul. 2003, Universidad de Valladolid, Escuela Universitaria Politecnica Agraria, Ingeniero Superior de Montes (BSc Forestry Engineer)
  • 2002 - 2003, Universidad de Valladolid, Postgraduate Certificate in Education
  • Sep. 1994 - Sep. 1998, Universidad de Valladolid, Escuela Universitaria Politecnica Agraria, Ingeniero Tecnico Forestal (Diploma Forestry Engineer)
Committee Memberships
  • Jan. 2019 - Dec. 2022
    Associate Editor Limnology (Springer), Others
  • Aug. 2018 - Sep. 2021
    Ecofortitude NGO, Board Member, Others

Research activity information

■ Awards
  • Napier University, Edinburgh, U.K., Karen Fretwell Memorial award by Napier University
    Best student of 2003-2004 MSc Aquatic Ecosystem Management
    JORGE GARCIA MOLINOS
■ Papers
  • The effects of self-governance arrangements on the climate change resilience of small-scale fisheries in Mexico
    Xochitl Édua Elías Ilosvay; Sarah Elkin; Sebastian C.A. Ferse; Eréndira Aceves-Bueno; Javier Tovar-Ávila; Jhosafat Rentería-Bravo; Irving Alexis Medina Santiago; Jorge García Molinos; Elena Ojea
    Global Environmental Change, Jul. 2026
    Scientific journal
  • Acidification and deoxygenation matter in assessing redistribution of global cold‐water coral biodiversity induced by climate change
    Shuaishuai Liu; Bingqing Xiao; Ákos Bede‐Fazekas; Stefano Mammola; Jorge García Molinos; Jamie M. Kass; Jorge Assis; Chen Lin; Junmei Qu; Hongwei Huang; Qiang Lin; Zhixin Zhang
    Limnology and Oceanography, Mar. 2026
    English, Scientific journal, Abstract
    The ocean is undergoing significant changes, including warming, acidification, and deoxygenation, which pose great challenges to marine biodiversity. However, most models projecting the impacts of climate change on marine species overlook predictor variables critically meaningful for species' ecologies such as pH and dissolved oxygen. The recent release of high‐resolution projections of different future climate‐change scenarios offers the opportunity to explore species redistribution under multiple threats beyond ocean warming. Accordingly, we conducted a global comparative analysis to study the impact of incorporating predictor variables describing pH and dissolved oxygen into marine species distribution models. We used models trained for 268 cold‐water coral species to project potential future distributions for different climate and dispersal scenarios over different time periods. We found that, irrespective of scenario or period, models using pH and dissolved oxygen projected 11.5–21.4% higher impacts of climate change than those without them. For instance, by the end of the century under a high emission scenario, models including pH and oxygen projected an average range contraction of 48.2% for cold‐water corals under a no‐dispersal scenario, compared with a 26.8% contraction projected by models excluding these two predictors. Given the substantial differences in the predicted distribution patterns and the biological importance of these variables, we highlight that researchers should consider more diverse sets of predictor variables when predicting future range shifts for marine biodiversity assessments under climate change.
  • Temperature regimes shape similarity of life-history strategies between native and non-native freshwater fishes
    Guohuan Su; Kangshun Zhao; Julian Olden; Jorge García Molinos; Chunlong Liu; Min Zhang; Jun Xu; Otso Ovaskainen
    19 Jan. 2026
  • Factors influencing public awareness and attitudes toward biodiversity conservation in africa: a systematic review
    Robertson Freeman; Jorge García Molinos
    Biodiversity and Conservation, Jan. 2026
    Scientific journal
  • Climate-driven shifts in marine habitat explain recent declines of Japanese Chum salmon
    Irene D. Alabia; Sei-Ichi Saitoh; Jorge García Molinos; Takafumi Hirata; Yasuyuki Miyakoshi; Fumihiro Takahashi; Hiromichi Ueno; Masahide Kaeriyama
    Scientific Reports, 15, 1, Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 03 Dec. 2025
    Scientific journal
  • Multiple Stressors From Climate Warming, Neonicotinoid Pesticide, and Nutrient Loading Alter Zooplankton Predator–Prey Dynamics in Freshwaters
    Huan Zhang; Yulu Wang; Peiyu Zhang; Lars‐Anders Hansson; Jorge García Molinos; Konghao Zhu; Hailu Li; Huan Wang; Hongxia Wang; Yingchun Gong; Liang He; Min Zhang; Jun Xu
    Freshwater Biology, 70, 11, Wiley, 21 Nov. 2025
    Scientific journal, ABSTRACT

    Climate warming, nutrient loading, and pesticide pollution are major anthropogenic stressors affecting community dynamics and trophic interactions in aquatic ecosystems. However, the complex interplay among these stressors remains poorly understood as most studies focus on a single stressor and overlook the effects of temporal variations.

    To address this knowledge gap, we first conducted a long‐term outdoor experiment to examine the effects of climate warming, nutrient loading, and a neonicotinoid pesticide (imidacloprid) on the responses of the common predator–prey pair cyclopoid copepods and rotifers. Additionally, a follow‐up laboratory experiment was conducted to assess the dose‐dependent impact of imidacloprid on the predation rate of cyclopoid copepods on rotifers, and to explore mechanistic alterations in biotic interactions resulting from predator responses to varying neonicotinoid concentrations.

    The neonicotinoid pesticide was the most influential stressor, significantly reducing cyclopoid copepod populations thereby positively affecting rotifer abundances due to a release from predation. Nutrient loading boosted copepod abundances but weakened their top‐down control on rotifer prey, disrupting predator–prey dynamics. Warming had negligible effects on copepod abundances, but ultimately increased rotifer abundances.

    Warming predominantly influenced rotifer abundances during the establishment phase, whereas the effects of the pesticide became more pronounced during subsequent growth and reproduction phases. Conversely, the neonicotinoid pesticide consistently emerged as the primary stressor impacting cyclopoid copepods throughout the experiment.

    Our study underscores the importance of considering temporal dynamics when assessing the combined effects of multiple stressors for understanding responses among interacting organisms and highlights the significance of organism life history stages in their distinct reactions to specific compounded threats over time.
  • Aquaculture coupled with trade is sustaining growth and improving stability in global aquatic food supply
    Kangshun Zhao; Steven D. Gaines; Jorge García Molinos; Juan Du; Hongxia Wang; Min Zhang; Jun Xu
    Aquaculture, 743460, 743460, Elsevier BV, Nov. 2025
    Scientific journal
  • Integrating expert range maps and opportunistic occurrence records of marine fish species in range estimates
    Zhixin Zhang; Ákos Bede‐Fazekas; Jorge García Molinos; Stefano Mammola; Jamie M. Kass; Junmei Qu; Julian Oeser; Songxi Yuan; Chongliang Zhang; Jiqi Gu; Liuyong Ding; Qiang Lin
    Conservation Biology, Wiley, 30 Sep. 2025
    Scientific journal, Abstract

    Species distribution models (SDMs) are commonly used to estimate species’ geographic distributions to inform biodiversity assessments and conservation planning. However, despite their growing popularity, range predictions of SDMs are affected by biases in opportunistic occurrence records and the lack of information on range limits. Integration of expert range maps in SDMs could help, but this strategy is still rarely used, especially for marine species. We built SDMs for 196 marine fish species with global distributions of Epinephelidae and Syngnathidae, 4 modeling algorithms, and opportunistic occurrence data. We then developed 2 types of SDM ensembles (i.e., combined predictions of multiple individual SDMs): with and without integration of expert range maps. We quantified the level of dissimilarity in range estimates between the 2 ensembles and explored the effects of taxonomic identity, geographic attributes, and conservation status on dissimilarity in model predictions. Although both types of ensembles had good predictive performance, ensembles informed by expert range maps avoided overpredictions of ranges past geographical barriers. Moreover, the dissimilarity between predictions of the 2 ensembles depended on multiple factors, including the number and extent of opportunistic occurrences, distance of occurrences to the expert range polygons, and fish family. Based on our findings, we recommend that researchers combine complementary information provided by expert range maps and opportunistic occurrences when predicting marine species distributions with SDMs.
  • Towards an integrated assessment of the Arctic marine ecosystems in response to abrupt environmental changes: Contribution from the Arctic challenge for sustainability II (ArCS II) project
    Takafumi Hirata; Irene D. Alabia; Amane Fujiwara; Yuri Fukai; Jorge García Molinos; Akihide Kasai; Tatsuya Kawakami; Kohei Matsuno; Jonaotaro Onodera; Takuhei Shiozaki; Hiromichi Ueno; Eiji Watanabe
    Polar Science, Sep. 2025
    Scientific journal
  • Differences in predictions of marine species distribution models based on expert maps and opportunistic occurrences
    Zhixin Zhang; Jamie M. Kass; Ákos Bede‐Fazekas; Stefano Mammola; Junmei Qu; Jorge García Molinos; Jiqi Gu; Hongwei Huang; Meng Qu; Ying Yue; Geng Qin; Qiang Lin
    Conservation Biology, Aug. 2025
    Scientific journal
  • Mapping fine-scale distribution of the northern pika Ochotona hyperborea considering duality in microhabitat thermal conditions
    Tomoki Sakiyama; Jorge García Molinos
    Frontiers of Biogeography, 20 Mar. 2025
    Scientific journal
  • Strategic planning could reduce farm-scale mariculture impacts on marine biodiversity while expanding seafood production
    Deqiang Ma; Benjamin S. Halpern; Briana Abrahms; Jacob Allgeier; Jorge García Molinos; Christopher M. Free; Melanie Frazier; Kristin Kaschner; Brian C. Weeks; Neil H. Carter
    Nature Ecology & Evolution, 19 Feb. 2025
    Scientific journal
  • Changes in a Generalist Predator’s Trophic Information Signals Ecological Resilience Erosion and Regime Shifts
    H. Wang; J. García Molinos; P. Vasilakopoulos; S. Xie; P. Zhang; H. Zhang; J. Xu
    Journal of Environmental Informatics, 45, 13, 26, International Society for Environmental Information Science (ISEIS), Jan. 2025, [Peer-reviewed]
    Scientific journal, Generalist predators are characterized as sentinel species because they are conspicuous, occupy top trophic positions of the food chain, and have life history traits that make their trophic information sensitive to ecosystem state alteration. Here, we test if changes in the trophic information of a generalist predator along an eutrophication gradient can be used to determine the regime shift of lake ecosystems between clear and turbid states and provide reliable estimates of their resilience. We find that redfin culter (Chanodichthys erythropterus) trophic information responded differently to eutrophication than traditional indicators. Trophic tipping points, reached at 14.90% coverage of macrophyte, appeared earlier than those of traditional indicators. Further, the hysteresis associated to the predator’s state characterized by prey reliance on benthic fishes of low trophic signature was found to be greater than that of the ‘macrophyte-poor’ turbid state. Conclusively, generalist predators can not only serve as sentinels of the ecosystem, but also be the last barrier to be broken through in restoring the ecosystem.
  • Future climate and land use changes challenge current dependencies on wild food harvesting by rural indigenous communities
    Jorge García Molinos; Daichi Yamada; Varvara Parilova; Shokhrukh Khasanov; Viacheslav Gabyshev; Andrey Makarov; Daiju Narita; Innokentiy Okhlopkov; Zhixin Zhang; Stephen C Sakapaji; Tuyara Gavrilyeva
    PNAS Nexus, 28 Nov. 2024
    Scientific journal
  • Coastal fisheries adaptations to increasing climate change exposure in Japan
    Xochitl Edua Elias Ilosvay; Naoki H. Kumagai; Jorge García Molinos; Elena Ojea
    People and Nature, 23 Oct. 2024
    English, Scientific journal, Abstract


