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Naoi Makoto

Faculty of Science Earth and Planetary Sciences Earth and Planetary DynamicsAssociate Professor

Researcher basic information

■ Degree
  • Ph. D, The University of Tokyo, Mar. 2010
■ URL
researchmap URLホームページURL■ Various IDs
ORCID IDJ-Global ID■ Research Keywords and Fields
Research Field
  • Natural Science, Solid earth sciences
■ Educational Organization

Career

■ Career
Career
  • Jan. 2024 - Present
    北海道大学 大学院理学研究院
  • Jan. 2019 - Dec. 2023
    京都大学防災研究所
  • Mar. 2014 - Dec. 2018
    京都大学大学院工学研究科
  • Apr. 2010 - Mar. 2014
    東京大学地震研究所 特任研究員
Educational Background
  • 2007 - Mar. 2010, The University of Tokyo, Graduate School of Science, 博士課程, Japan
  • Apr. 2005 - Mar. 2007, Ritsumeikan University, 大学院理工学研究科
  • Apr. 2002 - Mar. 2005, Ritsumeikan University, College of Science and Engineering, 物理科学科

Research activity information

■ Awards
  • Mar. 2025, Earth, Planets and Space, Excellent Reviewers
  • 2015年度 岩の力学連合会 フロンティア賞
  • 2016年度 日本地震学会若手学術奨励賞
■ Papers
  • DiallelX: a modern fortran code for calculating network cross-correlation
    Shiro Hirano; Makoto Naoi
    Progress in Earth and Planetary Science, 12, 1, Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 08 May 2025, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal, Abstract

    In this paper, we develop a modern Fortran code to approximate network cross-correlation coefficients for seismic event detection. The code is available via an online repository. The algorithm exhibits efficient memory usage, small output size, and amenability to parallelization. Although exact NCC values are not calculated, the accuracy is deemed to be sufficient based on statistical investigation. A benchmark and practical application are also presented, suggesting the viability of performing matched filter analysis of years-long continuous multi-channel seismic data and thousands of template events on a workstation within a runtime extending from a few hours to a few days.
  • Creating multidirectional fractures through particle jamming
    Yusuke Mukuhira; Ryota Goto; Noriaki Watanabe; Kazumasa Sueyoshi; Kohei Takuma; Rongchang Zhang; Tongfei Tian; Vladimir Sokolovski; Makoto Naoi; Yuko Arai; Takaaki Tomai; Masaoki Uno; Takatoshi Ito
    International Journal of Rock Mechanics and Mining Sciences, 188, 106051, 106051, Elsevier BV, Apr. 2025, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • High-resolution monitoring of hydraulically induced acoustic emission activities using neural phase picking and matched filter analysis
    Makoto Naoi; Shiro Hirano; Youqing Chen
    Progress in Earth and Planetary Science, 12, 1, Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 21 Mar. 2025, [Peer-reviewed], [Lead author, Corresponding author]
    English, Scientific journal, Abstract

    Monitoring the activities of very small seismic events or acoustic emissions (AEs) by estimating their hypocenters is useful in investigating fracturing processes in laboratory experiments. Here, we proposed an analysis procedure to develop high-quality AE event catalogs using deep learning and similar waveform searches from the continuous records of AE sensors. The proposed routine comprised the following five steps: 1) automatically developing catalogs using a conventional procedure, where the short-term average-to-long-term average ratio detects transient signals, and arrival times are identified using an autoregressive model and the Akaike information criterion; 2) training a deep learning model for arrival time reading (neural phase picker) using datasets based on the Step 1 catalog; 3) reproducing the AE catalog by applying the trained neural phase picker to continuous waveform records; 4) applying template matching to continuous waveform records based on the template events listed in the catalog in Step 3; and 5) determining the precise hypocenters of template events and newly detected events in Step 4 using a relative location method based on the cross-correlation travel time reading technique. We applied this procedure to continuous AE waveforms recorded at 10 MHz sampling during hydraulic fracturing experiments, resulting in a catalog with 10 times the number of events compared to the Step 1 catalog. This reproduced catalog revealed new aspects of the fracturing process, such as the propagating fracture front and tremor-like AE activity. The proposed procedure eliminates the need for manual labeling, thereby facilitating a fully automated analysis of the observed continuous records. This technique is expected to enhance our understanding of AE sensor records in laboratory experiments.
  • Neural phase picker trained on the Japan meteorological agency unified earthquake catalog
    Makoto Naoi; Koji Tamaribuchi; Kengo Shimojo; Shinya Katoh; Shukei Ohyanagi
    Earth, Planets and Space, 76, 1, Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 22 Nov. 2024, [Peer-reviewed], [Lead author, Corresponding author]
    English, Scientific journal, Abstract

