Napier University, Edinburgh, U.K., Karen Fretwell Memorial award by Napier University　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
Best student of 2003-2004 MSc Aquatic Ecosystem Management
ホルヘ ガルシ アミル

Differences in predictions of marine species distribution models based on expert maps and opportunistic occurrences
Zhixin Zhang, Jamie M. Kass, Ákos Bede‐Fazekas, Stefano Mammola, Junmei Qu, Jorge García Molinos, Jiqi Gu, Hongwei Huang, Meng Qu, Ying Yue, Geng Qin, Qiang Lin
Conservation Biology, 2025年03月24日
研究論文（学術雑誌）

Mapping fine-scale distribution of the northern pika Ochotona hyperborea considering duality in microhabitat thermal conditions
Tomoki Sakiyama, Jorge García Molinos
Frontiers of Biogeography, 2025年03月20日
研究論文（学術雑誌）

Strategic planning could reduce farm-scale mariculture impacts on marine biodiversity while expanding seafood production
Deqiang Ma, Benjamin S. Halpern, Briana Abrahms, Jacob Allgeier, Jorge García Molinos, Christopher M. Free, Melanie Frazier, Kristin Kaschner, Brian C. Weeks, Neil H. Carter
Nature Ecology & Evolution, 2025年02月19日
研究論文（学術雑誌）

Changes in a Generalist Predator’s Trophic Information Signals Ecological Resilience Erosion and Regime Shifts
H. Wang, J. García Molinos, P. Vasilakopoulos, S. Xie, P. Zhang, H. Zhang, J. Xu
Journal of Environmental Informatics, 45, 13, 26, International Society for Environmental Information Science (ISEIS), 2025年01月, ［査読有り］
研究論文（学術雑誌）, Generalist predators are characterized as sentinel species because they are conspicuous, occupy top trophic positions of the food chain, and have life history traits that make their trophic information sensitive to ecosystem state alteration. Here, we test if changes in the trophic information of a generalist predator along an eutrophication gradient can be used to determine the regime shift of lake ecosystems between clear and turbid states and provide reliable estimates of their resilience. We find that redfin culter (Chanodichthys erythropterus) trophic information responded differently to eutrophication than traditional indicators. Trophic tipping points, reached at 14.90% coverage of macrophyte, appeared earlier than those of traditional indicators. Further, the hysteresis associated to the predator’s state characterized by prey reliance on benthic fishes of low trophic signature was found to be greater than that of the ‘macrophyte-poor’ turbid state. Conclusively, generalist predators can not only serve as sentinels of the ecosystem, but also be the last barrier to be broken through in restoring the ecosystem.

Future climate and land use changes challenge current dependencies on wild food harvesting by rural indigenous communities
Jorge García Molinos, Daichi Yamada, Varvara Parilova, Shokhrukh Khasanov, Viacheslav Gabyshev, Andrey Makarov, Daiju Narita, Innokentiy Okhlopkov, Zhixin Zhang, Stephen C Sakapaji, Tuyara Gavrilyeva
PNAS Nexus, 2024年11月28日
研究論文（学術雑誌）

Coastal fisheries adaptations to increasing climate change exposure in Japan
Xochitl Edua Elias Ilosvay, Naoki H. Kumagai, Jorge García Molinos, Elena Ojea
People and Nature, 2024年10月23日
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）, Abstract


Climate change‐driven ocean warming is altering the geographic ranges of species, leading to a poleward shift of tropical species into temperate regions (tropicalisation). This threatens the native marine community assemblages by changing the availability of traditional marine resources, thus impacting the livelihood and well‐being of coastal fisheries. Fishers' individual responses are expected to transition from remaining to coping and from adapting to transforming as climate change exposure increases, yet empirical evidence is limited.

The existing strong thermal gradient along the western coast of Shikoku (Japan), an area experiencing tropicalisation, provides a unique opportunity to analyse how regions facing different climate change exposure levels (North: low, Centre: medium and South: high) affect fishers' responses in relation to their adaptive capacity. Data from 92 face‐to‐face interviews with small‐scale fishers from 25 locations revealed that the largest proportion of coping and adaptive responses is in the Central region, while remaining responses predominated in the Northern and Southern regions.

Results from a multinomial logistic model indicate that the exposure level is a good predictor for coping and adaptive responses but not for transformative ones. This possibly reflects the fact that these fishers might have exited coastal fisheries prior to our study as suggested by the strong fisher population decrease in the communities from the Southern region over the last three decades.

This study provides novel empirical evidence on how climate change exposure influences fishers' responses to past and current climate change impacts, highlighting the intricate interplay between exposure level and individual adaptive capacity.

Read the free Plain Language Summary for this article on the Journal blog.

Northern pikas experience reduced occupancy due to surrounding human land use despite the occurrence of suitable microclimates
Tomoki Sakiyama, Jorge García Molinos
Journal of Biogeography, 2024年07月
研究論文（学術雑誌）

Future redistribution of fishery resources suggests biological and economic trade-offs according to the severity of the emission scenario
Irene D. Alabia, Jorge García Molinos, Takafumi Hirata, Daiju Narita, Toru Hirawake
PLOS ONE, 19, 6, e0304718, e0304718, Public Library of Science (PLoS), 2024年06月06日
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）, Climate change is anticipated to have long-term and pervasive effects on marine ecosystems, with cascading consequences to many ocean-reliant sectors. For the marine fisheries sector, these impacts can be further influenced by future socio-economic and political factors. This raises the need for robust projections to capture the range of potential biological and economic risks and opportunities posed by climate change to marine fisheries. Here, we project future changes in the abundance of eight commercially important fish and crab species in the eastern Bering Sea and Chukchi Sea under different CMIP6 Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) leading to contrasting future (2021–2100) scenarios of warming, sea ice concentration, and net primary production. Our results revealed contrasting patterns of abundance and distribution changes across species, time periods and climate scenarios, highlighting potential winners and losers under future climate change. In particular, the least changes in future species abundance and distribution were observed under SSP126. However, under the extreme scenario (SSP585), projected Pacific cod and snow crab abundances increased and decreased, respectively, with concurrent zonal and meridional future shifts in their centers of gravity. Importantly, projected changes in species abundance suggest that fishing at the same distance from the current major port in the Bering Sea (i.e., Dutch Harbor) could yield declining catches for highly valuable fisheries (e.g., Pacific cod and snow crab) under SSP585. This is driven by strong decreases in future catches of highly valuable species despite minimal declines in maximum catch potential, which are dominated by less valuable taxa. Hence, our findings show that projected changes in abundance and shifting distributions could have important biological and economic impacts on the productivity of commercial and subsistence fisheries in the eastern Bering and Chukchi seas, with potential implications for the effective management of transboundary resources.

Incorporating physiological knowledge into correlative species distribution models minimizes bias introduced by the choice of calibration area
Zhixin Zhang, Jinxin Zhou, Jorge García Molinos, Stefano Mammola, Ákos Bede-Fazekas, Xiao Feng, Daisuke Kitazawa, Jorge Assis, Tianlong Qiu, Qiang Lin
Marine Life Science & Technology, 2024年05月13日
研究論文（学術雑誌）

Macroinvertebrate and environmental responses to dredging and submerged macrophytes transplantation
hong Fu, 军 徐, Jorge García Molinos, Huan Zhang, Huan Wang, Min Zhang, Megan Klaar, Lee E. Brown
Journal of Applied Ecology, 2024年05月
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）, Abstract


Eutrophication of freshwater ecosystems is a global problem, but restoration can be difficult due to ongoing problems relating to water pollution, sedimentary nutrient stores and altered aquatic biodiversity. Mitigation of Eutrophication is often conducted alongside transplantation of submerged macrophytes and dredging, but knowledge of ecosystem response to post‐dredging transplantation of submerged macrophytes is limited.

We report a long‐term (2008–2018) in situ monitoring study to evaluate the effects of different restoration measures: dredging only (Dredged) and dredged with post‐transplantation of submerged macrophytes (Dredged with macrophytes) conducted in five subtropical eutrophic lakes, Taihu basin. Water and sediment nutrients, bloom‐forming algae Microcystis and macroinvertebrate were monitored every 2 years for each treatment and compared with reference areas (Control) established in unrestored parts of the same lake.

Dredging only decreased sediment nutrients (e.g. carbon, phosphorus) significantly; however, this effect diminished about 5 years later. Dredged with macrophytes had a stronger, longer lasting positive effect on water quality than dredged alone. Disturbance caused by dredging (without macrophytes transplantation) decreased the biomass of Microcystis, while transplantation of macrophytes shortly after dredging did not contribute to the decreasing of Microcystis biomass. The biomass of Microcystis in Dredged with macrophytes areas was always similar to Control over the period of our monitoring.

A positive effect of submerged macrophytes transplantation post‐dredging was found for macroinvertebrate abundance and diversity: Dredged with macrophytes areas had significantly higher macroinvertebrate biomass and richness than Dredged areas after 9 years' recovery. Macroinvertebrate richness in Dredged with macrophytes areas nearly doubled compared to Control, while Dredged areas were just restored to Control levels.

Synthesis and applications: Our study provides an long‐term field monitoring with new findings about the benefits and caution of submerged macrophytes transplantation post‐dredging and the effect of partial restoration, which could inform eutrophic waterbody restoration schemes.