    Climate change‐driven ocean warming is altering the geographic ranges of species, leading to a poleward shift of tropical species into temperate regions (tropicalisation). This threatens the native marine community assemblages by changing the availability of traditional marine resources, thus impacting the livelihood and well‐being of coastal fisheries. Fishers' individual responses are expected to transition from remaining to coping and from adapting to transforming as climate change exposure increases, yet empirical evidence is limited.

    The existing strong thermal gradient along the western coast of Shikoku (Japan), an area experiencing tropicalisation, provides a unique opportunity to analyse how regions facing different climate change exposure levels (North: low, Centre: medium and South: high) affect fishers' responses in relation to their adaptive capacity. Data from 92 face‐to‐face interviews with small‐scale fishers from 25 locations revealed that the largest proportion of coping and adaptive responses is in the Central region, while remaining responses predominated in the Northern and Southern regions.

    Results from a multinomial logistic model indicate that the exposure level is a good predictor for coping and adaptive responses but not for transformative ones. This possibly reflects the fact that these fishers might have exited coastal fisheries prior to our study as suggested by the strong fisher population decrease in the communities from the Southern region over the last three decades.

    This study provides novel empirical evidence on how climate change exposure influences fishers' responses to past and current climate change impacts, highlighting the intricate interplay between exposure level and individual adaptive capacity.

    Read the free Plain Language Summary for this article on the Journal blog.
  • Northern pikas experience reduced occupancy due to surrounding human land use despite the occurrence of suitable microclimates
    Tomoki Sakiyama; Jorge García Molinos
    Journal of Biogeography, Jul. 2024
    Scientific journal
  • Future redistribution of fishery resources suggests biological and economic trade-offs according to the severity of the emission scenario
    Irene D. Alabia; Jorge García Molinos; Takafumi Hirata; Daiju Narita; Toru Hirawake
    PLOS ONE, 19, 6, e0304718, e0304718, Public Library of Science (PLoS), 06 Jun. 2024
    English, Scientific journal, Climate change is anticipated to have long-term and pervasive effects on marine ecosystems, with cascading consequences to many ocean-reliant sectors. For the marine fisheries sector, these impacts can be further influenced by future socio-economic and political factors. This raises the need for robust projections to capture the range of potential biological and economic risks and opportunities posed by climate change to marine fisheries. Here, we project future changes in the abundance of eight commercially important fish and crab species in the eastern Bering Sea and Chukchi Sea under different CMIP6 Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) leading to contrasting future (2021–2100) scenarios of warming, sea ice concentration, and net primary production. Our results revealed contrasting patterns of abundance and distribution changes across species, time periods and climate scenarios, highlighting potential winners and losers under future climate change. In particular, the least changes in future species abundance and distribution were observed under SSP126. However, under the extreme scenario (SSP585), projected Pacific cod and snow crab abundances increased and decreased, respectively, with concurrent zonal and meridional future shifts in their centers of gravity. Importantly, projected changes in species abundance suggest that fishing at the same distance from the current major port in the Bering Sea (i.e., Dutch Harbor) could yield declining catches for highly valuable fisheries (e.g., Pacific cod and snow crab) under SSP585. This is driven by strong decreases in future catches of highly valuable species despite minimal declines in maximum catch potential, which are dominated by less valuable taxa. Hence, our findings show that projected changes in abundance and shifting distributions could have important biological and economic impacts on the productivity of commercial and subsistence fisheries in the eastern Bering and Chukchi seas, with potential implications for the effective management of transboundary resources.
  • Incorporating physiological knowledge into correlative species distribution models minimizes bias introduced by the choice of calibration area
    Zhixin Zhang; Jinxin Zhou; Jorge García Molinos; Stefano Mammola; Ákos Bede-Fazekas; Xiao Feng; Daisuke Kitazawa; Jorge Assis; Tianlong Qiu; Qiang Lin
    Marine Life Science & Technology, 13 May 2024
    Scientific journal
  • Macroinvertebrate and environmental responses to dredging and submerged macrophytes transplantation
    hong Fu; 军 徐; Jorge García Molinos; Huan Zhang; Huan Wang; Min Zhang; Megan Klaar; Lee E. Brown
    Journal of Applied Ecology, May 2024
    English, Scientific journal, Abstract


    Eutrophication of freshwater ecosystems is a global problem, but restoration can be difficult due to ongoing problems relating to water pollution, sedimentary nutrient stores and altered aquatic biodiversity. Mitigation of Eutrophication is often conducted alongside transplantation of submerged macrophytes and dredging, but knowledge of ecosystem response to post‐dredging transplantation of submerged macrophytes is limited.

    We report a long‐term (2008–2018) in situ monitoring study to evaluate the effects of different restoration measures: dredging only (Dredged) and dredged with post‐transplantation of submerged macrophytes (Dredged with macrophytes) conducted in five subtropical eutrophic lakes, Taihu basin. Water and sediment nutrients, bloom‐forming algae Microcystis and macroinvertebrate were monitored every 2 years for each treatment and compared with reference areas (Control) established in unrestored parts of the same lake.

    Dredging only decreased sediment nutrients (e.g. carbon, phosphorus) significantly; however, this effect diminished about 5 years later. Dredged with macrophytes had a stronger, longer lasting positive effect on water quality than dredged alone. Disturbance caused by dredging (without macrophytes transplantation) decreased the biomass of Microcystis, while transplantation of macrophytes shortly after dredging did not contribute to the decreasing of Microcystis biomass. The biomass of Microcystis in Dredged with macrophytes areas was always similar to Control over the period of our monitoring.

    A positive effect of submerged macrophytes transplantation post‐dredging was found for macroinvertebrate abundance and diversity: Dredged with macrophytes areas had significantly higher macroinvertebrate biomass and richness than Dredged areas after 9 years' recovery. Macroinvertebrate richness in Dredged with macrophytes areas nearly doubled compared to Control, while Dredged areas were just restored to Control levels.

    Synthesis and applications: Our study provides an long‐term field monitoring with new findings about the benefits and caution of submerged macrophytes transplantation post‐dredging and the effect of partial restoration, which could inform eutrophic waterbody restoration schemes.

  • Navigating Legal and Regulatory Frameworks to Achieve the Resilience and Sustainability of Indigenous Socioecological Systems
    Stephen Chitengi Sakapaji; Jorge García Molinos; Varvara Parilova; Tuyara Gavrilyeva; Natalia Yakovleva
    Resources, 08 Apr. 2024
    Scientific journal
  • Climate velocity drives unexpected southward patterns of species shifts in the Western Mediterranean Sea
    Marina Sanz-Martín; Manuel Hidalgo; Patricia Puerta; Jorge García Molinos; Marina Zamanillo; Isaac Brito-Morales; José Manuel González-Irusta; Antonio Esteban; Antonio Punzón; Encarnación García-Rodríguez; Miguel Vivas; Lucía López-López
    Ecological Indicators, Mar. 2024
    English, Scientific journal
  • Risk from future climate change to Pakistan's protected area network: A composite analysis for hotspot identification
    Muhammad Taimur Siddique; Jorge García Molinos
    Science of The Total Environment, Mar. 2024
    English, Scientific journal
  • Effect of trade on global aquatic food consumption patterns
    Kangshun Zhao; Steven D. Gaines; Jorge García Molinos; Min Zhang; Jun Xu
    Nature Communications, 15 Feb. 2024
    Scientific journal
  • Biogeographical shifts and climate change
    J. García Molinos; J.J. Lawler; I.D. Alabia; J.D. Olden
    Reference Module in Earth Systems and Environmental Sciences, Elsevier, 2024, [Lead author, Corresponding author]
    In book
  • Determinants of small-scale fisheries’ transformative responses under increasing climate change impacts in Nayarit, Mexico
    Xochitl Elías Ilosvay; Jorge García Molinos; Javier Tovar-Ávila; Jhosafat Rentería Bravo; Irving Alexis Medina Santiago; Eréndira Aceves-Bueno; Elena Ojea
    Ecology and Society, 29, 4, Resilience Alliance, Inc., 2024
    Scientific journal
  • Interactions between climate warming, herbicides, and eutrophication in the aquatic food web
    Tao Wang; Peiyu Zhang; Jorge García Molinos; Jiayi Xie; Huan Zhang; Huan Wang; Xiaoqi Xu; Kang Wang; Mingjun Feng; Haowu Cheng; Min Zhang; Jun Xu
    Journal of Environmental Management, 345, 118753, 118753, Nov. 2023
    Scientific journal
  • Efficacy of aural detection methods for detecting Northern Pika (Ochotona hyperborea) occupancy in rocky and densely vegetated habitats
    Tomoki Sakiyama; Jorge García Molinos
    Journal of Mammalogy, Oxford University Press (OUP), 24 Jun. 2023, [Peer-reviewed], [Last author]
    English, Scientific journal, Abstract