    As Japan is one of the most seismically active countries, seismic data from various institutions are shared in real time and made accessible via the Web to promote research. The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), in collaboration with the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science, and Technology, processes these data to compile a 'unified earthquake catalog' for use in the development of strategies for disaster prevention and public safety. Based on manual arrival-time measurements provided by the JMA, we retrained PhaseNet, the deep-learning phase picker, known as neural phase picker that has gained prominence in recent years, to promote the development of high-quality seismic catalogs in Japan. We utilized the PhaseNet architecture for our model and trained it using 6.1 million three-component seismic waveforms collected in 2014–2021. The performance of the original PhaseNet model, trained with data from California, was suboptimal when applied to routine Japanese data, particularly ocean-bottom seismometer records. Retraining the model with the JMA unified catalog and corresponding waveforms significantly enhanced its performance in picking the arrival times of regular and low-frequency earthquakes. Compared with the original PhaseNet, the dependency of the model on the type of seismic station was reduced by retraining and its performance for waveforms was improved even from stations not included in the training data set. The model performance varied with earthquake magnitude, highlighting the reliance on extensive data for small events in the training set. Compared with the conventional procedure, the model identified numerous events, particularly smaller ones with undetermined magnitudes when integrated into the routine automatic processing of the JMA. Furthermore, leveraging approximately ten times more training data than the California data set, we developed and trained PhaseNetWC, doubling the number of filter channels in each convolutional layer in comparison with those of the original PhaseNet. This modified phase picker surpassed the performance of its predecessor. The dissemination of these models is anticipated to enhance the analysis of routine observational data sets in Japan.

    Graphical Abstract
  • Recent advances in earthquake seismology using machine learning
    Hisahiko Kubo; Makoto Naoi; Masayuki Kano
    Earth, Planets and Space, 76, 1, Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 28 Feb. 2024, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal, Abstract

    Given the recent developments in machine-learning technology, its application has rapidly progressed in various fields of earthquake seismology, achieving great success. Here, we review the recent advances, focusing on catalog development, seismicity analysis, ground-motion prediction, and crustal deformation analysis. First, we explore studies on the development of earthquake catalogs, including their elemental processes such as event detection/classification, arrival time picking, similar waveform searching, focal mechanism analysis, and paleoseismic record analysis. We then introduce studies related to earthquake risk evaluation and seismicity analysis. Additionally, we review studies on ground-motion prediction, which are categorized into four groups depending on whether the output is ground-motion intensity or ground-motion time series and the input is features (individual measurable properties) or time series. We discuss the effect of imbalanced ground-motion data on machine-learning models and the approaches taken to address the problem. Finally, we summarize the analysis of geodetic data related to crustal deformation, focusing on clustering analysis and detection of geodetic signals caused by seismic/aseismic phenomena.

    Graphical Abstract
  • Efficient similar waveform search using short binary codes obtained through a deep hashing technique
    Makoto Naoi; Shiro Hirano
    Geophysical Journal International, Oxford University Press (OUP), 16 Feb. 2024, [Peer-reviewed], [Lead author, Corresponding author]
    English, Scientific journal, Summary