Navigating Legal and Regulatory Frameworks to Achieve the Resilience and Sustainability of Indigenous Socioecological Systems
Stephen Chitengi Sakapaji, Jorge García Molinos, Varvara Parilova, Tuyara Gavrilyeva, Natalia Yakovleva
Resources, 2024年04月08日
研究論文（学術雑誌）

Climate velocity drives unexpected southward patterns of species shifts in the Western Mediterranean Sea
Marina Sanz-Martín, Manuel Hidalgo, Patricia Puerta, Jorge García Molinos, Marina Zamanillo, Isaac Brito-Morales, José Manuel González-Irusta, Antonio Esteban, Antonio Punzón, Encarnación García-Rodríguez, Miguel Vivas, Lucía López-López
Ecological Indicators, 2024年03月
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）

Risk from future climate change to Pakistan's protected area network: A composite analysis for hotspot identification
Muhammad Taimur Siddique, Jorge García Molinos
Science of The Total Environment, 2024年03月
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）

Effect of trade on global aquatic food consumption patterns
Kangshun Zhao, Steven D. Gaines, Jorge García Molinos, Min Zhang, Jun Xu
Nature Communications, 2024年02月15日
研究論文（学術雑誌）

Biogeographical shifts and climate change
J. García Molinos, J.J. Lawler, I.D. Alabia, J.D. Olden
Reference Module in Earth Systems and Environmental Sciences, Elsevier, 2024年, ［筆頭著者, 責任著者］
論文集(書籍)内論文

Determinants of small-scale fisheries’ transformative responses under increasing climate change impacts in Nayarit, Mexico
Xochitl Elías Ilosvay, Jorge García Molinos, Javier Tovar-Ávila, Jhosafat Rentería Bravo, Irving Alexis Medina Santiago, Eréndira Aceves-Bueno, Elena Ojea
Ecology and Society, 29, 4, Resilience Alliance, Inc., 2024年
研究論文（学術雑誌）

Interactions between climate warming, herbicides, and eutrophication in the aquatic food web
Tao Wang, Peiyu Zhang, Jorge García Molinos, Jiayi Xie, Huan Zhang, Huan Wang, Xiaoqi Xu, Kang Wang, Mingjun Feng, Haowu Cheng, Min Zhang, Jun Xu
Journal of Environmental Management, 345, 118753, 118753, 2023年11月
研究論文（学術雑誌）

Efficacy of aural detection methods for detecting Northern Pika (Ochotona hyperborea) occupancy in rocky and densely vegetated habitats
Tomoki Sakiyama, Jorge García Molinos
Journal of Mammalogy, Oxford University Press (OUP), 2023年06月24日, ［査読有り］, ［最終著者］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）, Abstract

Wildlife monitoring plays a key role in species conservation, with growing importance under the threat of climate change. The Northern Pika (Ochotona hyperborea) is a cold-adapted species found in Hokkaido, Japan, presumably vulnerable to such threats. However, its high elusiveness hinders detailed population surveys, and visual detection methods—often used for other pika species—are not applicable to its densely vegetated habitats. In this study, we assessed the efficacy of aural detection methods to survey the occupancy of Northern Pika through their distinct vocalizations. We conducted two types of point-count surveys—auditory observation and playback—during 2021 at 18 sites in and around Daisetsuzan National Park. We then assessed the efficacy of these methods in detecting presence and compared time until first detection of the animal. The Northern Pika was present at 11 of all surveyed sites, with a predominance at higher elevations. Our results suggest that both auditory observation and playback are effective at detecting presence, but playback is more time-efficient. We discuss the advantages and disadvantages of each method given these results. In conclusion, our results demonstrate that both survey methods are applicable for Northern Pika population surveys—even in densely vegetated habitats—representing valid and affordable survey methods that can help to improve current monitoring and conservation efforts, and will be of increasing value given potentially negative effects of climate change on persistence of the species.

Estimating global artisanal fishing fleet responses in an era of rapid climate and economic change
Alex N. Tidd, Vasquez Caballero, Elena Ojea, Reg A. Watson, Jorge García Molinos
Frontiers in Marine Science, 10, Frontiers Media SA, 2023年03月17日
研究論文（学術雑誌）, There is an urgent need to assess the extent to which the global fishing enterprise can be sustainable in the face of climate change. Artisanal fishing plays a crucial role in sustaining livelihoods and meeting food security demands in coastal countries. Yet, the ability of the artisanal sector to do so not only depends on the economic efficiency of the fleets, but also on the changing productivity and distribution of target species under rapid climate change in the oceans. These impacts are already leading to sudden declines, long-term collapses in production, or increases in the price of fish products, which can further exacerbate excess levels of fishing capacity. We examined historical changes (1950-2014) in technical efficiency within the global artisanal fishing fleets in relation to sea surface temperature anomalies, market prices by taxonomic group, and fuel costs. We show that temperature anomalies affected countries differently; while some have enhanced production from an increase in the resource distribution, which alter the structure of the ecosystem, others have had to adapt to the negative impacts of seawater warming. In addition, efficiency decreases are also related to rises in global marine fish price, whereby more labour and capital are attracted into the fishery, which in turn can lead to an excess in fleet capacity. Our results contribute to the understanding of how the effects of climate-induced change in the oceans could potentially affect the efficiency of artisanal fishing fleets.

Geology‐Climate Interactions are Key Determinants of Climate‐Change Refugia in Japanese Mountain Streams
Nobuo Ishiyama, Masanao Sueyoshi, Jorge García Molinos, Kenta Iwasaki, Junjiro N. Negishi, Itsuro Koizumi, Shigeya Nagayama, Akiko Nagasaka, Yu Nagasaka, Futoshi Nakamura
The Bulletin of the Ecological Society of America, Wiley, 2023年03月15日
研究論文（学術雑誌）

Pan-Arctic marine biodiversity and species co-occurrence patterns under recent climate
Irene D. Alabia, Jorge García Molinos, Takafumi Hirata, Franz J. Mueter, Carmen L. David
Scientific Reports, 13, 1, Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 2023年03月11日
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）, Abstract

The Arctic region is experiencing drastic climatic changes bringing about potential ecological shifts. Here, we explored marine biodiversity and potential species associations across eight Arctic marine areas between 2000 and 2019. We compiled species occurrences for a subset of 69 marine taxa (i.e., 26 apex predators and 43 mesopredators) and environmental factors to predict taxon-specific distributions using a multi-model ensemble approach. Arctic-wide temporal trends of species richness increased in the last 20 years and highlighted potential emerging areas of species accrual due to climate-driven species redistribution. Further, regional species associations were dominated by positive co-occurrences among species pairs with high frequencies in the Pacific and Atlantic Arctic areas. Comparative analyses of species richness, community composition, and co-occurrence between high and low summer sea ice concentrations revealed contrasting impacts of and detected areas vulnerable to sea ice changes. In particular, low (high) summer sea ice generally resulted in species gains (loss) in the inflow and loss (gains) in the outflow shelves, accompanied by substantial changes in community composition and therefore potential species associations. Overall, the recent changes in biodiversity and species co-occurrences in the Arctic were driven by pervasive poleward range shifts, especially for wide-ranging apex predators. Our findings highlight the varying regional impacts of warming and sea ice loss on Arctic marine communities and provide important insights into the vulnerability of Arctic marine areas to climate change.

Underlying geology and climate interactively shape climate change refugia in mountain streams
Nobuo Ishiyama, Masanao Sueyoshi, Jorge García Molinos, Kenta Iwasaki, Junjiro N. Negishi, Itsuro Koizumi, Shigeya Nagayama, Akiko Nagasaka, Yu Nagasaka, Futoshi Nakamura
Ecological Monographs, 93, 2, Wiley, 2023年02月16日
研究論文（学術雑誌）

The Expected Impacts of Climate Change on the Ocean Economy
Steve Gaines, Reniel Cabral, Christopher M. Free, Yimnang Golbuu, Ragnar Arnason, Willow Battista, Darcy Bradley, William Cheung, Katharina Fabricius, Ove Hoegh-Guldberg, Marie Antonette Juinio-Meñez, Jorge García Molinos, Elena Ojea, Erin O’Reilly, Carol Turley
The Blue Compendium, 2023年
英語, AbstractThe ocean is critically important to our global economy. Collectively, it is estimated that ocean-based industries and activities contribute hundreds of millions of jobs and approximately US$2.5 trillion to the global economy each year, making it the world’s seventh-largest economy when compared with national gross domestic products (GDPs) (Hoegh-Guldberg 2015; IPCC 2019). In addition, the nonmarket services and benefits provided by the ocean are significant and may in fact far exceed the value added by market-based goods and services (Costanza et al. 2014).

Climate, currents and species traits contribute to early stages of marine species redistribution
Jorge García Molinos, Heather L. Hunt, Madeline E. Green, Curtis Champion, Jason R. Hartog, Gretta T. Pecl
Communications Biology, 5, 1329, 2022年12月, ［査読有り］, ［筆頭著者］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）

A meta-analysis of environmental responses to freshwater ecosystem restoration in China (1987–2018)
Hong Fu, Jun Xu, Huan Zhang, Jorge García Molinos, Min Zhang, Megan Klaar, Lee E. Brown
Environmental Pollution, 316, 120589, 120589, Elsevier BV, 2022年11月
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）

Stronger adaptive response among small-scale fishers experiencing greater climate change hazard exposure
Xochitl Édua Elías Ilosvay, Jorge García Molinos, Elena Ojea
Communications Earth & Environment, 2022年10月20日
研究論文（学術雑誌）

Need to shift in river-lake connection scheme under the “ten-year fishing ban” in the Yangtze River, China
Ruilong Wang, Yi Han, Fei Fan, Jorge García Molinos, Jun Xu, Kexiong Wang, Ding Wang, Zhigang Mei
Ecological Indicators, 143, 109434, 109434, Elsevier BV, 2022年10月
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）

Faster ocean warming threatens richest areas of marine biodiversity
Stuart C. Brown, Camille Mellin, Jorge García Molinos, Eline D. Lorenzen, Damien A. Fordham
Global Change Biology, Wiley, 2022年10月
研究論文（学術雑誌）

Climate change and fishing are pulling the functional diversity of the world's largest marine fisheries to opposite extremes
Kangshun Zhao, Steven D. Gaines, Jorge García Molinos, Min Zhang, 军 徐
Global Ecology and Biogeography, 31, 8, 1616, 1629, Wiley, 2022年08月
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）, AbstractAimMarine biodiversity is increasingly threatened by overfishing and climate change, but it is still unclear how these drivers have shaped the functional diversity (FD) of marine fish. Here, we explore how the FD of commercial marine fish communities responds to climate change and fishing pressure.Major taxa studiedMarine fish.LocationChina Seas.Time period1989–2018.MethodsWe used a catch database of four individual species and 12 species groups that were reported continuously in China from 1989 to 2018. Seven traits were selected to calculate FD. We adopted generalized linear mixed models to analyse the complex relationship among climate change, fishing pressure and several metrics of marine fish FD. We identified the percentage change in diversity for communities to assess the relative contribution of each species or species group by removing individual species or a species group from the dataset.ResultsClimate change and fishing pressure exerted statistically significant opposing effects on the functional evenness (FEve) and functional divergence (FDiv) of commercial fish communities. Increasing sea surface temperature had a significant positive effect on FEve but a negative effect on FDiv. In contrast, increasing fishing pressure had the opposite effects on FEve and FDiv. These results were driven by the significantly varying relative contributions of fish species or species groups to the functional space, whereby low‐trophic‐level pelagic fish species or species groups are closer to the boundaries of the functional trait space than high‐trophic‐level demersal fish species or species groups.Main conclusionsThe FD of commercial marine fish communities responds significantly to climate warming and increasing fishing pressure, with opposite effects driven by different response patterns of fish species or species groups. Our results suggest that management actions should address the two issues simultaneously, because considering only one will unleash greater functional changes in the other.

