Mohammed R. Karim, Mamoru Ishikawa, Motoyoshi Ikeda
Italian Journal of Agronomy 7 2 146 - 153 2012年
[査読有り][通常論文] Regional or global climate change may have a significant effect on soil moisture and thereby affect plant growth. Water deficiency is considered to be one of the major climatic factors limiting crop production in Bangladesh, especially in the dry season. To better understand the response of crops to moisture variation, a quantitative analysis of major water balance components, namely, potential evapotranspiration (PET), actual evapotranspiration (AET), soil moisture storage (ST), water deficiency (WD), and water surplus (WS), was carried out using the Thornthwaite monthly water balance program. Analyses were carried out for three different seasons, incorporating interannual variability, in 12 major rice-growing districts of Bangladesh, which represented the northern, central, southern, and coastal zones. Hindcast monthly average surface air temperature and precipitation data were collected from the Bangladesh Meteorological Department (BMD) for the period 1986 to 2006. The analysis results suggested that the PET trend was the same at every station and that generally higher values were observed in the months of July and August. Khulna, a coastal station, had the highest annual average PET of 1369 mm. The lowest annual AET of 1108 mm was estimated for Teknaf, while the second lowest value of AET was recorded in Dinajpur. The ST was found to be almost at field capacity from July to September, and the southern station of Chittagong had the highest average monthly ST. Future projection showed the northern part of Bangladesh would be less vulnerable regarding ST. The maximum WD was found in Bogra, and the second highest value was found in Dinajpur. Estimation of the average WD of 178 mm yr-1 in northern Bangladesh indicated that this region was subject to the greatest degree of WD and that winter is the most crucial season in determining water scarcity. The smallest value of WS was noted for the coastal station of Khulna. A significant positive relationship (P<
0.05) between soil moisture and current rice yields proved the importance of surplus water conservation in the droughtprone zone of Bangladesh. To boost rice production and help cope with the consequences of climate change, integrated adaptation and mitigation measures should be adopted for agriculture. © M.R. Karim et al., 2012.