    A similar waveform search plays a crucial role in seismology for detecting seismic events, such as small earthquakes and low-frequency events. However, the high computational costs associated with waveform cross-correlation calculations represent bottlenecks during the analysis of long, continuous records obtained from numerous stations. In this study, we developed a deep-learning network to obtain 64-bit hash codes containing information on seismic waveforms. Using this network, we performed a similar waveform search for ∼35 million moving windows developed for the 30 min waveforms recorded continuously at 10 MHz sampling rates using 16 acoustic emission transducers during a laboratory hydraulic fracturing experiment. The sampling points of each channel corresponded to those of the 5.8-year records obtained from typical seismic observations at 100 Hz sampling rates. Of the 35 million windows, we searched for windows with small average Hamming distances among the hash codes of 16 channel waveforms against template hash codes of 6057 events that were catalogued using conventional autoprocessing techniques. The calculation of average Hamming distances is 1430–1530 times faster than that of the corresponding network correlation. This hashing-based template matching enabled the detection of 23,462 additional events. We also demonstrated the feasibility of the hashing-based autocorrelation analysis, where similar event pairs were extracted without templates, by calculating the average Hamming distances for all possible pairs of the ∼35 million windows. This calculation required only 15.5 h under 120 thread parallelisation. This deep hashing approach significantly reduced the required memory compared with locality-sensitive hashing approaches based on random permutations, enabling similar waveform searching on a large-scale dataset.
  • Characteristics of carbon dioxide fracturing in comparison to conventional water hydraulic fracturing: Evidence from acoustic emission monitoring of small-scale field experiments
    Tsuyoshi Ishida; Yoshinobu Kishimoto; Shuich Desaki; Makoto Naoi; Kenichiro Suzuki; Hirokazu Fujii
    International Journal of Rock Mechanics and Mining Sciences, 172, 105604, 105604, Elsevier BV, Dec. 2023, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Source parameter estimation of acoustic emissions induced by hydraulic fracturing in the laboratory
    Makoto Naoi; Keiichi Imakita; Youqing Chen; Kazune Yamamoto; Rui Tanaka; Hironori Kawakata; Tsuyoshi Ishida; Eiichi Fukuyama; Yutaro Arima
    Geophysical Journal International, 231, 1, 408, 425, Oxford University Press ({OUP}), 21 Jun. 2022, [Peer-reviewed], [Lead author, Corresponding author]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Stress State in the Source Region of Mw2.2 Earthquake in a Deep Gold Mine in South Africa Determined from Borehole Cores
    Yasuo Yabe; Shuhei Abe; Gerhard Hofmann; Dave Roberts; Halil Yilmaz; Hiroshi Ogasawara; Takatoshi Ito; Akio Funato; Masao Nakatani; Makoto Naoi; Raymond Durrheim
    PURE AND APPLIED GEOPHYSICS, Apr. 2022, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Acoustic emission monitoring of hydraulic fracturing using carbon dioxide in a small-scale field experiment
    Tsuyoshi Ishida; Shuich Desaki; Yoshinobu Kishimoto; Makoto Naoi; Hirokazu Fujii
    International Journal of Rock Mechanics and Mining Sciences, 141, 104712, 104712, Elsevier BV, May 2021, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Preparatory acoustic emission activity of hydraulic fracture in granite with various viscous fluids revealed by deep learning technique
    Rui Tanaka; Makoto Naoi; Youqing Chen; Kazune Yamamoto; Keiichi Imakita; Naofumi Tsutsumi; Akihiro Shimoda; Daiki Hiramatsu; Hironori Kawakata; Tsuyoshi Ishida; Eiichi Fukuyama; Hiroyuki Tanaka; Yutaro Arima; Shigehiro Kitamura; Daisuke Hyodo