Biological traits, geographic distributions, and species conservation in aquatic ecosystems
Yun‐Wei Dong, Jorge García Molinos, Eric R. Larson, Qiang Lin, Xuan Liu, Gianluca Sarà, Qing‐Hua Cai, Zhixin Zhang, Brian Helmuth, Amanda Bates
Diversity and Distributions, 2022年08月
研究論文（学術雑誌）

Study protocol: International joint research project ‘climate change resilience of Indigenous socioecological systemsʼ (RISE)
Jorge García Molinos, Gideon Kruseman, Tuyara Gavrilyeva, Pattamaporn Joompa, Daiju Narita, Sinee Chotiboriboon, Varvara Parilova, Solot Sirisai, Innokentiy Okhlopkov, Zhixin Zhang, Natalia Yakovleva, Prapa Kongpunya, Sueppong Gowachirapant, Viacheslav Gabyshev, Wantanee Kriengsinyos
PLOS ONE, 17, 7, e0271792, e0271792, Public Library of Science (PLoS), 2022年07月21日
研究論文（学術雑誌）, Background

Anthropogenic changes in the environment are increasingly threatening the sustainability of socioecological systems on a global scale. As stewards of the natural capital of over a quarter of the world’s surface area, Indigenous Peoples (IPs), are at the frontline of these changes. Indigenous socioecological systems (ISES) are particularly exposed and sensitive to exogenous changes because of the intimate bounds of IPs with nature. Traditional food systems (TFS) represent one of the most prominent components of ISES, providing not only diverse and nutritious food but also critical socioeconomic, cultural, and spiritual assets. However, a proper understanding of how future climate change may compromise TFS through alterations of related human-nature interactions is still lacking. Climate change resilience of indigenous socioecological systems (RISE) is a new joint international project that aims to fill this gap in knowledge.

Methods and design

RISE will use a comparative case study approach coupling on-site socioeconomic, nutritional, and ecological surveys of the target ISES of Sakha (Republic of Sakha, Russian Federation) and Karen (Kanchanaburi, Thailand) people with statistical models projecting future changes in the distribution and composition of traditional food species under contrasting climate change scenarios. The results presented as alternative narratives of future climate change impacts on TFS will be integrated into a risk assessment framework to explore potential vulnerabilities of ISES operating through altered TFS, and possible adaptation options through stakeholder consultation so that lessons learned can be applied in practice.

Discussion

By undertaking a comprehensive analysis of the socioeconomic and nutritional contributions of TFS toward the sustainability of ISES and projecting future changes under alternative climate change scenarios, RISE is strategically designed to deliver novel and robust science that will contribute towards the integration of Indigenous issues within climate change and sustainable agendas while generating a forum for discussion among Indigenous communities and relevant stakeholders. Its goal is to promote positive co-management and regional development through sustainability and climate change adaptation.

Timescale mediates the effects of environmental controls on water temperature in mid- to low-order streams
Jorge García Molinos, Ishiyama Nobuo, Masanao Sueyoshi, Futoshi Nakamura
Scientific Reports, 2022年07月18日
研究論文（学術雑誌）

Expanding ocean food production under climate change
Christopher M. Free, Reniel B. Cabral, Halley E. Froehlich, Willow Battista, Elena Ojea, Erin O’Reilly, James E. Palardy, Jorge García Molinos, Katherine J. Siegel, Ragnar Arnason, Marie Antonette Juinio-Meñez, Katharina Fabricius, Carol Turley, Steven D. Gaines
Nature, 605, 7910, 490, 496, Springer Science and Business Media {LLC}, 2022年05月19日
研究論文（学術雑誌）

The role of geology in creating stream climate-change refugia along climate gradients
Nobuo Ishiyama, Masanao Sueyoshi, García Molinos Jorge, Kenta Iwasaki, N Junjiro Negishi, Itsuro Koizumi, Shigeya Nagayama, Akiko Nagasaka, Yu Nagasaka, Futoshi Nakamura
Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory, 2022年05月04日
研究論文（学術雑誌）

Towards climate-smart, three-dimensional protected areas for biodiversity conservation in the high seas
Isaac Brito-Morales, David S. Schoeman, Jason D. Everett, Carissa J. Klein, Daniel C. Dunn, Jorge García Molinos, Michael T. Burrows, Kristine Camille V. Buenafe, Rosa Mar Dominguez, Hugh P. Possingham, Anthony J. Richardson
Nature Climate Change, 12, 4, 402, 407, Springer Science and Business Media {LLC}, 2022年04月
研究論文（学術雑誌）

Plasticity in rotifer morphology induced by conflicting threats from multiple predators
Huan Zhang, Yuhan He, Liang He, Kangshun Zhao, Jorge García Molinos, Lars-Anders Hansson, Jun Xu
Freshwater Biology, 67, 3, 498, 507, Wiley, 2022年03月
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）, AbstractOne of the major research goals in ecology is to understand predator–prey interactions. However, our understanding of how prey express phenotypic plasticity in response to co‐occurring multiple predators is limited in many systems.Here, we use the rotiferBrachionus calyciflorusas model organism to test how prey responds to co‐occurring predators through a series of related experiments. Firstly, we examined the effects of the density of a fish predatorCarassius auratuson morphological traits inB. calyciflorus. Secondly, we examined the effects of larvalC. auratusandAsplanchna brightwellii(a rotifer predator) on morphological defensive traits (body length, body width, anterior spine length, and posterolateral spine length) ofB. calyciflorus.We show thatB. calyciflorusdevelops smaller body size and shorter spine length when exposed to media conditioned using larval fish, and that high larval fish densities induce more pronounced responses than low densities. We also show thatB. calyciflorusis able to discriminate between the two predators by producing opposing morphological adaptations (i.e., larger body size and longer posterolateral spines againstA. brightwellii,but smaller body size and shorter spine length when exposed to the visual predator [larval fish]). However,B. calyciflorusdevelops intermediate, trade‐off responses in all morphological traits when exposed to conflicting threats from a combination of predators with different size and feeding strategies.These results show how prey are not necessarily passive victims, but rather, use countermeasures against predation – they actively develop responses to counteract their vulnerability to different predators by rapidly adjusting their morphology and life‐history traits to the existing predator regimes.

Predators mitigate the destabilising effects of heatwaves on multitrophic stream communities
Samuel R. P.‐J. Ross, Jorge García Molinos, Atsushi Okuda, Jackson Johnstone, Keisuke Atsumi, Ryo Futamura, Maureen A. Williams, Yuichi Matsuoka, Jiro Uchida, Shoji Kumikawa, Hiroshi Sugiyama, Osamu Kishida, Ian Donohue
Global Change Biology, 28, 2, 403, 416, Wiley, 2022年01月
研究論文（学術雑誌）

Mitigation of urbanization effects on aquatic ecosystems by synchronous ecological restoration.
Hong Fu, Pierre Gaüzère, Jorge García Molinos, Peiyu Zhang, Huan Zhang, Min Zhang, Yuan Niu, Hui Yu, Lee E Brown, Jun Xu
Water research, 204, 117587, 117587, 2021年10月01日, ［国際誌］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）, Ecosystem degradation and biodiversity loss have been caused by economic booms in developing countries over recent decades. In response, ecosystem restoration projects have been advanced in some countries but the effectiveness of different approaches and indicators at large spatio-temporal scales (i.e., whole catchments) remains poorly understood. This study assessed the effectiveness of a diverse array of 440 aquatic restoration projects including wastewater treatment, constructed wetlands, plant/algae salvage and dredging of contaminated sediments implemented and maintained from 2007 to 2017 across more than 2000 km2 of the northwest Taihu basin (Yixing, China). Synchronized investigations of water quality and invertebrate communities were conducted before and after restoration. Our analysis showed that even though there was rapid urbanization at this time, nutrient concentrations (NH4+-N, TN, TP) and biological indices of benthic invertebrate (taxonomic richness, Shannon diversity, sensitive taxon density) improved significantly across most of the study area. Improvements were associated with the type of restoration project, with projects targeting pollution-sources leading to the clearest ecosystem responses compared with those remediating pollution sinks. However, in some locations, the recovery of biotic communities appears to lag behind nutrients (e.g., nitrogen and phosphorus), likely reflecting long-distance re-colonization routes for invertebrates given the level of pre-restoration degradation of the catchment. Overall, the study suggests that ecological damage caused by recent rapid economic development in China could potentially be mitigated by massive restoration investments synchronized across whole catchments, although these effects could be expected to be enhanced if urbanization rates were reduced at the same time.

Synergistic effects of warming and eutrophication alert zooplankton predator‐prey interactions along the benthic–pelagic interface
Huan Zhang, Peiyu Zhang, Huan Wang, Jorge Garc{\'{\i } }a Molinos, Lars-Anders Hansson, Liang He, Min Zhang, Jun Xu
Global Change Biology, 27, 22, 5907, 5919, Wiley, 2021年08月14日, ［国際誌］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）, Contemporary evidence suggests that climate change and other co-occurring large-scale environmental changes, such as eutrophication, will have a considerable impact on aquatic communities. However, the interactions of these environmental changes on trophic interactions among zooplankton remain largely unknown. Here we present results of a mesocosm experiment examining how a couple of zooplankton predator and prey taxa with different life-history strategies respond to the combined effect of an increase in temperature (4.5°C) and in eutrophication (phosphorus addition), during the crucial recruiting and growing season. We show that the addition of phosphorus alone significantly weakened the top-down effects by the cyclopoid copepod predators on their rotifer prey. In contrast, warming strengthened the top-down effects from the predator, leading to a reduction in the abundance of the rotifer prey. These effects of warming were enhanced by phosphorus addition. Together, our results demonstrate that warming made plankton prey organisms more susceptible to top-down effects from predators, but reduced their sensitivity to nutrient enrichment. In terms of the phenological effects, warming advanced the termination of diapause for both rotifers and cyclopoid copepods by about 2 weeks, but these temporal shifts, akin for both groups, resulted in no apparent trophic mismatch. Hence, from a future perspective, cyclopoid copepods are likely to benefit more from the combination of nutrient enrichment and climate warming to the detriment of their rotifer prey.

Eutrophication causes invertebrate biodiversity loss and decreases cross-taxon congruence across anthropogenically-disturbed lakes.
Huan Wang, Jorge García Molinos, Jani Heino, Huan Zhang, Peiyu Zhang, Jun Xu
Environment international, 153, 106494, 106494, 2021年08月, ［国際誌］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）, Eutrophication is a major problem currently impacting many surface water ecosystems. Impacts of increased nutrient concentrations on biodiversity may differ between different scales, different organism groups, and different trophic states. Surveys at different spatial scales have suggested that biodiversity of different taxa may exhibit significant cross-taxon congruence. In our study, we examined the diversity of zooplankton and zoobenthos across 261 lakes in the Lake Taihu watershed, an area that is undergoing a severe eutrophication process. We tested the cross-taxon congruence in species richness and Shannon-Wiener diversity between zooplankton and zoobenthos along a nutrient gradient across the lakes. Our findings were consistent with the intermediate disturbance hypothesis, considering nutrient input as the disturbance. Also, we found significant cross-taxon congruence between zooplankton and zoobenthos diversities. Our results confirmed that excess nutrient levels resulted in diversity loss and community simplification. Zoobenthos were more sensitive to nutrient increases compared with zooplankton, which decreased cross-taxon congruence because these organism groups did not respond similarly to the anthropogenic disturbance.