    Wildlife monitoring plays a key role in species conservation, with growing importance under the threat of climate change. The Northern Pika (Ochotona hyperborea) is a cold-adapted species found in Hokkaido, Japan, presumably vulnerable to such threats. However, its high elusiveness hinders detailed population surveys, and visual detection methods—often used for other pika species—are not applicable to its densely vegetated habitats. In this study, we assessed the efficacy of aural detection methods to survey the occupancy of Northern Pika through their distinct vocalizations. We conducted two types of point-count surveys—auditory observation and playback—during 2021 at 18 sites in and around Daisetsuzan National Park. We then assessed the efficacy of these methods in detecting presence and compared time until first detection of the animal. The Northern Pika was present at 11 of all surveyed sites, with a predominance at higher elevations. Our results suggest that both auditory observation and playback are effective at detecting presence, but playback is more time-efficient. We discuss the advantages and disadvantages of each method given these results. In conclusion, our results demonstrate that both survey methods are applicable for Northern Pika population surveys—even in densely vegetated habitats—representing valid and affordable survey methods that can help to improve current monitoring and conservation efforts, and will be of increasing value given potentially negative effects of climate change on persistence of the species.
  • Estimating global artisanal fishing fleet responses in an era of rapid climate and economic change
    Alex N. Tidd; Vasquez Caballero; Elena Ojea; Reg A. Watson; Jorge García Molinos
    Frontiers in Marine Science, 10, Frontiers Media SA, 17 Mar. 2023
    Scientific journal, There is an urgent need to assess the extent to which the global fishing enterprise can be sustainable in the face of climate change. Artisanal fishing plays a crucial role in sustaining livelihoods and meeting food security demands in coastal countries. Yet, the ability of the artisanal sector to do so not only depends on the economic efficiency of the fleets, but also on the changing productivity and distribution of target species under rapid climate change in the oceans. These impacts are already leading to sudden declines, long-term collapses in production, or increases in the price of fish products, which can further exacerbate excess levels of fishing capacity. We examined historical changes (1950-2014) in technical efficiency within the global artisanal fishing fleets in relation to sea surface temperature anomalies, market prices by taxonomic group, and fuel costs. We show that temperature anomalies affected countries differently; while some have enhanced production from an increase in the resource distribution, which alter the structure of the ecosystem, others have had to adapt to the negative impacts of seawater warming. In addition, efficiency decreases are also related to rises in global marine fish price, whereby more labour and capital are attracted into the fishery, which in turn can lead to an excess in fleet capacity. Our results contribute to the understanding of how the effects of climate-induced change in the oceans could potentially affect the efficiency of artisanal fishing fleets.
  • Geology‐Climate Interactions are Key Determinants of Climate‐Change Refugia in Japanese Mountain Streams
    Nobuo Ishiyama; Masanao Sueyoshi; Jorge García Molinos; Kenta Iwasaki; Junjiro N. Negishi; Itsuro Koizumi; Shigeya Nagayama; Akiko Nagasaka; Yu Nagasaka; Futoshi Nakamura
    The Bulletin of the Ecological Society of America, Wiley, 15 Mar. 2023
    Scientific journal
  • Pan-Arctic marine biodiversity and species co-occurrence patterns under recent climate
    Irene D. Alabia; Jorge García Molinos; Takafumi Hirata; Franz J. Mueter; Carmen L. David
    Scientific Reports, 13, 1, Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 11 Mar. 2023
    English, Scientific journal, Abstract

    The Arctic region is experiencing drastic climatic changes bringing about potential ecological shifts. Here, we explored marine biodiversity and potential species associations across eight Arctic marine areas between 2000 and 2019. We compiled species occurrences for a subset of 69 marine taxa (i.e., 26 apex predators and 43 mesopredators) and environmental factors to predict taxon-specific distributions using a multi-model ensemble approach. Arctic-wide temporal trends of species richness increased in the last 20 years and highlighted potential emerging areas of species accrual due to climate-driven species redistribution. Further, regional species associations were dominated by positive co-occurrences among species pairs with high frequencies in the Pacific and Atlantic Arctic areas. Comparative analyses of species richness, community composition, and co-occurrence between high and low summer sea ice concentrations revealed contrasting impacts of and detected areas vulnerable to sea ice changes. In particular, low (high) summer sea ice generally resulted in species gains (loss) in the inflow and loss (gains) in the outflow shelves, accompanied by substantial changes in community composition and therefore potential species associations. Overall, the recent changes in biodiversity and species co-occurrences in the Arctic were driven by pervasive poleward range shifts, especially for wide-ranging apex predators. Our findings highlight the varying regional impacts of warming and sea ice loss on Arctic marine communities and provide important insights into the vulnerability of Arctic marine areas to climate change.
  • Underlying geology and climate interactively shape climate change refugia in mountain streams
    Nobuo Ishiyama; Masanao Sueyoshi; Jorge García Molinos; Kenta Iwasaki; Junjiro N. Negishi; Itsuro Koizumi; Shigeya Nagayama; Akiko Nagasaka; Yu Nagasaka; Futoshi Nakamura
    Ecological Monographs, 93, 2, Wiley, 16 Feb. 2023
    Scientific journal
  • The Expected Impacts of Climate Change on the Ocean Economy
    Steve Gaines; Reniel Cabral; Christopher M. Free; Yimnang Golbuu; Ragnar Arnason; Willow Battista; Darcy Bradley; William Cheung; Katharina Fabricius; Ove Hoegh-Guldberg; Marie Antonette Juinio-Meñez; Jorge García Molinos; Elena Ojea; Erin O’Reilly; Carol Turley
    The Blue Compendium, 2023
    English, AbstractThe ocean is critically important to our global economy. Collectively, it is estimated that ocean-based industries and activities contribute hundreds of millions of jobs and approximately US$2.5 trillion to the global economy each year, making it the world’s seventh-largest economy when compared with national gross domestic products (GDPs) (Hoegh-Guldberg 2015; IPCC 2019). In addition, the nonmarket services and benefits provided by the ocean are significant and may in fact far exceed the value added by market-based goods and services (Costanza et al. 2014).
  • Climate, currents and species traits contribute to early stages of marine species redistribution
    Jorge García Molinos; Heather L. Hunt; Madeline E. Green; Curtis Champion; Jason R. Hartog; Gretta T. Pecl
    Communications Biology, 5, 1329, Dec. 2022, [Peer-reviewed], [Lead author]
    English, Scientific journal
  • A meta-analysis of environmental responses to freshwater ecosystem restoration in China (1987–2018)
    Hong Fu; Jun Xu; Huan Zhang; Jorge García Molinos; Min Zhang; Megan Klaar; Lee E. Brown
    Environmental Pollution, 316, 120589, 120589, Elsevier BV, Nov. 2022
    English, Scientific journal
  • Stronger adaptive response among small-scale fishers experiencing greater climate change hazard exposure
    Xochitl Édua Elías Ilosvay; Jorge García Molinos; Elena Ojea
    Communications Earth & Environment, 20 Oct. 2022
    Scientific journal
  • Need to shift in river-lake connection scheme under the “ten-year fishing ban” in the Yangtze River, China
    Ruilong Wang; Yi Han; Fei Fan; Jorge García Molinos; Jun Xu; Kexiong Wang; Ding Wang; Zhigang Mei
    Ecological Indicators, 143, 109434, 109434, Elsevier BV, Oct. 2022
    English, Scientific journal
  • Faster ocean warming threatens richest areas of marine biodiversity
    Stuart C. Brown; Camille Mellin; Jorge García Molinos; Eline D. Lorenzen; Damien A. Fordham
    Global Change Biology, Wiley, Oct. 2022
    Scientific journal
  • Climate change and fishing are pulling the functional diversity of the world's largest marine fisheries to opposite extremes
    Kangshun Zhao; Steven D. Gaines; Jorge García Molinos; Min Zhang; 军 徐
    Global Ecology and Biogeography, 31, 8, 1616, 1629, Wiley, Aug. 2022
    English, Scientific journal, AbstractAimMarine biodiversity is increasingly threatened by overfishing and climate change, but it is still unclear how these drivers have shaped the functional diversity (FD) of marine fish. Here, we explore how the FD of commercial marine fish communities responds to climate change and fishing pressure.Major taxa studiedMarine fish.LocationChina Seas.Time period1989–2018.MethodsWe used a catch database of four individual species and 12 species groups that were reported continuously in China from 1989 to 2018. Seven traits were selected to calculate FD. We adopted generalized linear mixed models to analyse the complex relationship among climate change, fishing pressure and several metrics of marine fish FD. We identified the percentage change in diversity for communities to assess the relative contribution of each species or species group by removing individual species or a species group from the dataset.ResultsClimate change and fishing pressure exerted statistically significant opposing effects on the functional evenness (FEve) and functional divergence (FDiv) of commercial fish communities. Increasing sea surface temperature had a significant positive effect on FEve but a negative effect on FDiv. In contrast, increasing fishing pressure had the opposite effects on FEve and FDiv. These results were driven by the significantly varying relative contributions of fish species or species groups to the functional space, whereby low‐trophic‐level pelagic fish species or species groups are closer to the boundaries of the functional trait space than high‐trophic‐level demersal fish species or species groups.Main conclusionsThe FD of commercial marine fish communities responds significantly to climate warming and increasing fishing pressure, with opposite effects driven by different response patterns of fish species or species groups. Our results suggest that management actions should address the two issues simultaneously, because considering only one will unleash greater functional changes in the other.
  • Biological traits, geographic distributions, and species conservation in aquatic ecosystems
    Yun‐Wei Dong; Jorge García Molinos; Eric R. Larson; Qiang Lin; Xuan Liu; Gianluca Sarà; Qing‐Hua Cai; Zhixin Zhang; Brian Helmuth; Amanda Bates
    Diversity and Distributions, Aug. 2022
    Scientific journal
  • Study protocol: International joint research project ‘climate change resilience of Indigenous socioecological systemsʼ (RISE)
    Jorge García Molinos; Gideon Kruseman; Tuyara Gavrilyeva; Pattamaporn Joompa; Daiju Narita; Sinee Chotiboriboon; Varvara Parilova; Solot Sirisai; Innokentiy Okhlopkov; Zhixin Zhang; Natalia Yakovleva; Prapa Kongpunya; Sueppong Gowachirapant; Viacheslav Gabyshev; Wantanee Kriengsinyos
    PLOS ONE, 17, 7, e0271792, e0271792, Public Library of Science (PLoS), 21 Jul. 2022
    Scientific journal, Background