    Geophysical Journal International, 226, 1, 493, 510, 09 Mar. 2021, [Peer-reviewed], [Corresponding author]
    English, Scientific journal
  • The effect of a gouge layer on rupture propagation along brittle shear fractures in deep and high-stress mines
    S.B. Mngadi; A. Tsutsumi; Y. Onoe; M.S.D. Manzi; R.J. Durrheim; Y. Yabe; H. Ogasawara; S. Kaneki; N. Wechsler; A.K. Ward; M. Naoi; H. Moriya; M. Nakatani
    International Journal of Rock Mechanics and Mining Sciences, 137, 104454, 104454, Elsevier BV, Jan. 2021, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Tensile-dominant fractures observed in hydraulic fracturing laboratory experiment using eagle ford shale
    Makoto Naoi; Youqing Chen; Kazune Yamamoto; Yuya Morishige; Keiichi Imakita; Naofumi Tsutumi; Hironori Kawakata; Tsuyoshi Ishida; Hiroyuki Tanaka; Yutaro Arima; Shigehiro Kitamura; Daisuke Hyodo
    Geophysical Journal International, 222, 2, 769, 780, 01 Aug. 2020, [Peer-reviewed], [Lead author, Corresponding author]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Moment tensor analysis of acoustic emissions induced by laboratory-based hydraulic fracturing in granite
    Kazune Yamamoto; Makoto Naoi; Youqing Chen; Kengo Nishihara; Shunsuke Yano; Hironori Kawakata; Takashi Akai; Isao Kurosawa; Tsuyoshi Ishida
    Geophysical Journal International, 216, 3, 1507, 1516, 01 Mar. 2019, [Peer-reviewed], [Corresponding author]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Integration of underground mapping, petrology, and high-resolution microseismicity analysis to characterise weak geotechnical zones in deep South African gold mines
    S. B. Mngadi; R. J. Durrheim; M. S.D. Manzi; H. Ogasawara; Y. Yabe; H. Yilmaz; N. Wechsler; G. Van Aswegen; D. Roberts; A. K. Ward; M. Naoi; H. Moriya; M. Nakatani; A. Ishida; SATREPS Team; ICDP DSeis Team
    International Journal of Rock Mechanics and Mining Sciences, 114, 79, 91, Feb. 2019, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • In-situ acoustic emission monitoring in mines
    G. Manthei; K. Plenkers; J. Philipp; M. Naoi; H. Moriya; M. Nakatani
    53rd U.S. Rock Mechanics/Geomechanics Symposium, 2019
    International conference proceedings
  • Crack Expansion and Fracturing Mode of Hydraulic Refracturing from Acoustic Emission Monitoring in a Small-scale Field Experiment
    T. Ishida; W. Fujito; H. Yamashita; M. Naoi; H. Fuji; K. Suzuki; H. Matsui
    Rock Mechanics and Rock Engineering, Jan. 2019, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Emergence and disappearance of very small repeating earthquakes on a geological fault in a gold mine in South Africa
    Junya Yamaguchi; Makoto Naoi; Masao Nakatani; Hirokazu Moriya; Toshihiro Igarashi; Osamu Murakami; Yasuo Yabe; Raymond Durrheim; Hiroshi Ogasawara
    Tectonophysics, 747-748, 318, 326, Nov. 2018, [Corresponding author]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Method for visualizing fractures induced by laboratory-based hydraulic fracturing and its application to shale samples
    Youqing Chen; Makoto Naoi; Yuto Tomonaga; Takashi Akai; Hiroyuki Tanaka; Sunao Takagi; Tsuyoshi Ishida
    Energies, 11, Aug. 2018, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Monitoring hydraulically-induced fractures in the laboratory using acoustic emissions and the fluorescent method
    Makoto Naoi; Youqing Chen; Kengo Nishihara; Kazune Yamamoto; Shunsuke Yano; Shota Watanabe; Yuta Morishige; Hironori Kawakata; Takashi Akai; Isao Kurosawa; Tsuyoshi Ishida
    International Journal of Rock Mechanics and Mining Sciences, 104, 53, 63, Elsevier Ltd, 01 Apr. 2018, [Peer-reviewed], [Lead author, Corresponding author]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Hybrid focal mechanism determination: Constraining focal mechanisms of injection induced seismicity using in situ stress data
    Y. Mukuhira; K. Fuse; M. Naoi; M. C. Fehler; H. Moriya; T. Ito; H. Asanuma; M. O. Häring