Marine biodiversity refugia in a climate‐sensitive subarctic shelf
Irene D. Alabia, Jorge García Molinos, Takafumi Hirata, Franz J. Mueter, Toru Hirawake, Sei‐Ichi Saitoh
Global Change Biology, 27, 14, 3299, 3311, Wiley, 2021年07月25日
研究論文（学術雑誌）, The subarctic shelf of the Eastern Bering Sea (EBS) is one of the world's most productive marine environments, exposed to drastic climate changes characterized by extreme fluctuations in temperature, sea ice concentration, timing, and duration. These climatic changes elicit profound responses in species distribution, abundance, and community composition. Here, we examined the patterns of alpha and temporal beta diversity of 159 marine taxa (66 vertebrates and 93 invertebrate species) from 29 years (1990–2018) of species observations from the NOAA bottom trawl surveys in the EBS. Based on these data, we identified geographically distinct refugial zones in the northern and southern regions of the middle shelf, defined by high species richness and similarity in community species composition over time. These refugial zones harbor higher frequencies of occurrence for representative taxa relative to the regions outside of refugia. We also explored the primary environmental factors structuring marine biodiversity distributions, which underpinned the importance of the winter sea ice concentration to alpha and temporal beta diversity. The spatial biodiversity distributions between high and low winter sea ice regimes highlighted contrasting signals. In particular, the latter showed elevated species richness compared to the former. Further, the temporal beta diversity between the high and low winter sea ice periods underpinned an overall increase in the compositional similarity of marine communities in the EBS. Despite these spatiotemporal differences in biodiversity distributions, the identified refugia represent safe havens of marine biodiversity in the EBS. Distinguishing these areas can help facilitate conservation and management efforts under accelerated and ongoing climatic changes.

Seasonality and aquatic metacommunity assemblage in three abandoned gold mining ponds in the southwestern Amazon, Madre de Dios (Peru)
Julio M. Araújo-Flores, Jorge Garate-Quispe, Jorge García Molinos, JORGE MARTIN PILLACA ORTIZ, Jorge Caballero-Espejo, Cesar Ascorra, Miles Silman, Luis E. Fernandez
Ecological Indicators, 125, 107455, 107455, Elsevier BV, 2021年06月
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）

Multiple facets of marine biodiversity in the Pacific Arctic under future climate
Irene D. Alabia, Jorge García Molinos, Sei-Ichi Saitoh, Takafumi Hirata, Toru Hirawake, Franz J. Mueter
Science of The Total Environment, 744, 140913, 140913, Elsevier BV, 2020年11月
研究論文（学術雑誌）, Climate change is triggering a global reorganization of marine life. Biogeographical transition zones, diversity-rich regions straddling biogeographical units where many species live at, or close to, their physiological tolerance limits (i.e., range distribution edges), are redistribution hotspots that offer a unique opportunity to understand the mechanisms and consequences of climate-driven thermophilization processes in natural communities. In this context, we examined the impacts of climate change projections in the 21st century (2026–2100) on marine biodiversity in the Eastern Bering and Chukchi seas within the Pacific Arctic, a climatically exposed and sensitive boreal-to-Arctic transition zone. Overall, projected changes in species distributions, modeled using species distribution models, resulted in poleward increases in species richness and functional redundancy, along with pronounced reductions in phylogenetic distances by century's end (2076–2100). Future poleward shifts of boreal species in response to warming and sea ice changes are projected to alter the taxonomic and functional biogeography of contemporary Arctic communities as larger, longer-lived and more predatory taxa expand their leading distributional margins. Drawing from the existing evidence from other Arctic regions, these changes are anticipated to increase the susceptibility and vulnerability of the Arctic ecosystems, as trophic connectance between biological components increases, thus decreasing the modularity of Arctic food webs. Our results demonstrate how integrating multiple diversity facets can provide key insights into the relationships between climate change, species composition and ecosystem functioning across marine biogeographic regions.

Differential Responses of Food Web Properties to Opposite Assembly Rules and Species Richness
Yulun Guo, Tao Wang, Jorge García Molinos, Huan Zhang, Peiyu Zhang, Min Zhang, Jun Xu
Water, 12, 10, 2828, 2828, MDPI AG, 2020年10月12日
研究論文（学術雑誌）, Trophic niches condition the energetic performance of species within food webs providing a vital link between food web assembly, species diversity, and functioning of ecosystems. Our understanding of this important link is, however, limited by the lack of empirical tools that can be easily applied to compare entire food webs at regional scales. By comparison, with different a priori synthetic models defined according to specific assembly rules (i.e., purely random, limiting similarity, and niche filtering), we demonstrate that a set of food web properties (trophic richness, evenness, and divergence) are controlled by ecological processes. We further demonstrate that although both limiting similarity and niche filtering are statistically significant assembly processes shaping our studied lake food webs, their relative importance is richness-dependent, and contextual to the specific food web property under consideration. Our results have both important theoretical and practical implications. Theoretically, the observed richness-dependent variation on food web properties contradicts the common criticism on food web theory that food web properties are roughly scale-invariant. Practically, these properties can help avoiding spurious conclusions, while providing useful information for multiple food web niche spaces supporting the ecosystem functioning.

Climate velocity reveals increasing exposure of deep-ocean biodiversity to future warming
Isaac Brito-Morales, David S. Schoeman, Jorge García Molinos, Michael T. Burrows, Carissa J. Klein, Nur Arafeh-Dalmau, Kristin Kaschner, Cristina Garilao, Kathleen Kesner-Reyes, Anthony J. Richardson
Nature Climate Change, 10, 6, 576, 581, Springer Science and Business Media {LLC}, 2020年06月25日
研究論文（学術雑誌）

Governance challenges for tropical nations losing fish species due to climate change
Kimberly L. Oremus, Jennifer Bone, Christopher Costello, Jorge García Molinos, Alice Lee, Tracey Mangin, James Salzman
Nature Sustainability, 3, 4, 277, 280, Springer Science and Business Media {LLC}, 2020年04月24日, ［査読有り］
研究論文（学術雑誌）

Realistic fisheries management reforms could mitigate the impacts of climate change in most countries
Free, Christopher M. AND Mangin, Tracey AND García Molinos, Jorge AND Ojea, Elena AND Burden, Merrick AND Costello, Christopher AND Gaines, Steven D.
PLOS ONE, 15, 3, Public Library of Science, 2020年03月, ［査読有り］
研究論文（学術雑誌）

A dynamic temperature difference control recording system in shallow lake mesocosm
Tao Wang, Jun Xu, Jorge García Molinos, Chao Li, Bowen Hu, Meng Pan, Min Zhang
MethodsX, 7, 100930, 100930, Elsevier BV, 2020年, ［国際誌］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）, The effects of climate change on shallow lakes were studied via control experiments, such as a mesocosm study. Accurate control, monitoring and recording of temperature difference are crucial for the ongoing simulation of warming mesocosm. In this article, we provide a method that can adjust automatically and allow real-time monitoring and recording of water temperature. This system is composed of three main parts: the temperature sensor DS18B20, which measures and outputs the digital temperature value; a C8051F320 microcontroller, which acquires, analyses and stores the temperature data and performs control upon start and shutdown of external heating elements; and external heating devices perform heating until the target temperature difference is achieved.•This system can maintain a certain temperature difference under gradually changing external environmental conditions.•This system can achieve real-time online monitoring of water temperature.•This system has an excellent ability to resist disturbance.

Effects of warming, climate extremes and phosphorus enrichment on the growth, sexual reproduction and propagule carbon and nitrogen stoichiometry of Potamogeton crispus L
Jun Xu, Tao Wang, Jorge García Molinos, Chao Li, Bowen Hu, Meng Pan, Min Zhang
Environment International, 137, 105502, 105502, Elsevier BV, 2020年, ［査読有り］
研究論文（学術雑誌）

Global marine warming in a new dimension
J. García Molinos
Nature Ecology and Evolution, 4, 10.1038/s41559-019-1037-5, Springer Nature, 2020年01月, ［査読有り］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）

VoCC: An R package for calculating the velocity of climate change and related climatic metrics
Jorge García Molinos, David S. Schoeman, Christopher J. Brown, Michael T. Burrows
Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 10, 12, 2195, 2202, British Ecological Society, 2019年12月, ［査読有り］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）

Ocean community warming responses explained by thermal affinities and temperature gradients
M.T. Burrows, A. E. Bates, M. J. Costello, M. Edwards, G. J. Edgar, C. J. Fox, B. S. Halpern, J. G. Hiddink, M. L. Pinsky, R.D. Batt, J. García Molinos, B. L. Payne, D. S. Schoeman, R. D. Stuart-Smith, E. S. Poloczanska
Nature Climate Change, 9, 959, 963, Springer Nature, 2019年11月25日, ［査読有り］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）

JorGarMol/VoCC: First release VoCC
Jorge Garcia Molinos, Chris Brown
Zenodo, 2019年08月30日
First release of R package VoCC

Cross-taxon congruence of multiple diversity facets of freshwater assemblages is determined by large-scale processes across China
Jun Xu, Jorge García Molinos, Guohuan Su, Shin ichiro S. Matsuzaki, Munemitsu Akasaka, Huan Zhang, Jani Heino
Freshwater Biology, 64, 8, 1492, 1503, 2019年08月, ［査読有り］
研究論文（学術雑誌）, © 2019 John Wiley & Sons Ltd. An intensively debated issue in ecology is whether variability in the patterns of diversity of different groups of organisms is congruent in space, a phenomenon referred to as cross-taxon congruence. Whereas this has been previously mainly tested in terms of taxonomic dissimilarity, the role of ecological processes in determining the congruence of multiple diversity facets (i.e. α- and β-diversity, taxonomic, and functional) remains poorly understood. We used a data set of observation records for 469 macrophyte and 543 fish taxa at the catchment-scale from the existing literature and data bases to test the existence of multi-faceted congruence patterns and investigate the variables driving them across 214 catchments covering the whole Chinese mainland. We found cross-taxon congruence of multiple diversity aspects between fish and macrophyte communities. The energy (i.e. diversity is limited by energy availability), area/environmental heterogeneity (i.e. diversity is higher in larger and more heterogeneous areas), and dispersal (i.e. diversity is driven by dispersal) hypotheses were all significantly attributed to the cross-taxon congruence, suggesting the existence of key repeated mechanisms underlying assemblage organisation. Our study provides new evidence that can further our understanding of the factors and underlying processes explaining cross-taxon congruence patterns at broad spatial scales in the freshwater realm, the studies of which significantly lag those in the marine and terrestrial realms. The present findings also provide important baseline information for freshwater conservation initiatives.