    Anthropogenic changes in the environment are increasingly threatening the sustainability of socioecological systems on a global scale. As stewards of the natural capital of over a quarter of the world’s surface area, Indigenous Peoples (IPs), are at the frontline of these changes. Indigenous socioecological systems (ISES) are particularly exposed and sensitive to exogenous changes because of the intimate bounds of IPs with nature. Traditional food systems (TFS) represent one of the most prominent components of ISES, providing not only diverse and nutritious food but also critical socioeconomic, cultural, and spiritual assets. However, a proper understanding of how future climate change may compromise TFS through alterations of related human-nature interactions is still lacking. Climate change resilience of indigenous socioecological systems (RISE) is a new joint international project that aims to fill this gap in knowledge.

    Methods and design

    RISE will use a comparative case study approach coupling on-site socioeconomic, nutritional, and ecological surveys of the target ISES of Sakha (Republic of Sakha, Russian Federation) and Karen (Kanchanaburi, Thailand) people with statistical models projecting future changes in the distribution and composition of traditional food species under contrasting climate change scenarios. The results presented as alternative narratives of future climate change impacts on TFS will be integrated into a risk assessment framework to explore potential vulnerabilities of ISES operating through altered TFS, and possible adaptation options through stakeholder consultation so that lessons learned can be applied in practice.