    Geophysical Journal International, 215, 2, 1427, 1441, 2018, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • 南アフリカ大深度金鉱山での微小破壊観測による震源の物理の研究
    直井 誠
    地震 第2輯, 71, 0, 公益社団法人 日本地震学会, Jan. 2018, [Peer-reviewed], [Lead author, Corresponding author]
    Japanese, Scientific journal
  • 講演 水圧破砕フラクチャーの可視化技術 (開発・生産部門シンポジウム プロジェクト価値最大化に向けて : フィールドライフを通じての技術的アプローチ)
    陳 友晴; 直井 誠; 石田 毅; 赤井 崇嗣; 黒澤 功; 高木 是
    石油技術協会誌 = Journal of the Japanese Association for Petroleum Technology, 82, 6, 石油技術協会, Jan. 2017, [Peer-reviewed]
    Japanese, Scientific journal
  • Features of CO2 fracturing deduced from acoustic emission and microscopy in laboratory experiments
    Tsuyoshi Ishida; Youqing Chen; Ziad Bennour; Hiroto Yamashita; Shuhei Inui; Yuya Nagaya; Makoto Naoi; Qu Chen; Yoshiki Nakayama; Yu Nagano
    JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH, 121, 11, 8080, 8098, Nov. 2016, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Acoustic Emission Monitoring for Mitigating Seismic Risks in Deep Gold Mines in South Africa
    Makoto Naoi; Masao Nakatani; Hirokazu Moriya; Yasuo Yabe
    International Journal of the JSRM, 12, 1, 19, 22, Japanese Society of Rock Mechanics, Jun. 2016, [Lead author, Corresponding author]
    English, Scientific journal, Gold mines in South Africa have mining depths of up to ~4 km. Mining in such depths under high-stress conditions induces many earthquakes, which pose serious hazard to mine workers. To mitigate seismic risks and to understand the role ofmicroearthquakes in earthquake generation processes, we have conducted ultra-sensitive seismic observations, which allow acoustic emissions (AEs) to be detected down to MW −5 (typical rupture size ~ several centimeters), at two South African gold mines. We have found out various modes of AE activity previously unknown from conventional seismic networks (detectability only down to MW ~ −1): AE activity before and after an MW 2.2 earthquake, AE activity likely reflecting damage accumulation processes ahead of an advancing mining front, and AEs occurring steadily along geological faults. This paper summarizes these findings, which received the fiscal 2016 frontier award of the Japanese Society for Rock Mechanics (JSRM).
  • Unexpectedly frequent occurrence of very small repeating earthquakes (-5.1 <= M-w <=-3.6) in a South African gold mine: Implications for monitoring intraplate faults
    Makoto Naoi; Masao Nakatani; Toshihiro Igarashi; Kenshiro Otsuki; Yasuo Yabe; Thabang Kgarume; Osamu Murakami; Thabang Masakale; Luiz Ribeiro; Anthony Ward; Hirokazu Moriya; Hironori Kawakata; Shigeru Nakao; Raymond Durrheim; Hiroshi Ogasawara
    JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH, 120, 12, 8478, 8493, Dec. 2015, [Peer-reviewed], [Lead author, Corresponding author]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Delineation of large localized damage structures forming ahead of an active mining front by using advanced acoustic emission mapping techniques
    Hirokazu Moriya; Makoto Naoi; Masao Nakatani; Gerrie van Aswegen; Osamu Murakami; Thabang Kgarume; Anthony K. Ward; Raymond J. Durrheim; Joachim Philipp; Yasuo Yabe; Hironori Kawakata; Hiroshi Ogasawara
    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ROCK MECHANICS AND MINING SCIENCES, 79, 157, 165, Oct. 2015, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Nucleation process of an M2 earthquake in a deep gold mine in South Africa inferred from on-fault foreshock activity
    Yasuo Yabe; Masao Nakatani; Makoto Naoi; Joachim Philipp; Christoph Janssen; Takayoshi Watanabe; Taishi Katsura; Hironori Kawakata; Dresen Georg; Hiroshi Ogasawara
    JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH, 120, 8, 5574, 5594, Aug. 2015, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Steady activity of microfractures on geological faults loaded by mining stress