Cross‐taxon congruence of multiple diversity facets of freshwater assemblages is determined by large‐scale processes across China
Xu, J., J. García Molinos, G. Su, S.S. Matsuzaki, M. Akasaka, H. Zhang, J. Heino
Freshwater Biology, 64, 8, 1492, 1503, Wiley, 2019年08月, ［査読有り］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）

Drivers and Changes of the Poyang Lake Wetland Ecosystem
Wang, Y., J. García Molinos, L. Shi, M. Zhang, Z. Wu, H. Zhang, J. Xu
Wetlands, https://doi.org/10.1007/s13157, Springer, 2019年07月01日, ［査読有り］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）

Spatially Structured Environmental Variation Plays a Prominent Role on the Biodiversity of Freshwater Macrophytes Across China
M. Zhang, J. García Molinos, G. Su, H. Zhang, J. Xu
Frontiers in Plant Science, 10, e161, Frontiers, 2019年02月22日, ［査読有り］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）

Contemporary changes in structural dynamics and socioeconomic drivers of inland fishery in China
K. Zhao, J. García Molinos, H. Zhang, M. Zhang, J. Xu
Science of the Total Environment, 648, 1535, 1535, 2019年, ［査読有り］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）

Ocean currents and herbivory drive macroalgae-to-coral community shift under climate warming
N.H. Kumagai, J. García Molinos, H. Yamano, S. Takao, M. Fujii, Y. Yamanaka
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 115, 36, 8990, 8995, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2018年09月04日, ［査読有り］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）

Improved fisheries management could offset many negative effects of climate change
S.D. Gaines, C. Costello, B. Owashi, T. Mangin, J. Bone, J. García Molinos, M. Burden, H. Dennis, B.S. Halpern, C.V. Kappel, K.M. Kleisner, D. Ovando
Science Advances, 4, 8, eaao1378, 2018年08月, ［査読有り］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）

Distribution shifts of marine taxa in the Pacific Arctic under contemporary climate changes
Alabia, I.D., J. García Molinos, S. Saitoh, T. Hirawake, T. Hirata, F.J. Mueter
Diversity and Distributions, 24, 2018年06月, ［査読有り］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）

Climate Velocity Can Inform Conservation in a Warming World
Brito-Morales, I., J. García Molinos, D.S. Schoeman, M.T. Burrows, E.S. Poloczanska, C.J. Brown, S. Ferrier, T.D. Harwood, C.J. Klein, E. McDonald-Madden, P.J. Moore, J.M. P, olfi, J.E.M. Watson, A.S. Wenger, A.J. Richardson
Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 33, 6, Cell Press, 2018年04月28日, ［査読有り］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）

Functional and taxonomic differentiation of macrophyte assemblages across the Yangtze River floodplain under human impacts
Min Zhang, Jorge García Molinos, Xiaolin Zhang, Jun Xu
Frontiers in Plant Science, 9, Article 387, Frontiers Media SA, 2018年03月27日, ［査読有り］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）

Biogeographical Shifts and Climate Change
García Molinos, J., E.S. Poloczanska, J.D. Olden, J.J. Lawler, M.T. Burrows
Encyclopedia of the Anthropocene, Elsevier, 2018年

Improving the interpretability of climate landscape metrics: an ecological risk analysis of Japan's Marine Protected Areas
J. García Molinos, S. Takao, N.H. Kumagai, E.S. Poloczanska, M.T. Burrows, M. Fujii, H. Yamano
Global Change Biology, 10.1111/gcb.13665, 2017年10月, ［査読有り］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）

Ocean currents modify the coupling between climate change and biogeographical shifts
García Molinos, J., M.T. Burrows, E.S. Poloczanska
Scientific Reports, 7, 1332, Springer Nature, 2017年05月02日, ［査読有り］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）

Biodiversity and Climate Change in the Oceans
Booth, D.J., E.S. Poloczanska, J.M. Donelson, J. García Molinos, M.T. Burrows
Climate Change Impacts on Fisheries and Aquaculture, John Wiley & Sons Ltd, 2017年

Optimal response to habitat linkage of local fish diversity and mean trophic level
Jun Xu, Huan Zhang, Yongjiu Cai, Jorge Garcia Molinos, Min Zhang
LIMNOLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY, 61, 4, 1438, 1448, WILEY-BLACKWELL, 2016年07月, ［査読有り］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）, Spatially segregated ecosystems are frequently subsidized by cross-habitat linkages, but the extent to which the functional links between habitats influence local community attributes, such as consumer and food web structure is still poorly understood. Using the bidirectional linkage between benthic and pelagic habitats in floodplain lakes, we address this important question by looking for evidence of an optimal extent of habitat linkage supporting maximum taxonomic richness and mean trophic level. We then ask if there are significant changes in these local community attributes between historical and current communities, and if these reflect the history of species loss resulting from the intense human alteration of these lakes. We found a strong optimal response of maximum richness and mean trophic level along the pelagic-benthic gradient, both across and within individual lakes. This is consistent with the expectation of optimal resource availability along the habitat linkage gradient supporting more and taxonomically richer communities. Comparison between historical and current assemblages revealed a significant decrease in the optimal linkage for maximum richness in response to the history of species loss, but not for maximum mean trophic level, probably a response to the increased habitat homogenization and enhanced productivity caused by the recent history of nutrient-enrichment and habitat alteration. Our study provides strong evidence of high diversity and trophic level occurring at intermediate levels of coupling between pelagic and benthic resources, suggesting assemblage reliance on multiple production sources, and offers novel insight into the responses of this relationship to species loss due to human activities.

Responses of marine organisms to climate change across oceans
Elvira S. Poloczanska, Michael T. Burrows, Christopher J. Brown, Jorge García Molinos, Benjamin S. Halpern, Ove Hoegh-Guldberg, Carrie V. Kappel, Pippa J. Moore, Anthony J. Richardson, David S. Schoeman, William J. Sydeman
Frontiers in Marine Science, 3, MAY, JorgeGM, Frontiers Media S. A, 2016年, ［査読有り］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）, Climate change is driving changes in the physical and chemical properties of the ocean that have consequences for marine ecosystems. Here, we review evidence for the responses of marine life to recent climate change across ocean regions, from tropical seas to polar oceans. We consider observed changes in calcification rates, demography, abundance, distribution, and phenology of marine species. We draw on a database of observed climate change impacts on marine species, supplemented with evidence in the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. We discuss factors that limit or facilitate species' responses, such as fishing pressure, the availability of prey, habitat, light and other resources, and dispersal by ocean currents. We find that general trends in species' responses are consistent with expectations from climate change, including shifts in distribution to higher latitudes and to deeper locations, advances in spring phenology, declines in calcification, and increases in the abundance of warm-water species. The volume and type of evidence associated with species responses to climate change is variable across ocean regions and taxonomic groups, with predominance of evidence derived from the heavily-studied north Atlantic Ocean. Most investigations of the impact of climate change being associated with the impacts of changing temperature, with few observations of effects of changing oxygen, wave climate, precipitation (coastal waters), or ocean acidification. Observations of species responses that have been linked to anthropogenic climate change are widespread, but are still lacking for some taxonomic groups (e.g., phytoplankton, benthic invertebrates, marine mammals).

Climate velocity and the future global redistribution of marine biodiversity
Jorge Garcia Molinos, Benjamin S. Halpern, David S. Schoeman, Christopher J. Brown, Wolfgang Kiessling, Pippa J. Moore, John M. Pandolfi, Elvira S. Poloczanska, Anthony J. Richardson, Michael T. Burrows
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 6, 1, 83, +, NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP, 2016年01月, ［査読有り］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）, Anticipating the effect of climate change on biodiversity, in particular on changes in community composition, is crucial for adaptive ecosystem management(1) but remains a critical knowledge gap(2). Here, we use climate velocity trajectories(3), together with information on thermal tolerances and habitat preferences, to project changes in global patterns of marine species richness and community composition under IPCC Representative Concentration Pathways(4) (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5. Our simple, intuitive approach emphasizes climate connectivity, and enables us to model over 12 times as many species as previous studies(5,6). We find that range expansions prevail over contractions for both RCPs up to 2100, producing a net local increase in richness globally, and temporal changes in composition, driven by the redistribution rather than the loss of diversity. Conversely, widespread invasions homogenize present-day communities across multiple regions. High extirpation rates are expected regionally (for example, Indo-Pacific), particularly under RCP8.5, leading to strong decreases in richness and the anticipated formation of no-analogue communities where invasions are common. The spatial congruence of these patterns with contemporary human impacts(7,8) highlights potential areas of future conservation concern. These results strongly suggest that the millennial stability of current global marine diversity patterns, against which conservation plans are assessed, will change rapidly over the course of the century in response to ocean warming.

Human impacts on functional and taxonomic homogenization of plateau fish assemblages in Yunnan, China
Guohuan Su, Jun Xu, Munemitsu Akasaka, Jorge Garcia Molinos, Shin-ichiro S. Matsuzaki
GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND CONSERVATION, 4, 470, 478, ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV, 2015年07月, ［査読有り］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）, Human activities and the consequent extinctions of native species and invasions of nonnative species have been changing the composition of species assemblages worldwide. These anthropogenic impacts alter not only the richness of assemblages but also the biological dissimilarity among them. However, much of the research effort to date has focused on changes in taxonomic dissimilarity (i.e. accounting for species composition) whether assessments of functional dissimilarity (i.e. accounting for the diversity of biological traits) are much more scarce, despite revealing important complimentary information by accounting for changes in the diversity of biological traits. Here, we assess the temporal (1950s against 2000s) changes in both taxonomic and functional dissimilarities of freshwater fish assemblages across lakes from the Yunnan Plateau in China. The Jaccard index to quantify the changes in both taxonomic and functional dissimilarity. We then partitioned dissimilarity to extract its turnover component and measured the changes in the contribution of turnover to dissimilarity. We found that functional and taxonomic homogenization occurred simultaneously. However, patterns between these two processes differed for some lakes. Taxonomic and functional homogenizations were stronger when the historical level of taxonomic dissimilarity among assemblages was high. The impact of extinctions of native species and invasions of non-native species on homogenization was otherwise complex to disentangle with no significant effect of any of the studied environmental factors. In agreement with other studies, our study proved that change in taxonomic dissimilarity cannot be used to predict changes in functional dissimilarity and, as an indicator of ecosystem functioning, functional dissimilarity should be used together with taxonomic dissimilarity to attain a more holistic understanding of human impacts on natural ecosystems. (C) 2015 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B. V.

Importance of Long-Term Cycles for Predicting Water Level Dynamics in Natural Lakes
Jorge Garcia Molinos, Mafalda Viana, Michael Brennan, Ian Donohue
PLOS ONE, 10, 3, e0119253, PUBLIC LIBRARY SCIENCE, 2015年03月, ［査読有り］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）, Lakes are disproportionately important ecosystems for humanity, containing 77% of the liquid surface freshwater on Earth and comprising key contributors to global biodiversity. With an ever-growing human demand for water and increasing climate uncertainty, there is pressing need for improved understanding of the underlying patterns of natural variability of water resources and consideration of their implications for water resource management and conservation. Here we use Bayesian harmonic regression models to characterise water level dynamics and study the influence of cyclic components in confounding estimation of long-term directional trends in water levels in natural Irish lakes. We found that the lakes were characterised by a common and well-defined annual seasonality and several inter-annual and inter-decadal cycles with strong transient behaviour over time. Importantly, failing to account for the longer-term cyclic components produced a significant overall underestimation of the trend effect. Our findings demonstrate the importance of contextualising lake water resource management to the specific physical setting of lakes.