    Discussion

    By undertaking a comprehensive analysis of the socioeconomic and nutritional contributions of TFS toward the sustainability of ISES and projecting future changes under alternative climate change scenarios, RISE is strategically designed to deliver novel and robust science that will contribute towards the integration of Indigenous issues within climate change and sustainable agendas while generating a forum for discussion among Indigenous communities and relevant stakeholders. Its goal is to promote positive co-management and regional development through sustainability and climate change adaptation.
  • Timescale mediates the effects of environmental controls on water temperature in mid- to low-order streams
    Jorge García Molinos; Ishiyama Nobuo; Masanao Sueyoshi; Futoshi Nakamura
    Scientific Reports, 18 Jul. 2022
    Scientific journal
  • Expanding ocean food production under climate change
    Christopher M. Free; Reniel B. Cabral; Halley E. Froehlich; Willow Battista; Elena Ojea; Erin O’Reilly; James E. Palardy; Jorge García Molinos; Katherine J. Siegel; Ragnar Arnason; Marie Antonette Juinio-Meñez; Katharina Fabricius; Carol Turley; Steven D. Gaines
    Nature, 605, 7910, 490, 496, Springer Science and Business Media {LLC}, 19 May 2022
    Scientific journal
  • The role of geology in creating stream climate-change refugia along climate gradients
    Nobuo Ishiyama; Masanao Sueyoshi; García Molinos Jorge; Kenta Iwasaki; N Junjiro Negishi; Itsuro Koizumi; Shigeya Nagayama; Akiko Nagasaka; Yu Nagasaka; Futoshi Nakamura
    Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory, 04 May 2022
    Scientific journal
  • Towards climate-smart, three-dimensional protected areas for biodiversity conservation in the high seas
    Isaac Brito-Morales; David S. Schoeman; Jason D. Everett; Carissa J. Klein; Daniel C. Dunn; Jorge García Molinos; Michael T. Burrows; Kristine Camille V. Buenafe; Rosa Mar Dominguez; Hugh P. Possingham; Anthony J. Richardson
    Nature Climate Change, 12, 4, 402, 407, Springer Science and Business Media {LLC}, Apr. 2022
    Scientific journal
  • Plasticity in rotifer morphology induced by conflicting threats from multiple predators
    Huan Zhang; Yuhan He; Liang He; Kangshun Zhao; Jorge García Molinos; Lars-Anders Hansson; Jun Xu
    Freshwater Biology, 67, 3, 498, 507, Wiley, Mar. 2022
    English, Scientific journal, AbstractOne of the major research goals in ecology is to understand predator–prey interactions. However, our understanding of how prey express phenotypic plasticity in response to co‐occurring multiple predators is limited in many systems.Here, we use the rotiferBrachionus calyciflorusas model organism to test how prey responds to co‐occurring predators through a series of related experiments. Firstly, we examined the effects of the density of a fish predatorCarassius auratuson morphological traits inBcalyciflorus. Secondly, we examined the effects of larvalCauratusandAsplanchna brightwellii(a rotifer predator) on morphological defensive traits (body length, body width, anterior spine length, and posterolateral spine length) ofBcalyciflorus.We show thatBcalyciflorusdevelops smaller body size and shorter spine length when exposed to media conditioned using larval fish, and that high larval fish densities induce more pronounced responses than low densities. We also show thatBcalyciflorusis able to discriminate between the two predators by producing opposing morphological adaptations (i.e., larger body size and longer posterolateral spines againstAbrightwellii,but smaller body size and shorter spine length when exposed to the visual predator [larval fish]). However,Bcalyciflorusdevelops intermediate, trade‐off responses in all morphological traits when exposed to conflicting threats from a combination of predators with different size and feeding strategies.These results show how prey are not necessarily passive victims, but rather, use countermeasures against predation – they actively develop responses to counteract their vulnerability to different predators by rapidly adjusting their morphology and life‐history traits to the existing predator regimes.
  • Predators mitigate the destabilising effects of heatwaves on multitrophic stream communities
    Samuel R. P.‐J. Ross; Jorge García Molinos; Atsushi Okuda; Jackson Johnstone; Keisuke Atsumi; Ryo Futamura; Maureen A. Williams; Yuichi Matsuoka; Jiro Uchida; Shoji Kumikawa; Hiroshi Sugiyama; Osamu Kishida; Ian Donohue
    Global Change Biology, 28, 2, 403, 416, Wiley, Jan. 2022
    Scientific journal
  • Mitigation of urbanization effects on aquatic ecosystems by synchronous ecological restoration.
    Hong Fu; Pierre Gaüzère; Jorge García Molinos; Peiyu Zhang; Huan Zhang; Min Zhang; Yuan Niu; Hui Yu; Lee E Brown; Jun Xu
    Water research, 204, 117587, 117587, 01 Oct. 2021, [International Magazine]
    English, Scientific journal, Ecosystem degradation and biodiversity loss have been caused by economic booms in developing countries over recent decades. In response, ecosystem restoration projects have been advanced in some countries but the effectiveness of different approaches and indicators at large spatio-temporal scales (i.e., whole catchments) remains poorly understood. This study assessed the effectiveness of a diverse array of 440 aquatic restoration projects including wastewater treatment, constructed wetlands, plant/algae salvage and dredging of contaminated sediments implemented and maintained from 2007 to 2017 across more than 2000 km2 of the northwest Taihu basin (Yixing, China). Synchronized investigations of water quality and invertebrate communities were conducted before and after restoration. Our analysis showed that even though there was rapid urbanization at this time, nutrient concentrations (NH4+-N, TN, TP) and biological indices of benthic invertebrate (taxonomic richness, Shannon diversity, sensitive taxon density) improved significantly across most of the study area. Improvements were associated with the type of restoration project, with projects targeting pollution-sources leading to the clearest ecosystem responses compared with those remediating pollution sinks. However, in some locations, the recovery of biotic communities appears to lag behind nutrients (e.g., nitrogen and phosphorus), likely reflecting long-distance re-colonization routes for invertebrates given the level of pre-restoration degradation of the catchment. Overall, the study suggests that ecological damage caused by recent rapid economic development in China could potentially be mitigated by massive restoration investments synchronized across whole catchments, although these effects could be expected to be enhanced if urbanization rates were reduced at the same time.
  • Synergistic effects of warming and eutrophication alert zooplankton predator‐prey interactions along the benthic–pelagic interface
    Huan Zhang; Peiyu Zhang; Huan Wang; Jorge Garc{\'{\i } }a Molinos; Lars-Anders Hansson; Liang He; Min Zhang; Jun Xu
    Global Change Biology, 27, 22, 5907, 5919, Wiley, 14 Aug. 2021, [International Magazine]
    English, Scientific journal, Contemporary evidence suggests that climate change and other co-occurring large-scale environmental changes, such as eutrophication, will have a considerable impact on aquatic communities. However, the interactions of these environmental changes on trophic interactions among zooplankton remain largely unknown. Here we present results of a mesocosm experiment examining how a couple of zooplankton predator and prey taxa with different life-history strategies respond to the combined effect of an increase in temperature (4.5°C) and in eutrophication (phosphorus addition), during the crucial recruiting and growing season. We show that the addition of phosphorus alone significantly weakened the top-down effects by the cyclopoid copepod predators on their rotifer prey. In contrast, warming strengthened the top-down effects from the predator, leading to a reduction in the abundance of the rotifer prey. These effects of warming were enhanced by phosphorus addition. Together, our results demonstrate that warming made plankton prey organisms more susceptible to top-down effects from predators, but reduced their sensitivity to nutrient enrichment. In terms of the phenological effects, warming advanced the termination of diapause for both rotifers and cyclopoid copepods by about 2 weeks, but these temporal shifts, akin for both groups, resulted in no apparent trophic mismatch. Hence, from a future perspective, cyclopoid copepods are likely to benefit more from the combination of nutrient enrichment and climate warming to the detriment of their rotifer prey.
  • Eutrophication causes invertebrate biodiversity loss and decreases cross-taxon congruence across anthropogenically-disturbed lakes.
    Huan Wang; Jorge García Molinos; Jani Heino; Huan Zhang; Peiyu Zhang; Jun Xu
    Environment international, 153, 106494, 106494, Aug. 2021, [International Magazine]
    English, Scientific journal, Eutrophication is a major problem currently impacting many surface water ecosystems. Impacts of increased nutrient concentrations on biodiversity may differ between different scales, different organism groups, and different trophic states. Surveys at different spatial scales have suggested that biodiversity of different taxa may exhibit significant cross-taxon congruence. In our study, we examined the diversity of zooplankton and zoobenthos across 261 lakes in the Lake Taihu watershed, an area that is undergoing a severe eutrophication process. We tested the cross-taxon congruence in species richness and Shannon-Wiener diversity between zooplankton and zoobenthos along a nutrient gradient across the lakes. Our findings were consistent with the intermediate disturbance hypothesis, considering nutrient input as the disturbance. Also, we found significant cross-taxon congruence between zooplankton and zoobenthos diversities. Our results confirmed that excess nutrient levels resulted in diversity loss and community simplification. Zoobenthos were more sensitive to nutrient increases compared with zooplankton, which decreased cross-taxon congruence because these organism groups did not respond similarly to the anthropogenic disturbance.
  • Marine biodiversity refugia in a climate‐sensitive subarctic shelf
    Irene D. Alabia; Jorge García Molinos; Takafumi Hirata; Franz J. Mueter; Toru Hirawake; Sei‐Ichi Saitoh
    Global Change Biology, 27, 14, 3299, 3311, Wiley, 25 Jul. 2021
    Scientific journal
  • Seasonality and aquatic metacommunity assemblage in three abandoned gold mining ponds in the southwestern Amazon, Madre de Dios (Peru)
    Julio M. Araújo-Flores; Jorge Garate-Quispe; Jorge García Molinos; JORGE MARTIN PILLACA ORTIZ; Jorge Caballero-Espejo; Cesar Ascorra; Miles Silman; Luis E. Fernandez