    Makoto Naoi; Masao Nakatani; Kenshiro Otsuki; Yasuo Yabe; Thabang Kgarume; Osamu Murakami; Thabang Masakale; Luiz Ribeiro; Anthony Ward; Hirokazu Moriya; Hironori Kawakata; Raymond Durrheim; Hiroshi Ogasawara
    TECTONOPHYSICS, 649, 100, 114, May 2015, [Peer-reviewed], [Lead author, Corresponding author]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Quasi-static slip patch growth to 20 m on a geological fault inferred from acoustic emissions in a South African gold mine
    Makoto Naoi; Masao Nakatani; Thabang Kgarume; Sifiso Khambule; Thabang Masakale; Luiz Ribeiro; Joachim Philipp; Shigeki Horiuchi; Kenshiro Otsuki; Koji Miyakawa; Atsushi Watanabe; Hirokazu Moriya; Osamu Murakami; Yasuo Yabe; Hironori Kawakata; Nana Yoshimitsu; Anthony Ward; Raymond Durrheim; Hiroshi Ogasawara
    JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SOLID EARTH, 120, 3, 1692, 1707, Mar. 2015, [Peer-reviewed], [Lead author, Corresponding author]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Frequency-Magnitude Distribution of-3.7 <= M-W <= 1 Mining-Induced Earthquakes Around a Mining Front and b Value Invariance with Post-Blast Time
    Makoto Naoi; Masao Nakatani; Shigeki Horiuchi; Yasuo Yabe; Joachim Philipp; Thabang Kgarume; Gilbert Morema; Sifiso Khambule; Thabang Masakale; Luiz Ribeiro; Koji Miyakawa; Atsushi Watanabe; Kenshiro Otsuki; Hirokazu Moriya; Osamu Murakami; Hironori Kawakata; Nana Yoshimitsu; Anthony Ward; Ray Durrheim; Hiroshi Ogasawara
    PURE AND APPLIED GEOPHYSICS, 171, 10, 2665, 2684, Oct. 2014, [Peer-reviewed], [Lead author, Corresponding author]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Twenty Thousand Aftershocks of a Very Small (M 2) Earthquake and Their Relation to the Mainshock Rupture and Geological Structures
    Makoto Naoi; Masao Nakatani; Yasuo Yabe; Grzegorz Kwiatek; Toshihiro Igarashi; Katrin Plenkers
    BULLETIN OF THE SEISMOLOGICAL SOCIETY OF AMERICA, 101, 5, 2399, 2407, Oct. 2011, [Peer-reviewed], [Lead author, Corresponding author]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Observation of numerous aftershocks of an Mw 1.9 earthquake with an AE network installed in a deep gold mine in South Africa
    Yasuo Yabe; Joachim Philipp; Masao Nakatani; Gilbert Morema; Makoto Naoi; Hironori Kawakata; Toshihiro Igarashi; Georg Dresen; Hiroshi Ogasawara
    Earth, Planets and Space, 61, 10, e49, e52, Oct. 2009, [Peer-reviewed]
    English, Scientific journal
  • Small slow-strain steps and their forerunners observed in gold mine in South Africa
    M Naoi; H Ogasawara; J Takeuchi; A Yamamoto; N Shimoda; K Morishita; H Ishii; S Nakao; G van Aswegen; AJ Mendecki; P Lenegan; R Ebrahim-Trollope; Y Iio
    GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 33, 12, Jun. 2006, [Peer-reviewed], [Lead author, Corresponding author]
    English, Scientific journal
■ Other Activities and Achievements
■ Syllabus
  • 地震学特論, 2024年, 修士課程, 理学院
  • 地球惑星科学実験Ⅱ, 2024年, 学士課程, 理学部
■ Research Themes
  • Advancing Earthquake Catalog Development with AI Technology and Exploring the Physics of Foreshocks
    Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research
    01 Apr. 2025 - 31 Mar. 2029
    直井 誠; 平野 史朗; 下條 賢梧
    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B), Hokkaido University, 25K01083
  • Acoustic emission analysis to reveal the process of slow earthquakes caused by fluid Injection
    Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research
    01 Apr. 2024 - 31 Mar. 2026
    直井 誠
    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grant-in-Aid for Transformative Research Areas (A), Hokkaido University, 24H01027
  • Understanding the physics of foreshocks based on dense seismic observation and seismicity model
    Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research
    01 Apr. 2021 - 31 Mar. 2024
    直井 誠; 岩田 貴樹; 飯尾 能久; 平野 史朗; 中谷 正生