Temperature tracking by North Sea benthic invertebrates in response to climate change
Jan G. Hiddink, Michael T. Burrows, Jorge Garcia Molinos
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 21, 1, 117, 129, WILEY-BLACKWELL, 2015年01月, ［査読有り］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）, Climate change is a major threat to biodiversity and distributions shifts are one of the most significant threats to global warming, but the extent to which these shifts keep pace with a changing climate is yet uncertain. Understanding the factors governing range shifts is crucial for conservation management to anticipate patterns of biodiversity distribution under future anthropogenic climate change. Soft-sediment invertebrates are a key faunal group because of their role in marine biogeochemistry and as a food source for commercial fish species. However, little information exists on their response to climate change. Here, we evaluate changes in the distribution of 65 North Sea benthic invertebrate species between 1986 and 2000 by examining their geographic, bathymetric and thermal niche shifts and test whether species are tracking their thermal niche as defined by minimum, mean or maximum sea bottom (SBT) and surface (SST) temperatures. Temperatures increased in the whole North Sea with many benthic invertebrates showing north-westerly range shifts (leading/trailing edges as well as distribution centroids) and deepening. Nevertheless, distribution shifts for most species (3.8-7.3kmyr(-1) interquantile range) lagged behind shifts in both SBT and SST (mean 8.1kmyr(-1)), resulting in many species experiencing increasing temperatures. The velocity of climate change (VoCC) of mean SST accurately predicted both the direction and magnitude of distribution centroid shifts, while maximum SST did the same for contraction of the trailing edge. The VoCC of SBT was not a good predictor of range shifts. No good predictor of expansions of the leading edge was found. Our results show that invertebrates need to shift at different rates and directions to track the climate velocities of different temperature measures, and are therefore lagging behind most temperature measures. If these species cannot withstand a change in thermal habitat, this could ultimately lead to a drop in benthic biodiversity.

Complimentary analysis of metacommunity nestedness and diversity partitioning highlights the need for a holistic conservation strategy for highland lake fish assemblages
Jun Xu, Guohuan Su, Ying Xiong, Munemitsu Akasaka, Jorge Garcia Molinos, Shin-ichiro S. Matsuzaki, Min Zhang
GLOBAL ECOLOGY AND CONSERVATION, 3, 288, 296, ELSEVIER, 2015年01月, ［査読有り］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）, Metacommunity nestedness can be affected by both idiosyncratic species and species turnover, and diversity partitioning allows one to separate turnover and nested components within beta-diversity. Thus, complimentary analysis of metacommunity nestedness and diversity partitioning allows for the identification of the underlying changes at both local and regional scales. We examined changes of fish assemblages in metacommunity nestedness and alpha-, beta-, and gamma-diversities resulting from the intense loss of native species and the invasion of nonnative species in Chinese highland lakes over the past 60 years. We found metacommunity nestedness rose markedly over time, following the loss of both beta- and gamma-diversity resulting from the loss of native species, and the increase of a diversity by the addition of nonnative species. This pattern is contradictory to the selective extinction leading to larger nestedness in natural ecosystems and indicates the human-induced negative effects on the metacommunity. However, beta-diversity partitioning showed that the turnover component due to species replacement among lakes still contributes more than the nested component, suggesting the importance of avoiding setting conservation priorities based exclusively on metacommunity nestedness theory, but taking a more holistic metacommunity-approach to conservation instead. (C) 2014 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.

Downscaling the non-stationary effect of climate forcing on local-scale dynamics: the importance of environmental filters
Jorge Garcia Molinos, Ian Donohue
CLIMATIC CHANGE, 124, 1-2, 333, 346, SPRINGER, 2014年05月, ［査読有り］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）, Large-scale climatic variability exerts a strong influence on local-scale environmental patterns and processes. However, disentangling the effects of global climate forcing from observed patterns in local processes requires robust understanding of the underlying patterns of temporal variability and consideration of the specific setting in which these processes take place. Here, we examine the influence of intermediate-scale environmental factors in modulating the effects of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) on long-term water level dynamics in natural lakes. Lakes are ideal systems to study these relationships because of their acute sensitivity to environmental change and their linkages with multi-scale processes through the hydrological cycle. Using a novel combination of analytical tools, we show that the coupling between the NAO and water level dynamics is markedly nonstationary (i.e., time-frequency variant) and strongly lake-specific, filtered through the particular weather and environmental settings of lakes and their catchments. We conclude that to fully understand the nonstationary interplay between climate and ecology, we need first to disentangle the intermediate links between climate and different embedded environmental factors related to the process of interest. This knowledge should enhance significantly our ability to produce adequate long-term water resource management strategies, to preserve biological diversity and to achieve sustainable development under a globally changing climate.

Geographical limits to species-range shifts are suggested by climate velocity
Michael T. Burrows, David S. Schoeman, Anthony J. Richardson, Jorge Garcia Molinos, Ary Hoffmann, Lauren B. Buckley, Pippa J. Moore, Christopher J. Brown, John F. Bruno, Carlos M. Duarte, Benjamin S. Halpern, Ove Hoegh-Guldberg, Carrie V. Kappel, Wolfgang Kiessling, Mary I. O'Connor, John M. Pandolfi, Camille Parmesan, WilliamJ. Sydeman, Simon Ferrier, Kristen J. Williams, Elvira S. Poloczanska
NATURE, 507, 7493, 492, +, NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP, 2014年03月, ［査読有り］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）, The reorganization of patterns of species diversity driven by anthropogenic climate change, and the consequences for humans(1), are not yet fully understood or appreciated(2,3). Nevertheless, changes in climate conditions are useful for predicting shifts in species distributions at global(4) and local scales(5). Here we use the velocity of climate change(6,7) to derive spatial trajectories for climatic niches from 1960 to 2009 (ref. 7) and from 2006 to 2100, and use the properties of these trajectories to infer changes in species distributions. Coastlines act as barriers and locally cooler areas act as attractors for trajectories, creating source and sink areas for local climatic conditions. Climate source areas indicate where locally novel conditions are not connected to areas where similar climates previously occurred, and are thereby inaccessible to climate migrants tracking isotherms: 16% of global surface area for 1960 to 2009, and 34% of ocean for the 'business as usual' climate scenario (representative concentration pathway (RCP) 8.5)(8) representing continued use of fossil fuels without mitigation. Climate sink areas are where climate conditions locally disappear, potentially blocking the movement of climate migrants. Sink areas comprise 1.0% of ocean area and 3.6% of land and are prevalent on coasts and high ground. Using this approach to infer shifts in species distributions gives global and regional maps of the expected direction and rate of shifts of climate migrants, and suggests areas of potential loss of species richness.

Stream Habitat Fragmentation Caused by Road Networks in Spanish Low-order Forest Catchments
García Molinos, J.
Management of Mountain Watersheds, Springer Netherlands, 2012年

Temporal variability within disturbance events regulates their effects on natural communities
Jorge Garcia Molinos, Ian Donohue
OECOLOGIA, 166, 3, 795, 806, SPRINGER, 2011年07月, ［査読有り］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）, Disturbances are processes inherently variable in time and space. This variability comprises a key determinant of ecosystem responses to disturbance. Temporal patterns can, however, vary significantly both among and within individual disturbance events. While recent research has demonstrated an importance of the former, studies on the effects of variability within perturbations have consistently confounded temporal variability with other disturbance attributes (e.g. overall intensity or duration). We established a field experiment to test explicitly the hypothesis that the temporal pattern within perturbations can drive ecosystem responses independently of other disturbance traits. We examined the effects of two disturbance regimes comprising sediment pulses of contrasting temporal pattern (constant and temporally variable intensities) on the benthic invertebrate assemblage of a headwater stream. The overall intensity, duration, timing and frequency of the perturbations were, however, identical. Invertebrates drifting during the temporally variable pulses were more abundant and differed in taxonomic and trophic structure than those exposed to constant perturbations. Moreover, whereas temporal patterns of disturbance events had no immediate effect on benthic invertebrate assemblages in situ, assemblages exposed to the constant perturbations took longer to recover from sediment disturbances than those exposed to temporally variable perturbations. Our results demonstrate that variability in the temporal pattern of intensity within individual perturbations can regulate, independently of other disturbance attributes, the extent and type of ecosystem responses to, and recovery from, disturbances. Effective environmental management and policy therefore necessitate the explicit quantification of temporal patterns of intensity both within and among perturbations.

Taxa description and biology Alonso, F. et al . 2011. . In Javier Oscoz, David Galicia, and Rafael Miranda (Eds). . Springer. Dordretch, The Netherlands. ISBN 978 - 94 - 007 - 1553 - 0. pp. 47 - 140
García Molinos Jorge
Identification Guide of Freshwater Macroinvertebrates of Spain, 2011年, ［国際誌］
英語

Interactions among temporal patterns determine the effects of multiple stressors
Jorge Garcia Molinos, Ian Donohue
ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS, 20, 7, 1794, 1800, ECOLOGICAL SOC AMER, 2010年10月, ［査読有り］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）, Recent research has revealed that one of the most important characteristics of both natural and anthropogenic disturbances is their temporal heterogeneity. However, little is known about the relative importance of interactions among temporal patterns of multiple stressors. We established a fully factorial field experiment to test whether interactions among temporal patterns of two globally important anthropogenic disturbances of aquatic ecosystems (increased sediment loading and nutrient enrichment) determined the responses of stream benthic assemblages. Each disturbance treatment comprised three distinct regimes: regular and temporally variable pulses and an undisturbed control. The overall frequency, intensity and extent of disturbance was, however, equal across all disturbed treatments. We found that interactions among temporal disturbance regimes determined the effects of the compounded sediment and nutrient perturbations on algal biomass and the diversity, taxonomic and trophic composition of benthic assemblages. Moreover, our results also show that the temporal synchronization of multiple stressors does not necessarily maximize the impact of compounded perturbations. This comprises the first experimental evidence that interactions among the temporal patterns of disturbances drive the responses of ecosystems to multiple stressors. Knowledge of the temporal pattern of disturbances is therefore essential for the reliable prediction of impacts from, and effective management of, compounded perturbations.