    Ecological Indicators, 125, 107455, 107455, Elsevier BV, Jun. 2021
    English, Scientific journal
  • Multiple facets of marine biodiversity in the Pacific Arctic under future climate
    Irene D. Alabia; Jorge García Molinos; Sei-Ichi Saitoh; Takafumi Hirata; Toru Hirawake; Franz J. Mueter
    Science of The Total Environment, 744, 140913, 140913, Elsevier BV, Nov. 2020
    Scientific journal
  • Differential Responses of Food Web Properties to Opposite Assembly Rules and Species Richness
    Yulun Guo; Tao Wang; Jorge García Molinos; Huan Zhang; Peiyu Zhang; Min Zhang; Jun Xu
    Water, 12, 10, 2828, 2828, MDPI AG, 12 Oct. 2020
    Scientific journal, Trophic niches condition the energetic performance of species within food webs providing a vital link between food web assembly, species diversity, and functioning of ecosystems. Our understanding of this important link is, however, limited by the lack of empirical tools that can be easily applied to compare entire food webs at regional scales. By comparison, with different a priori synthetic models defined according to specific assembly rules (i.e., purely random, limiting similarity, and niche filtering), we demonstrate that a set of food web properties (trophic richness, evenness, and divergence) are controlled by ecological processes. We further demonstrate that although both limiting similarity and niche filtering are statistically significant assembly processes shaping our studied lake food webs, their relative importance is richness-dependent, and contextual to the specific food web property under consideration. Our results have both important theoretical and practical implications. Theoretically, the observed richness-dependent variation on food web properties contradicts the common criticism on food web theory that food web properties are roughly scale-invariant. Practically, these properties can help avoiding spurious conclusions, while providing useful information for multiple food web niche spaces supporting the ecosystem functioning.
  • Climate velocity reveals increasing exposure of deep-ocean biodiversity to future warming
    Isaac Brito-Morales; David S. Schoeman; Jorge García Molinos; Michael T. Burrows; Carissa J. Klein; Nur Arafeh-Dalmau; Kristin Kaschner; Cristina Garilao; Kathleen Kesner-Reyes; Anthony J. Richardson
    Nature Climate Change, 10, 6, 576, 581, Springer Science and Business Media {LLC}, 25 Jun. 2020
    Scientific journal
  • Governance challenges for tropical nations losing fish species due to climate change
    Kimberly L. Oremus; Jennifer Bone; Christopher Costello; Jorge García Molinos; Alice Lee; Tracey Mangin; James Salzman
    Nature Sustainability, 3, 4, 277, 280, Springer Science and Business Media {LLC}, 24 Apr. 2020, [Peer-reviewed]
    Scientific journal
  • Realistic fisheries management reforms could mitigate the impacts of climate change in most countries
    Free, Christopher M. AND Mangin, Tracey AND García Molinos, Jorge AND Ojea, Elena AND Burden, Merrick AND Costello, Christopher AND Gaines, Steven D.
    PLOS ONE, 15, 3, Public Library of Science, Mar. 2020, [Peer-reviewed]
    Scientific journal
  • A dynamic temperature difference control recording system in shallow lake mesocosm
    Tao Wang; Jun Xu; Jorge García Molinos; Chao Li; Bowen Hu; Meng Pan; Min Zhang
    MethodsX, 7, 100930, 100930, Elsevier BV, 2020, [International Magazine]
    English, Scientific journal, The effects of climate change on shallow lakes were studied via control experiments, such as a mesocosm study. Accurate control, monitoring and recording of temperature difference are crucial for the ongoing simulation of warming mesocosm. In this article, we provide a method that can adjust automatically and allow real-time monitoring and recording of water temperature. This system is composed of three main parts: the temperature sensor DS18B20, which measures and outputs the digital temperature value; a C8051F320 microcontroller, which acquires, analyses and stores the temperature data and performs control upon start and shutdown of external heating elements; and external heating devices perform heating until the target temperature difference is achieved.•This system can maintain a certain temperature difference under gradually changing external environmental conditions.•This system can achieve real-time online monitoring of water temperature.•This system has an excellent ability to resist disturbance.
  • Effects of warming, climate extremes and phosphorus enrichment on the growth, sexual reproduction and propagule carbon and nitrogen stoichiometry of Potamogeton crispus L
    Jun Xu; Tao Wang; Jorge García Molinos; Chao Li; Bowen Hu; Meng Pan; Min Zhang
    Environment International, 137, 105502, 105502, Elsevier BV, 2020, [Peer-reviewed]
    Scientific journal
  • Global marine warming in a new dimension
    García Molinos, J.
    Nature Ecology & Evolution, 4, 10.1038/s41559-019-1037-5, Springer Nature, Jan. 2020, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • VoCC: An R package for calculating the velocity of climate change and related climatic metrics
    García Molinos, Jorge; D.S. Schoeman; C.J. Brown; M.T. Burrows
    Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 10, 12, 2195, 2202, British Ecological Society, Dec. 2019, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Ocean community warming responses explained by thermal affinities and temperature gradients
    Burrows, M.T.; A.E. Bates; M.J. Costello; M. Edwards; G.J. Edgar; C.J. Fox; B.S. Halpern; J.G. Hiddink; M.L. Pinsky; R.D. Batt; J. García Molinos; B.L. Payne; D.S. Schoeman; R.D. Stuart-Smith; R.S. Poloczanska
    Nature Climate Change, 9, 959, 963, Springer Nature, 25 Nov. 2019, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • JorGarMol/VoCC: First release VoCC
    Jorge Garcia Molinos; Chris Brown
    Zenodo, 30 Aug. 2019
    First release of R package VoCC
  • Cross-taxon congruence of multiple diversity facets of freshwater assemblages is determined by large-scale processes across China
    Jun Xu; Jorge García Molinos; Guohuan Su; Shin ichiro S. Matsuzaki; Munemitsu Akasaka; Huan Zhang; Jani Heino
    Freshwater Biology, 64, 8, 1492, 1503, Aug. 2019, [Peer-reviewed]
    Scientific journal
  • Cross‐taxon congruence of multiple diversity facets of freshwater assemblages is determined by large‐scale processes across China
    Xu, J.; J. García Molinos; G. Su; S.S. Matsuzaki; M. Akasaka; H. Zhang; J. Heino
    Freshwater Biology, 64, 8, 1492, 1503, Wiley, Aug. 2019, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Drivers and Changes of the Poyang Lake Wetland Ecosystem
    Wang, Y.; J. García Molinos; L. Shi; M. Zhang; Z. Wu; H. Zhang; J. Xu
    Wetlands, https://doi.org/10.1007/s13157, Springer, 01 Jul. 2019, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Spatially Structured Environmental Variation Plays a Prominent Role on the Biodiversity of Freshwater Macrophytes Across China
    Zhang, M.; J. García Molinos; G. Su; H. Zhang; J. Xu
    Frontiers in Plant Science, 10, e161, Frontiers, 22 Feb. 2019, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Contemporary changes in structural dynamics and socioeconomic drivers of inland fishery in China
    Zhao, K.; J. García Molinos; H. Zhang; M. Zhang; J. Xu,
    Science of The Total Environment, 648, 1535, 1535, 2019, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Ocean currents and herbivory drive macroalgae-to-coral community shift under climate warming
    Naoki H. Kumagai; Jorge García Molinos; Hiroya Yamano; Shintaro Takao; Masahiko Fujii; Yasuhiro Yamanaka
    Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 115, 36, 8990, 8995, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 04 Sep. 2018, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Improved fisheries management could offset many negative effects of climate change
    Gaines, S.D.; C. Costello; B. Owashi; T. Mangin; J. Bone; J. García Molinos; M. Burden; H. Dennis; B.S. Halpern; C.V. Kappel; K.M. Kleisner; D. Ov; o
    Science Advances, 4, 8, eaao1378, Aug. 2018, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Distribution shifts of marine taxa in the Pacific Arctic under contemporary climate changes
    Alabia, I.D.; J. García Molinos; S. Saitoh; T. Hirawake; T. Hirata; F.J. Mueter
    Diversity and Distributions, 24, Jun. 2018, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Climate velocity can inform conservation in a warming world
    Brito-Morales, I.; J. García Molinos; D.S. Schoeman; M.T. Burrows; E.S. Poloczanska; C.J. Brown; S. Ferrier; T.D. Harwood; C.J. Klein; E. McDonald-Madden; P.J. Moore; J.M. P; olfi; J.E.M. Watson; A.S. Wenger; A.J. Richardson
    Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 33, 6, Cell Press, 28 Apr. 2018, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Functional and Taxonomic Differentiation of Macrophyte Assemblages Across the Yangtze River Floodplain Under Human Impacts
    Min Zhang; Jorge García Molinos; Xiaolin Zhang; Jun Xu
    Frontiers in Plant Science, 9, Article 387, Frontiers Media SA, 27 Mar. 2018, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Biogeographical Shifts and Climate Change
    García Molinos, J.; E.S. Poloczanska; J.D. Olden; J.J. Lawler; M.T. Burrows
    Encyclopedia of the Anthropocene, Elsevier, 2018
  • Improving the interpretability of climate landscape metrics: An ecological risk analysis of Japan's Marine Protected Areas
    J. García Molinos; S. Takao; N.H. Kumagai; E.S. Poloczanska; M.T. Burrows; M. Fujii; H. Yamano
    Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.13665, Oct. 2017, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Ocean currents modify the coupling between climate change and biogeographical shifts
    García Molinos, J.; M.T. Burrows; E.S. Poloczanska
    Scientific Reports, 7, 1332, Springer Nature, 02 May 2017, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Biodiversity and Climate Change in the Oceans
    Booth, D.J.; E.S. Poloczanska; J.M. Donelson; J. García Molinos; M.T. Burrows
    Climate Change Impacts on Fisheries and Aquaculture, John Wiley & Sons Ltd, 2017
  • Optimal response to habitat linkage of local fish diversity and mean trophic level
    Jun Xu; Huan Zhang; Yongjiu Cai; Jorge Garcia Molinos; Min Zhang
    LIMNOLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY, 61, 4, 1438, 1448, Jul. 2016, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Responses of marine organisms to climate change across oceans
    Elvira S. Poloczanska; Michael T. Burrows; Christopher J. Brown; Jorge García Molinos; Benjamin S. Halpern; Ove Hoegh-Guldberg; Carrie V. Kappel; Pippa J. Moore; Anthony J. Richardson; David S. Schoeman; William J. Sydeman
    Frontiers in Marine Science, 3, MAY, JorgeGM, Frontiers Media S. A, 2016, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Climate velocity and the future global redistribution of marine biodiversity
