研究者データベース

牧岡 亮(マキオカ リヨウ)
経済学研究院 現代経済経営部門 経済分析分野
講師

基本情報

所属

  • 経済学研究院 現代経済経営部門 経済分析分野

職名

  • 講師

科研費研究者番号

  • 10836323

J-Global ID

研究分野

  • 人文・社会 / 経済政策

職歴

  • 2018年09月 - 2021年08月 独立行政法人 経済産業研究所 研究員

学歴

  • 2012年09月 - 2018年08月   ペンシルバニア州立大学   経済学研究科
  • 2009年04月 - 2012年08月   一橋大学   経済学研究科   応用経済
  • 2005年04月 - 2009年03月   早稲田大学   社会科学部

所属学協会

  • 日本国際経済学会   日本経済学会   

研究活動情報

論文

  • Kisho Hoshi, Hiroyuki Kasahara, Ryo Makioka, Michio Suzuki, Satoshi Tanaka
    Journal of the Japanese and International Economies 101170 - 101170 2021年10月 [査読有り]
  • Kisho Hoshi, Hiroyuki Kasahara, Ryo Makioka, Michio Suzuki, Satoshi Tanaka
    The Japanese Economic Review 2021年08月25日 [査読有り]
     
    AbstractThis paper quantitatively analyzes the trade-off between job losses and the spread of COVID-19 in Japan. We derive an empirical specification from the social planner’s resource constraint under the susceptible, infected, recovered, and deaths (SIRD) model and estimate how job losses and the case growth rate are related to people’s mobility using the Japanese prefecture-level panel data on confirmed cases, involuntary job losses, people’s mobility, and teleworkability. Our findings are summarized as follows. First, we find that a decrease in mobility driven by containment policies is associated with an increase in involuntary job separations, but the high teleworkability mitigates the negative effect of decreased mobility on job losses. Second, estimating how the case growth is related to people’s mobility and past cases, we find that the case growth rate is positively related to an increase in people’s mobility but negatively associated with past confirmed cases. Third, using these estimates, we provide a quantitative analysis of the trade-off between job losses and the number of confirmed cases. Taking Tokyo in July 2020 as a benchmark, we find that the cost of saving 1 job per month is 2.3 more confirmed cases per month in the short run of 1 month. When we consider a trade-off for 3 months from July to September of 2020, protecting 1 job per month requires 6.6 more confirmed cases per month. Therefore, the trade-off becomes worse substantially in the longer run of 3 months, reflecting the exponential case growth when the people’s mobility is high.
  • Quantile Difference in Differences with Time-varying Qualification in Panel Data
    Karim Nchare, Ryo Makioka
    2021年08月
  • Ryo Makioka
    Review of Development Economics 25 2 630 - 653 2021年05月 [査読有り]
  • Ryo Makioka
    Review of International Economics 2021年04月26日 [査読有り]
  • Decomposing the Effect of SNAP
    Ryo Makioka
    2019年12月


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