Impacts of increased sediment loads on the ecology of lakes
Ian Donohue, Jorge Garcia Molinos
BIOLOGICAL REVIEWS, 84, 4, 517, 531, WILEY-BLACKWELL PUBLISHING, INC, 2009年11月, ［査読有り］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）, Increased sediment loading comprises one of the most important and pervasive anthropogenic impacts on aquatic ecosystems globally. In spite of this, little is known of the overall effects of increased sediment loads on lakes. By modifying both bottom-up and top-down ecological processes and restructuring energy flow pathways, increased sediment loads not only alter biotic assemblage structure and ecological functioning significantly, but frequently result in reduced biological diversity and productivity. Although lake food-webs can be subsidised to some extent by the adsorption of organic carbon to fine sediments, trophic structure and the composition of biotic assemblages remain likely to be modified considerably. The mineralogy and particle size of sediments and the availability of nutrients, by influencing both the scale and nature of impacts, are key determinants of the overall effects of increased sediment loads on lake ecosystems. Although interactions with other global anthropogenic pressures, such as invasion by exotic species and climate change, are likely to be significant, little remains known about the nature or likely strength of those interactions. Widespread increases in sediment loading to lakes have, therefore, profound implications for the conservation and management of global aquatic biological diversity.

Differential contribution of concentration and exposure time to sediment dose effects on stream biota
Jorge Garcia Molinos, Ian Donohue
JOURNAL OF THE NORTH AMERICAN BENTHOLOGICAL SOCIETY, 28, 1, 110, 121, NORTH AMER BENTHOLOGICAL SOC, 2009年03月, ［査読有り］
英語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）, Anthropogenically increased sediment loads are one of the most pervasive pollution pressures on surface waters and carry major ecological implications for biota. We conducted an experiment in artificial streams to quantify the response of 4 common macroinvertebrate taxa (Rithrogena semicolorata, Baetis rhodani, Asellus aquaticus, and Glossosoma boltoni) and benthic algae to doses of inorganic sediment that differed in maximum concentration and exposure time. Relatively minor disturbances (maximum concentration 250 mg/L) decreased % organic content of epilithon significantly after the first 24 h of exposure. However, algal biomass (measured as chlorophyll a) was reduced significantly only in the most prolonged exposure time (7 d). Epilithic nutrient stoichiometry (as indicated by molar organic ON ratios) was not affected by sediment addition. Invertebrate drift was affected strongly by exposure time, and all taxa exhibited statistically significant responses within the first day under all concentrations. However, concentration interacted significantly with exposure time in its effects on the drift of both mayfly species. Macroinvertebrate survival was high or complete for all treatments. Therefore, the differing relative and interactive effects of concentration and exposure time suggest that the common prediction of severity of effect based on a constant relationship between these factors can produce considerable overestimates or underestimates of environmental risk. Biological effects derived from increased sediment loads should be assessed on the basis of their overall dose and on the basis of the specific relationship between the concentration and exposure time that make up the dose.

Los ascensores para peces: una alternativa olvidada
Martínez de Azagra, A., J. García Molinos
Montes, 83, 47, 53, Colegio Oficial y Asociación de Ingenieros de Montes, 2006年, ［国際誌］
スペイン語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）

Diseño de obras de paso compatibles con la migración de los peces
García Molinos, J., A. Llanos, A. Martínez, de Azagra
Ingeniería Civil, 139, 132, 139, CEDEX, 2005年, ［国際誌］
スペイン語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）

Diseño de ascensores para peces
Martínez de Azagra, A., García Molinos, J.
Ingeniería Civil, 132, 83, 93, CEDEX, 2004年, ［国際誌］
スペイン語, 研究論文（学術雑誌）

Chapter 3: Oceans and Coastal Ecosystems and their Services　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
Sarah Cooley, David Schoeman, Laurent Bopp, Philip Boyd, Simon Donner, Shin-ichi Ito, Wolfgang Kiessling, Paulina Martinetto, Elena Ojea, Marie-Fanny Racault, Bjoern Rost, Mette Skern-Mauritzen, Dawit Yemane Ghebrehiwet, Johann D Bell, Julia Blanchard, Jessica Bolin, William WL Cheung, Andrés Cisneros-Montemayor, Sam Dupont, Stephanie Dutkiewicz, Thomas Frölicher, Juan-Diego Gaitán-Espitia, Jorge García Molinos, Helen Gurney-Smith, Stephanie Henson, Manuel Hidalgo, Elisabeth Holland, Robert Kopp, Rebecca Kordas, Lester Kwiatkowski, Nadine Le Bris, Salvador E Lluch-Cota, Cheryl Logan, Felix Christopher Mark, Yunus Mgaya, Coleen Moloney, Norma Patricia, Muñoz Sevilla, Gregoire Randin, Nussaibah B Raja, Anusha Rajkaran, Anthony Richardson, Stephanie Roe, Raquel Ruiz Diaz, Diana Salili, Jean-Baptise Sallée, Kylie Scales, Michelle Scobie, Craig T Simmons, Olivier Torres, Andrew Yool, IPCC WGII Sixth Assessment Report, 2022年02月
機関テクニカルレポート，技術報告書，プレプリント等

The Expected Impacts of Climate Change on the Ocean Economy
S. Gaines, R. Cabral, C. Free, Y. Golbuu, R. Arnason, W. Battista, D. Bradley, W. Cheung, K. Fabricius, O. Huegh-Guldberg, M. A. Juinio-Meñez, J. García, Molinos, E. Ojea, E. O’Reilly, C. Turley, Blue Paper Series. Washington, DC: World Resources Institute., 2019年12月06日, ［査読有り］
World Resources Institute, 英語

Chapter 5: Changing Ocean, Marine Ecosystems, and Dependent Communities
Jorge García Molinos, Contributing Author, Nathaniel L. Bindoff, William W, L. Cheung, James G. Kairo, Coordinating Lead Authors, IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate, 2019年09月24日, ［査読有り］
英語

VoCC: The Velocity of Climate Change and related climatic metrics
J. García Molinos, D. S. Schoeman, C. J. Brown, M. T. Burrows, R package version 1.0.0., 2019年07月
R package, 英語, その他

Marine climate change impacts: implications for the implementation of marine biodiversity legislation
García Molinos Jorge, MCCIP, Lowestoft, 16 pp. doi:10.14465/2015.mbl00, 2015年, ［招待有り］, ［国際誌］
Contribution, Marine Climate Change Impacts Partnership, 英語, 速報，短報，研究ノート等（大学，研究機関紀要）

Chapter 10: Marine Biogeography. In Biogeography: An Integrative Approach of the Evolution of Living. pp 245-273　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
Jorge García Molinos, Irene D. Alabia
ISTE, 2021年11月, 9781789450606, ［共著］

Biogeographical Shifts and Climate Change　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
García Molinos, J, E.S. Poloczanska, J. Olden, J. Lawler, M.T. Burrows, In Encyclopedia of the Anthropocene. D. DellaSala, and M. Goldstein (Eds). ISBN 978-0-128-09665-9. Vol. 3, pp. 217-228
Elsevier (Oxford), 2017年11月, ［共著］

Biodiversity and Climate Change in the Oceans　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
Booth, D, E.S. Poloczanska, J. Donelson, J. García Molinos, M.T. Burrows, In The Impacts of Climate Change on Marine Fisheries and Aquaculture. B.F Phillips and M. Pérez-Ramírez (Eds). ISBN 978-1-119-15404-4. pp. 63-91.
Wiley, 2017年11月, ［共著］

Stream Habitat Fragmentation Caused by Road Networks in Spanish Low-order Forest Catchments　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
García Molinos, J, In Management of Mountain Watersheds. pp. 123-138
Springer Netherlands, 2012年, ［単著］

Identification guide of freshwater macroinvertebrates of Spain　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
García Molinos, J, Freshwater Ecology
Springer Science & Business Media, 2011年06月, ［分担執筆］

Improved fisheries management could offset many negative effects of climate change　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
Gaines, S, C. Costello, B. Owashi, T. Mangin, J. Bone, J. García Molinos, M. Burden, H. Dennis, B. Halpern, C. Kappel, K. Kleisner, D. Ovando
Climate Change and Fisheries International Workshop —Challenges and Solutions for China and the World, Qingdao, China, 2018年11月, 英語, 口頭発表（招待・特別）
［招待講演］, ［国際会議］

VoCC: A new R package for calculating the Velocity of Climate Change and related landscape climatic metrics.　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
García Molinos, J, D.S. Schoeman, C.J. Brown, N.H. Kumagai, M.T. Burrows
PICES Annual Meeting: Towards integrated understanding of ecosystem variability in the North Pacific, Yokohama, Japan, 2018年11月, 英語, ポスター発表
［国際会議］

Ocean currents and herbivory drive macroalgae-to-coral community shift under climate warming　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
Kumagai, N.H, J. García, Molinos, N, H. Yamano, S. Takao, M. Fujii, Y. Yamanaka
4th International Symposium on the Effect of Climate Change on the World's Oceans, Washington, 2018年06月, 英語, 口頭発表（招待・特別）
［招待講演］, ［国際会議］

Predicting the effects of climate change on stream water temperatures across pan-Arctic river networks: a conservation perspective.　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
García Molinos, J, K. Christoffersen, J. Culp
ISAR-5, Fifth International Symposium on Arctic Research, Tokyo, 2018年01月, 英語, ポスター発表
［国際会議］

Improving the interpretability of climate landscape metrics: an ecological risk analysis of Japan’s Marine Protected Areas　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
García Molinos, J, S. Takao, N.H. Kumagai, E.S. Poloczanska, M.T. Burrows, M. Fujii, H. Yamano
British Ecological Society Annual Meeting, Ghent, 2017年12月, 英語, ポスター発表
［国際会議］

Ocean currents modify the coupling between climate change and biogeographical shifts　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
García Molinos, J, E.S. Poloczanska, M.T. Burrows
64th Annual Meeting of the Ecological Society of Japan, Tokyo, 2017年03月, 英語, 口頭発表（一般）
［国際会議］

Going with the flow: ocean currents modify the coupling between climate change and biogeographical shifts　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
García Molinos, J, E.S. Poloczanska, M.T. Burrows
North Pacific Marine Science Organization (PICES) Annual Meeting, 2016年11月, 英語, 口頭発表（一般）
［国際会議］

Climate velocity and the future global redistribution of marine biodiversity　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
García Molinos, J, B. S. Halpern, D. S. Schoeman, C. J. Brown, W. Kiessling, P. J. Moore, J. M, Pandolfi, E. S. Poloczanska, A. J. Richardson, M. T. Burrows
Species on the Move. Hobart, Australia, 2016年02月, 英語, 口頭発表（一般）
［国際会議］

Adapting on the move: anticipating the effects of a shifting climate on biodiversity　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
García Molinos, J
1st Joint Lectures on Ecosystem Services and Water Resources Management. Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan, 2015年03月, 英語, 口頭発表（基調）
［招待講演］, ［国内会議］

An assessment of the ecological coherency of the global marine protected area network under future climate change　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
García Molinos, J, D. Schoeman, B. S. Halpern, E. Poloczanska, C. J. Brown, A. Richardson, M. T. Burrows
IUCN World Parks Congress, Sydney, Australia, 2014年11月, 英語, 口頭発表（招待・特別）
［招待講演］, ［国際会議］