    Jorge Garcia Molinos; Benjamin S. Halpern; David S. Schoeman; Christopher J. Brown; Wolfgang Kiessling; Pippa J. Moore; John M. Pandolfi; Elvira S. Poloczanska; Anthony J. Richardson; Michael T. Burrows
    NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 6, 1, 83, +, Jan. 2016, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Human impacts on functional and taxonomic homogenization of plateau fish assemblages in Yunnan, China
    Guohuan Su; Jun Xu; Munemitsu Akasaka; Jorge Garcia Molinos; Shin-ichiro S. Matsuzaki
    GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND CONSERVATION, 4, 470, 478, Jul. 2015, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Importance of Long-Term Cycles for Predicting Water Level Dynamics in Natural Lakes
    Jorge Garcia Molinos; Mafalda Viana; Michael Brennan; Ian Donohue
    PLOS ONE, 10, 3, e0119253, Mar. 2015, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Temperature tracking by North Sea benthic invertebrates in response to climate change
    Jan G. Hiddink; Michael T. Burrows; Jorge Garcia Molinos
    GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 21, 1, 117, 129, Jan. 2015, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Complimentary analysis of metacommunity nestedness and diversity partitioning highlights the need for a holistic conservation strategy for highland lake fish assemblages
    Jun Xu; Guohuan Su; Ying Xiong; Munemitsu Akasaka; Jorge Garcia Molinos; Shin-ichiro S. Matsuzaki; Min Zhang
    GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND CONSERVATION, 3, 288, 296, Jan. 2015, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Downscaling the non-stationary effect of climate forcing on local-scale dynamics: the importance of environmental filters
    Jorge Garcia Molinos; Ian Donohue
    CLIMATIC CHANGE, 124, 1-2, 333, 346, May 2014, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Geographical limits to species-range shifts are suggested by climate velocity
    Michael T. Burrows; David S. Schoeman; Anthony J. Richardson; Jorge Garcia Molinos; Ary Hoffmann; Lauren B. Buckley; Pippa J. Moore; Christopher J. Brown; John F. Bruno; Carlos M. Duarte; Benjamin S. Halpern; Ove Hoegh-Guldberg; Carrie V. Kappel; Wolfgang Kiessling; Mary I. O'Connor; John M. Pandolfi; Camille Parmesan; WilliamJ. Sydeman; Simon Ferrier; Kristen J. Williams; Elvira S. Poloczanska
    NATURE, 507, 7493, 492, +, Mar. 2014, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Stream Habitat Fragmentation Caused by Road Networks in Spanish Low-order Forest Catchments
    García Molinos, J.
    Management of Mountain Watersheds, Springer Netherlands, 2012
  • Temporal variability within disturbance events regulates their effects on natural communities
    Jorge Garcia Molinos; Ian Donohue
    OECOLOGIA, 166, 3, 795, 806, Jul. 2011, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Interactions among temporal patterns determine the effects of multiple stressors
    Jorge Garcia Molinos; Ian Donohue
    ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS, 20, 7, 1794, 1800, Oct. 2010, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Impacts of increased sediment loads on the ecology of lakes
    Ian Donohue; Jorge Garcia Molinos
    BIOLOGICAL REVIEWS, 84, 4, 517, 531, Nov. 2009, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Differential contribution of concentration and exposure time to sediment dose effects on stream biota
    Jorge Garcia Molinos; Ian Donohue
    JOURNAL OF THE NORTH AMERICAN BENTHOLOGICAL SOCIETY, 28, 1, 110, 121, Mar. 2009, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Los ascensores para peces: una alternativa olvidada
    Martínez de Azagra, A.; J. García Molinos
    Montes, 83, 47, 53, Colegio Oficial y Asociación de Ingenieros de Montes, 2006, [International Magazine]
    Spanish, Castilian, Scientific journal
  • Diseño de obras de paso compatibles con la migración de los peces
    García Molinos, J.; A. Llanos; A. Martínez; de Azagra
    Ingeniería Civil, 139, 132, 139, CEDEX, 2005, [International Magazine]
    Spanish, Castilian, Scientific journal
  • Diseño de ascensores para peces
    Martínez de Azagra, A.; García Molinos, J.
    Ingeniería Civil, 132, 83, 93, CEDEX, 2004, [International Magazine]
    Spanish, Castilian, Scientific journal
■ Other Activities and Achievements
  • Chapter 3: Oceans and Coastal Ecosystems and their Services
    Sarah Cooley; David Schoeman; Laurent Bopp; Philip Boyd; Simon Donner; Shin-ichi Ito; Wolfgang Kiessling; Paulina Martinetto; Elena Ojea; Marie-Fanny Racault; Bjoern Rost; Mette Skern-Mauritzen; Dawit Yemane Ghebrehiwet; Johann D Bell; Julia Blanchard; Jessica Bolin; William WL Cheung; Andrés Cisneros-Montemayor; Sam Dupont; Stephanie Dutkiewicz; Thomas Frölicher; Juan-Diego Gaitán-Espitia; Jorge García Molinos; Helen Gurney-Smith; Stephanie Henson; Manuel Hidalgo; Elisabeth Holland; Robert Kopp; Rebecca Kordas; Lester Kwiatkowski; Nadine Le Bris; Salvador E Lluch-Cota; Cheryl Logan; Felix Christopher Mark; Yunus Mgaya; Coleen Moloney; Norma Patricia; Muñoz Sevilla; Gregoire Randin; Nussaibah B Raja; Anusha Rajkaran; Anthony Richardson; Stephanie Roe; Raquel Ruiz Diaz; Diana Salili; Jean-Baptise Sallée; Kylie Scales; Michelle Scobie; Craig T Simmons; Olivier Torres; Andrew Yool, IPCC WGII Sixth Assessment Report, Feb. 2022
    Technical report
  • The Expected Impacts of Climate Change on the Ocean Economy
    S. Gaines; R. Cabral; C. Free; Y. Golbuu; R. Arnason; W. Battista; D. Bradley; W. Cheung; K. Fabricius; O. Huegh-Guldberg; M. A. Juinio-Meñez; J. García; Molinos; E. Ojea; E. O’Reilly; C. Turley, Blue Paper Series. Washington, DC: World Resources Institute., 06 Dec. 2019, [Peer-reviewed]
    World Resources Institute, English
  • Changing Ocean, Marine Ecosystems, and Dependent Communities
    Jorge García Molinos; Contributing Author; Nathaniel L. Bindoff; William W; L. Cheung; James G. Kairo; Coordinating Lead Authors, IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate, 24 Sep. 2019, [Peer-reviewed]
    English
  • VoCC: The Velocity of Climate Change and related climatic metrics
    J. García Molinos; D. S. Schoeman; C. J. Brown; M. T. Burrows, R package version 1.0.0., Jul. 2019
    R package, English, Others
  • Marine climate change impacts: implications for the implementation of marine biodiversity legislation
    García Molinos Jorge, MCCIP, Lowestoft, 16 pp. doi:10.14465/2015.mbl00, 2015, [Invited], [International Magazine]
    Contribution, Marine Climate Change Impacts Partnership, English, Report research institution
■ Books and other publications
  • Changes in the Russian Arctic Economy: Resources, Environment, and Society in the Sakha Republic (Edited by Shinichiro Tabata). Slavic Eurasia Series 17: 169-186
    Daiju Narita; Shokhrukh Kasanov; Daichi Yamada; Varvara Parilova; Tuyara Gavrilyeva; Jorge García Molinos; Steve Sakapaji
    Hokkaido University Press, Mar. 2025, 9784832969049, iv, 264p, Japanese, [Joint work]
  • Chapter 10: Marine Biogeography. In Biogeography: An Integrative Approach of the Evolution of Living. pp 245-273
    Jorge García Molinos; Irene D. Alabia
    ISTE, Nov. 2021, 9781789450606, [Joint work]
  • Biogeographical Shifts and Climate Change
    García Molinos, J; E.S. Poloczanska; J. Olden; J. Lawler; M.T. Burrows, In Encyclopedia of the Anthropocene. D. DellaSala, and M. Goldstein (Eds). ISBN 978-0-128-09665-9. Vol. 3, pp. 217-228
    Elsevier (Oxford), Nov. 2017, [Joint work]
  • Biodiversity and Climate Change in the Oceans
    Booth, D; E.S. Poloczanska; J. Donelson; J. García Molinos; M.T. Burrows, In The Impacts of Climate Change on Marine Fisheries and Aquaculture. B.F Phillips and M. Pérez-Ramírez (Eds). ISBN 978-1-119-15404-4. pp. 63-91.
    Wiley, Nov. 2017, [Joint work]
  • Stream Habitat Fragmentation Caused by Road Networks in Spanish Low-order Forest Catchments
    García Molinos, J, In Management of Mountain Watersheds. pp. 123-138
    Springer Netherlands, 2012, [Single work]
  • Identification guide of freshwater macroinvertebrates of Spain
    García Molinos, J, Freshwater Ecology
    Springer Science & Business Media, Jun. 2011, [Contributor]
■ Lectures, oral presentations, etc.
  • Improved fisheries management could offset many negative effects of climate change
    Gaines, S; C. Costello; B. Owashi; T. Mangin; J. Bone; J. García Molinos; M. Burden; H. Dennis; B. Halpern; C. Kappel; K. Kleisner; D. Ovando
    Climate Change and Fisheries International Workshop —Challenges and Solutions for China and the World, Qingdao, China, Nov. 2018, English, Invited oral presentation
    [Invited], [International presentation]
  • VoCC: A new R package for calculating the Velocity of Climate Change and related landscape climatic metrics.
    García Molinos, J; D.S. Schoeman; C.J. Brown; N.H. Kumagai; M.T. Burrows
    PICES Annual Meeting: Towards integrated understanding of ecosystem variability in the North Pacific, Yokohama, Japan, Nov. 2018, English, Poster presentation
    [International presentation]
  • Ocean currents and herbivory drive macroalgae-to-coral community shift under climate warming
    Kumagai, N.H; J. García; Molinos, N; H. Yamano; S. Takao; M. Fujii; Y. Yamanaka
    4th International Symposium on the Effect of Climate Change on the World's Oceans, Washington, Jun. 2018, English, Invited oral presentation
    [Invited], [International presentation]
  • Predicting the effects of climate change on stream water temperatures across pan-Arctic river networks: a conservation perspective.
    García Molinos, J; K. Christoffersen; J. Culp
    ISAR-5, Fifth International Symposium on Arctic Research, Tokyo, Jan. 2018, English, Poster presentation
    [International presentation]
  • Improving the interpretability of climate landscape metrics: an ecological risk analysis of Japan’s Marine Protected Areas
    García Molinos, J; S. Takao; N.H. Kumagai; E.S. Poloczanska; M.T. Burrows; M. Fujii; H. Yamano
    British Ecological Society Annual Meeting, Ghent, Dec. 2017, English, Poster presentation
    [International presentation]
  • Ocean currents modify the coupling between climate change and biogeographical shifts
    García Molinos, J; E.S. Poloczanska; M.T. Burrows
    64th Annual Meeting of the Ecological Society of Japan, Tokyo, Mar. 2017, English, Oral presentation
    [International presentation]
  • Going with the flow: ocean currents modify the coupling between climate change and biogeographical shifts
    García Molinos, J; E.S. Poloczanska; M.T. Burrows
    North Pacific Marine Science Organization (PICES) Annual Meeting, Nov. 2016, English, Oral presentation
    [International presentation]
  • Climate velocity and the future global redistribution of marine biodiversity
    García Molinos, J; B. S. Halpern; D. S. Schoeman; C. J. Brown; W. Kiessling; P. J. Moore; J. M; Pandolfi; E. S. Poloczanska; A. J. Richardson; M. T. Burrows
    Species on the Move. Hobart, Australia, Feb. 2016, English, Oral presentation
    [International presentation]
  • Adapting on the move: anticipating the effects of a shifting climate on biodiversity
    García Molinos, J
    1st Joint Lectures on Ecosystem Services and Water Resources Management. Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan, Mar. 2015, English, Keynote oral presentation
    [Invited], [Domestic Conference]
  • An assessment of the ecological coherency of the global marine protected area network under future climate change
    García Molinos, J; D. Schoeman; B. S. Halpern; E. Poloczanska; C. J. Brown; A. Richardson; M. T. Burrows
    IUCN World Parks Congress, Sydney, Australia, Nov. 2014, English, Invited oral presentation
    [Invited], [International presentation]
  • The velocity of climate change and the future global distribution of marine biodiversity
    García Molinos, J; M. T. Burrows
    JAMSTEC International Workshop on Risk Information on Climate Change. Yokohama, Japan, Nov. 2014, English, Invited oral presentation
    [Invited], [International presentation]
  • Disturbances in a changing environment: does the pattern matter?
    JORGE GARCIA MOLINOS
    Seminar series, Faculty of Sciences, Kyushu University. Fukuoka, Japan, Nov. 2012, English, Invited oral presentation
    [Domestic Conference]
  • Effects of global climatic drivers and local settings on wáter level regimes of non-regulated Irish lakes
    JORGE GARCIA MOLINOS
    ASLO summer meeting, Otsu, Japan, Jul. 2012, English, Oral presentation
    [International presentation]
■ Syllabus
  • 大学院共通授業科目(一般科目):複合領域, 2024年, 修士課程, 大学院共通科目
  • 国際環境保全学総論, 2024年, 修士課程, 環境科学院
  • 陸圏物質循環学特論, 2024年, 修士課程, 環境科学
  • 大学院共通授業科目(教育プログラム):JICA開発大学院連携プログラム環境科学, 2024年, 修士課程, 大学院共通科目
  • 環境科学基礎論, 2024年, 修士課程, 環境科学院
  • 大学院共通授業科目(教育プログラム):JICA開発大学院連携プログラム環境科学, 2024年, 修士課程, 大学院共通科目
  • 気候変動影響特論, 2024年, 修士課程, 環境科学院
  • 北極域総論, 2024年, 修士課程, 環境科学院
■ Affiliated academic society
  • British Ecological Society
  • THE ECOLOGICAL SOCIETY OF JAPAN
■ Research Themes
  • Development of basic technology for generalization of marine biodiversity big data and applied technology for protecting the richness of the sea
    海洋資源利用促進技術開発プログラム海洋生物ビッグデータ活用技術高度化
    Aug. 2021 - Mar. 2031
    Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology, Arctic Research Center, Hokkaido University, Coinvestigator
  • Development of a methodology for mapping thermal environments with high spatial and temporal resolution in rivers for evaluation of thermal refugia
    Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research
    01 Apr. 2025 - 31 Mar. 2028
    G・MOLINOS JORGE; 石山 信雄
    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C), Hokkaido University, 25K15516
  • Climate change impacts for adaptation, management and conservation purposes (CLIMASERVATON)
    Jan. 2025 - Dec. 2026
    MARINA SANZ MARTÍN.; CENTRO OCEANOGRÁFICO DE ILLES; BALEARS (SPAIN; PATRICIA PUERTA ORDÓÑEZ; CENTRO OCEANOGRÁFICO DE ILLES; BALEARS (SPAIN; JOSÉ MANUEL; HIDALGO ROLDÁN.; CENTRO OCEANOGRÁFICO DE ILLES; BALEARS (SPAIN; MARTA ALBO PUIGSERVER; CENTRO OCEANOGRÁFICO DE ILLES; BALEARS (SPAIN; LUCÍA LÓPEZ LÓPEZ; CENTRO OCEANOGRÁFICO DE; SANTANDER (SPAIN; IRENE ALABIA; ARCTIC RESEARCH CENTER; HOKKAIDO UNIVERSITY (JAPAN; JORGE GARCÍA MOLINOS; ARCTIC RESEARCH CENTER; HOKKAIDO UNIVERSITY (JAPAN; NUR ARAFEH DALMAU; HOPKINS MARINE STATION; STANFORD UNIVERSITY (USA; ISAAC BRITO MORALES; CONSERVATION INTERNATIONAL (USA; ELENA GISSI; CNR-ISMAR (ITALY; JENNY HOUSE; CHARLES DARWIN; UNIVERSITY; AUSTRALIA; LESLEY THORNE; STONY BROOK; UNIVERSITY
    Spanish National Research Council (CSIC), Competitive grant, Coinvestigator, ILINK24016
  • Adaptation and Transformation of artisanal Fishing to Climate Change (ATAC)
    2023 - 2026
    Elena Ojea; Xochitl E.; Ilosvay; Juan Bueno-Pardo (University of Vigo, Spain) / Naoki Kumagai (NIES, Japan)
    XUNTA de Galicia - Conselleria de Cultura, Educación, Formación Profesional e Universidades, Coinvestigator not use grants
  • Climate-smart strategies to develop resilience in artisanal fisheries of Mediterranean Marine Protected areas (CLISSARTES)
    Aug. 2022 - Dec. 2025
    Marina Sanz-Martín; Manuel Hidalgo; Marta Albo-Puigserver; Joan Moranta; Diego Álvarez Berastegui; Sandra Mallol; Asvin P. Torres; Olga Reñones; Patricia Puerta Ordóñez; Yosbel Pérez Hernández; Lucía López-López; Dolores Riesgo (IEO; CSIC, Spain; Javier Soto-Navarro; iversity of Malaga; Spain; Jorge García-Molinos; Arctic Research Center; Hokkaido University, Ja; Isaac Brito-Morales; Conservation International, USA; Kristin Kleisner (Environmental Defense Fund; USA; Nur Arafeh-Dalmau; iversity of; Stanford; USA; Julia Polo Sainz (UiT Artic University; Norway)
    AXA Research Fund - AXA and IOC-UNESCO call ‘More resilient Coastal Livelihoods‘, Competitive research grants, Coinvestigator, AXA-007
  • Portfolio projection of biodiversity responses under climate change
    Jun. 2022 - Dec. 2025
    Australian Research Council, Discovery Project Grant, Coinvestigator, DP220102760
  • Climate change Resilience of Indigenous SocioEcological systems (RISE)
    Strategic International Collaborative Research Program (SICORP) e-ASIA JRP (Advanced Fusion / Environment)
    Apr. 2021 - Mar. 2024
    Japan Science and Technology Agency (JST), Arctic Research Center - Hokkaido University, Principal investigator
  • 気候変動に伴う河川生態系のリスク評価:統計モデルとメソコスム実験の融合
    Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
    Apr. 2019 - Mar. 2024
    G・MOLINOS JORGE; 石山 信雄; 末吉 正尚
    Three of the four study catchments could be visited to retrieve temperature data from the first year, conduct maintenance, and sample biological parameters at multiple sites (fish: 27 sites sampled, macroinvertebrates: 22 sites, benthic algae: 70 sites).
    Initial data analysis between temperature data and environmental predictors showed water temperature regimes in volcanic mountain streams had average summer temperatures ~3°C lower than non-volcanic streams at similar altitudinal and air temperature ranges. They also had higher abundances of Cottus nozawae, a cold-adapted fish. These results highlight the important role of volcanic geology in providing thermal refugia for sensitive biota under climate change. Presented at ESJ annual meeting.
    The project also engaged in international collaboration:
    (i) An experiment conducted in the Hokkaido University Tomakomai Experimental Forest with researchers from Trinity College (Ireland) showed that heatwaves destabilised benthic stream communities by homogenising them in space but only when fish predators were absent, highlighting the potential for species extinctions to amplify the effects of climate change and extreme events. Presented at ESJ annual meeting.
    (ii) An experiment lead by researchers from the Institute of Hydrobiology of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (published Env Int IF9.62 and MethodsX IF1.84) evidenced complex interactions of warming and nutrient enrichment in altering growth and phenology of Potamogeton crispus, a widespread freshwater macrophyte common in Japan.
    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B), Hokkaido University, 19H04314
  • Analysis and adaptation strategy on ecological and social consequences of tropicalization in coastal ecosystems
    Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
    Apr. 2019 - Mar. 2022
    熊谷 直喜; G・MOLINOS JORGE; 中村 洋平; 久保 雄広
    海藻やサンゴ、魚類の地理的分布・生息水深に関係する海水温や光透過度、流速などの環境データを収集・整備した。さらに、海水温の将来予測値として、気候モデル の将来予測値(RCP2.6、RCP8.5)を整備し、同様に高解像度化した。対象海域について重点的に、研究対象の生物群の出現記録(在・不在)を論文、紀要、報告書などの文献から収集・整備し、データベース化した上でデータペーパーを出版した。また、海藻藻場やサンゴ群集が提供する生態系サービス(生物多様性、食料源、炭素貯留、沿岸地域の生活、経済、リクリエーションなど)を特定し経済的価値を評価するために、各調査地に対応した沿岸漁業や漁業資源利用についての記録の収集整備を進めた。
    対象生物群の分布の緯度勾配と空間的相互作用、それらの年変動を捉えるための野外調査・実験を行った。高知県の南西端から東方の3地域、愛媛県の柏島以北の6地域、さらに各地域内に設けた各2サイトを設け、対象生物群の分布状況を調べるビデオトランセクト調査を行った。カメラは鉛直方向(海藻、サンゴ)と水平方向(魚類)の2台を1セットとし、カメラに取り付けた水深データロガーと海面に浮かせたGPSで3Dの位置情報を記録しながら遊泳し撮影した。また、海底に設置した海藻をビデオカメラで撮影し、魚類による植食圧の評価を行った。2019年の野外調査記録の解析により、水温勾配と季節、深度、沖合・内湾の環境の違いに伴う藻場とサンゴ群集、周囲の魚類群集の変化のパターンが明らかになった。これにより環境条件と生物群集の対応関係が統計学的に示され、沿岸生態系将来予測をする上で重要な結果が得られた。
    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B), National Institute for Environmental Studies, 19H04322
  • Resilience of riverine ecosystem under climate change: ecosystem structure, biodiversity and ecosystem function
    Kasen Sabou Gijutsu Kennkyuu Kaihatsu Koubo
    2018 - 2022
    Nakamura F, Watanabe Y, Nakatsugawa M, Negishi J, Koizumi I, Kawamura S, Akasaka T, Uchida K, García Molinos J, Ishiyama N, Aruga N
    Japanese Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport, Hokkaido University
  • Ecological resilience to climate change and extinctions in subarctic freshwaters (EC-51224R-18)
    Early Career Grants
    Apr. 2019 - Dec. 2019
    S. Ross; PhD; candidate; grantee; I. Donohue; hD supervisor; J. García Molinos; o
    National Geographic Society, Competitive research funding
  • Shifting climate as a predictor for change in marine biodiversity at local, regional and global scales (NE/J024082/1)
    Standard Grant (FEC)
    Nov. 2012 - Jul. 2017
    M.T. Burrows (PI; J. García Molinos; PDRA; associated to; r
    U.K. National Environmental Research Council, Competitive research funding
  • Meeting quality objectives: Prediction of lake ecosystem recovery from internal and external nutrient loading (ref. 2339; grant offered but rejected by candidate)
    Science, Technology, Research & Innovation for the Environment (STRIVE) Programme
    Mar. 2013 - Apr. 2015
    J. García Molinos
    Irish Environmental Protection Agency, Competitive research funding
  • Climate Velocity and marine spatial planning in Japanese waters (JSPS/FF1/434)
    Postdoctoral Fellowship for Overseas Researchers
    Oct. 2014 - Mar. 2015
    J. García Molinos
    Japanese Society for the Promotion of Science, Competitive research funding
  • DOLMANT - development targeted ecological modelling tools for lake management
    European Regional Development Programme, INTERREG
    2011 - 2014
    I. Donohue (co-PI; J. García; Molinos (PDRA; associated to the; project Augus; February
    European Union, Competitive research funding
■ Academic and Social Contribution Activities/Other
Social Contribution Activities
  • Student mentor for the Publons Academy for peer review training
    2017 - Present
    Advisor
    Publons
  • Japan-Asia Sakura Youth Exchange Programme is Science Exchange
    06 Aug. 2018 - 06 Aug. 2018
    Lecturer
Media Coverage
  • Featured in issues 5 and 7 of Hokkaido University Times
    Mar. 2018
    [Paper]
  • Frontiers in Marine Science, Review Editor for the specialty section "Global Change and the Future Ocean"
    2015
  • Ecosystem Health and Sustainability, Subject Matter Editor
    2014