The velocity of climate change and the future global distribution of marine biodiversity　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
García Molinos, J, M. T. Burrows
JAMSTEC International Workshop on Risk Information on Climate Change. Yokohama, Japan, 2014年11月, 英語, 口頭発表（招待・特別）
［招待講演］, ［国際会議］

Disturbances in a changing environment: does the pattern matter?　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
ホルヘ ガルシ アミル
JorgeGM, 2012年11月, 英語, 口頭発表（招待・特別）
［国内会議］

Effects of global climatic drivers and local settings on wáter level regimes of non-regulated Irish lakes　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
ホルヘ ガルシ アミル
ASLO summer meeting, Otsu, Japan, 2012年07月, 英語, 口頭発表（一般）
［国際会議］

Global Environmental Management (GEM) master program　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
Graduate School of Environmental Science, Hokkaido University
2018年 - 現在

Fundamentals of Ecology (demonstrator for BSc)　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
The University of Dublin, Trinity College, Ireland
2006年 - 2009年

Summer course on river restoration "Curso de Restauracion de Rios y Riberas"　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
University of Valladolid, Spain
2008年07月

Summer course on river restoration "Curso de Restauracion de Rios y Riberas"　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
University of Valladolid, Spain
2006年07月

Biology (teaching internship)　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
Highschool IES La Merced, Valladolid, Spain
2003年02月 - 2003年04月

Fundamental Lecture in Environmental Science　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
MSc, Graduate School of Environmental Science, Hokkaido University, 2018

海洋生物多様性ビッグデータ汎用化の基盤技術と海の豊かさを守る応用技術の開発　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
海洋資源利用促進技術開発プログラム海洋生物ビッグデータ活用技術高度化
2021年08月 - 2031年03月
文部科学省, 北海道大学北極研究センター, 研究分担者

Climate change impacts for adaptation, management and conservation purposes (CLIMASERVATON)　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
2025年01月 - 2026年12月
MARINA SANZ MARTÍN., CENTRO OCEANOGRÁFICO DE ILLES, BALEARS (SPAIN, PATRICIA PUERTA ORDÓÑEZ, CENTRO OCEANOGRÁFICO DE ILLES, BALEARS (SPAIN, JOSÉ MANUEL, HIDALGO ROLDÁN., CENTRO OCEANOGRÁFICO DE ILLES, BALEARS (SPAIN, MARTA ALBO PUIGSERVER, CENTRO OCEANOGRÁFICO DE ILLES, BALEARS (SPAIN, LUCÍA LÓPEZ LÓPEZ, CENTRO OCEANOGRÁFICO DE, SANTANDER (SPAIN, IRENE ALABIA, ARCTIC RESEARCH CENTER, HOKKAIDO UNIVERSITY (JAPAN, JORGE GARCÍA MOLINOS, ARCTIC RESEARCH CENTER, HOKKAIDO UNIVERSITY (JAPAN, NUR ARAFEH DALMAU, HOPKINS MARINE STATION, STANFORD UNIVERSITY (USA, ISAAC BRITO MORALES, CONSERVATION INTERNATIONAL (USA, ELENA GISSI, CNR-ISMAR (ITALY, JENNY HOUSE, CHARLES DARWIN, UNIVERSITY, AUSTRALIA, LESLEY THORNE, STONY BROOK, UNIVERSITY
Spanish National Research Council (CSIC), Competitive grant, 研究分担者, ILINK24016

Adaptation and Transformation of artisanal Fishing to Climate Change (ATAC)　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
2023年 - 2026年
Elena Ojea, Xochitl E., Ilosvay, Juan Bueno-Pardo (University of Vigo, Spain) / Naoki Kumagai (NIES, Japan)
XUNTA de Galicia - Conselleria de Cultura, Educación, Formación Profesional e Universidades, 連携研究者

Climate-smart strategies to develop resilience in artisanal fisheries of Mediterranean Marine Protected areas (CLISSARTES)　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
2022年08月 - 2025年12月
Marina Sanz-Martín, Manuel Hidalgo, Marta Albo-Puigserver, Joan Moranta, Diego Álvarez Berastegui, Sandra Mallol, Asvin P. Torres, Olga Reñones, Patricia Puerta Ordóñez, Yosbel Pérez Hernández, Lucía López-López, Dolores Riesgo (IEO, CSIC, Spain, Javier Soto-Navarro, iversity of Malaga, Spain, Jorge García-Molinos, Arctic Research Center, Hokkaido University, Ja, Isaac Brito-Morales, Conservation International, USA, Kristin Kleisner (Environmental Defense Fund, USA, Nur Arafeh-Dalmau, iversity of, Stanford, USA, Julia Polo Sainz (UiT Artic University, Norway)
AXA Research Fund - AXA and IOC-UNESCO call ‘More resilient Coastal Livelihoods‘, Competitive research grants, 研究分担者, AXA-007

先住民族社会とそれを取り巻く生態系の気候変動下でのレジリエンスに関する研究 (RISE)　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
戦略的国際共同研究プログラム（SICORP）e-ASIA JRP(先端融合/環境)
2021年04月 - 2024年03月
科学技術振興機構 (JST), 北極域研究センター、 北海道大学, 研究代表者

気候変動に伴う河川生態系のリスク評価：統計モデルとメソコスム実験の融合
科学研究費助成事業 基盤研究(B)
2019年04月 - 2024年03月
G・MOLINOS JORGE, 石山 信雄, 末吉 正尚
Three of the four study catchments could be visited to retrieve temperature data from the first year, conduct maintenance, and sample biological parameters at multiple sites (fish: 27 sites sampled, macroinvertebrates: 22 sites, benthic algae: 70 sites).
Initial data analysis between temperature data and environmental predictors showed water temperature regimes in volcanic mountain streams had average summer temperatures ~3°C lower than non-volcanic streams at similar altitudinal and air temperature ranges. They also had higher abundances of Cottus nozawae, a cold-adapted fish. These results highlight the important role of volcanic geology in providing thermal refugia for sensitive biota under climate change. Presented at ESJ annual meeting.
The project also engaged in international collaboration:
(i) An experiment conducted in the Hokkaido University Tomakomai Experimental Forest with researchers from Trinity College (Ireland) showed that heatwaves destabilised benthic stream communities by homogenising them in space but only when fish predators were absent, highlighting the potential for species extinctions to amplify the effects of climate change and extreme events. Presented at ESJ annual meeting.
(ii) An experiment lead by researchers from the Institute of Hydrobiology of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (published Env Int IF9.62 and MethodsX IF1.84) evidenced complex interactions of warming and nutrient enrichment in altering growth and phenology of Potamogeton crispus, a widespread freshwater macrophyte common in Japan.
日本学術振興会, 基盤研究(B), 北海道大学, 19H04314

沿岸生態系の熱帯化における生態学的・社会的影響の評価と適応策の策定
科学研究費助成事業 基盤研究(B)
2019年04月 - 2022年03月
熊谷 直喜, G・MOLINOS JORGE, 中村 洋平, 久保 雄広
海藻やサンゴ、魚類の地理的分布・生息水深に関係する海水温や光透過度、流速などの環境データを収集・整備した。さらに、海水温の将来予測値として、気候モデル の将来予測値（RCP2.6、RCP8.5）を整備し、同様に高解像度化した。対象海域について重点的に、研究対象の生物群の出現記録（在・不在）を論文、紀要、報告書などの文献から収集・整備し、データベース化した上でデータペーパーを出版した。また、海藻藻場やサンゴ群集が提供する生態系サービス（生物多様性、食料源、炭素貯留、沿岸地域の生活、経済、リクリエーションなど）を特定し経済的価値を評価するために、各調査地に対応した沿岸漁業や漁業資源利用についての記録の収集整備を進めた。
対象生物群の分布の緯度勾配と空間的相互作用、それらの年変動を捉えるための野外調査・実験を行った。高知県の南西端から東方の3地域、愛媛県の柏島以北の6地域、さらに各地域内に設けた各2サイトを設け、対象生物群の分布状況を調べるビデオトランセクト調査を行った。カメラは鉛直方向（海藻、サンゴ）と水平方向（魚類）の2台を1セットとし、カメラに取り付けた水深データロガーと海面に浮かせたGPSで3Dの位置情報を記録しながら遊泳し撮影した。また、海底に設置した海藻をビデオカメラで撮影し、魚類による植食圧の評価を行った。2019年の野外調査記録の解析により、水温勾配と季節、深度、沖合・内湾の環境の違いに伴う藻場とサンゴ群集、周囲の魚類群集の変化のパターンが明らかになった。これにより環境条件と生物群集の対応関係が統計学的に示され、沿岸生態系将来予測をする上で重要な結果が得られた。
日本学術振興会, 基盤研究(B), 国立研究開発法人国立環境研究所, 19H04322

気候変動下における河川生態系のレジリエンス－ 河川構造、生物多様性、生態系機能に着目して －　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
河川砂防技術研究開発公募
2018年 - 2022年
Nakamura F, Watanabe Y, Nakatsugawa M, Negishi J, Koizumi I, Kawamura S, Akasaka T, Uchida K, García Molinos J, Ishiyama N, Aruga N
Japanese Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport, Hokkaido University

Ecological resilience to climate change and extinctions in subarctic freshwaters (EC-51224R-18)　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
Early Career Grants
2019年04月 - 2019年12月
S. Ross, PhD, candidate, grantee, I. Donohue, hD supervisor, J. García Molinos, o
National Geographic Society, 競争的資金

Shifting climate as a predictor for change in marine biodiversity at local, regional and global scales (NE/J024082/1)　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
Standard Grant (FEC)
2012年11月 - 2017年07月
M.T. Burrows (PI, J. García Molinos, PDRA, associated to, r
U.K. National Environmental Research Council, 競争的資金

Meeting quality objectives: Prediction of lake ecosystem recovery from internal and external nutrient loading (ref. 2339; grant offered but rejected by candidate)　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
Science, Technology, Research & Innovation for the Environment (STRIVE) Programme
2013年03月 - 2015年04月
J. García Molinos
Irish Environmental Protection Agency, 競争的資金

Climate Velocity and marine spatial planning in Japanese waters (JSPS/FF1/434)　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
Postdoctoral Fellowship for Overseas Researchers
2014年10月 - 2015年03月
J. García Molinos
Japanese Society for the Promotion of Science, 競争的資金

DOLMANT - development targeted ecological modelling tools for lake management　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
European Regional Development Programme, INTERREG
2011年 - 2014年
ホルヘ ガルシア モリノス
European Union, 競争的資金

Student mentor for the Publons Academy for peer review training　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
2017年 - 現在
助言・指導
インターネット
Publons

Japan-Asia Sakura Youth Exchange Programme is Science Exchange　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　
2018年08月06日 - 2018年08月06日
講師
セミナー・ワークショップ