    本研究の目的は,独自の稠密観測データから小さな地震を徹底的に探索して超高品質の地震カタログを作成し,大地震発生前に見られる前震活動が本質的な意味での前兆かを,現実の複雑性を適切に反映した地震活動モデルで検証することである.本年度は,高効率・高精度の地震カタログを作成する手法の開発を目指し,イベント検出・走時検測・P波初動極性読み取り・震源決定などにおいて深層学習の利用を試みた.構築した手法を利用し,長野県西部・山陰・近畿地方に展開している稠密地震観測網および周辺の定常観測点のデータを統合処理して,広域にわたる多点のイベント波形データセットおよび自動震源・読み取りデータセットを構築した.また,室内水圧破砕実験で得られたAEデータに深層学習によるP波初動極性読み取りを行い,10供試体の実験,5万個ほどのAEイベントのモーメントテンソル解を評価し,結果を出版した.連続波形の中から地震による類似波形を自動検出する手法の改良も試み,波形相関法を従来より1万倍程度高速化することにも成功した.同手法により1ヶ月程度の連続波形であれば相関係数を計算可能であることを示した.
    中規模の地震活動がETASによる予想に比べ明瞭に静穏化した事例が1970年代から多く報告されている.この傾向が有意なものかを検証するため,客観的ルールを設定して成績を評価したところ,ルールのパラメタを調節すると偶然では説明しがたい良い成績が得られた.ただし,パラメタの調整において過学習が起きている可能性を考慮し,学習と成績評価に使うデータ期間を別期間にするクロスバリデーションを試みたところ,サンプル数が少なく,明瞭な結論は得られなかった.しかしながら,本手続きは一般性があり,静穏化に限らず前震等さまざまな現象の先行性評価に用いることができる.
    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B), Kyoto University, 21H01191
  • Development of hydraulic fracture evaluation by laboratory experiments and AE analysis
    Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research
    01 Apr. 2016 - 31 Mar. 2019
    Naoi Makoto; Moriya Hirokazu; Mukuhira Yusuke
    We conducted hydraulic fracturing experiments in order to investigate the relationship between hydraulic fractures and induced microearthquakes. We monitored acoustic emissions during the experiments and compared the hypocenter distributions to fluid penetration regions that observed after the experiments. Fluid pressure history, fluid penetration region, acoustic emission activities, and their dominant mechanism significantly depended on the kind of rocks and dominant direction of preexisting fractures, revealing many important points that should be considered when estimating influence regions by microseismic activities.
    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B), Kyoto University, 16H04614
  • A Study on Prediction of Rock Failure Scale and its Timing by Observation of Acoustic Emission at Africa Deep Mine
    Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research
    01 Apr. 2014 - 31 Mar. 2018
    Moriya Hirokazu
    We observed around 300 thousand of AE (Acoustic Emission) events by a high-resolution monitoring network close to the active front of a tabular mining stope being advanced northward at 1 km depth in the Cooke 4 Gold Mine in South Africa. The application of the double-difference relative location algorithm resolved seemingly continuous, dense cloud of AEs that extend about 20 m ahead of the stope front into several discrete, steeply dipping tabular clusters a few meters thick and 10-30 m in dip extent, separated by quiet intervals a few meters thick. The tabular clusters had a strike parallel to the stope face and a dip of around 65°, resembling commonly observed large shear fractures along the plane of maximum shear. These observations suggest that discrete tabular clusters of AEs represent macroscopically localized damage structures that formed in the highly stressed intact rock ahead of the stope face and may culminate in dynamic shear events.
    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A), Tohoku University, 26249137
  • Small scale in situ experiments to inject supercritical and liquid carbon dioxide into rock mass
    Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research
    01 Apr. 2013 - 31 Mar. 2017
    Ishida Tsuyoshi
    In the underground sequestration of CO2 (carbon dioxide), large amount of CO2 is injected into rock mass. Since CO2 becomes supercritical state in the deep underground and it is very slick, it is necessary to access effect of the injection on stability of surrounding rock mass. In our study, we injected CO2 into a hole drilled around 10 m long from the floor of a tunnel in a mountain with monitoring of AE (Acoustic Emission: elastic wave radiated with rock fracturing). The results indicated that the AE sources with the CO2 injection distributed larger than those with the water injection. However, with time elapsing after the CO2 injection, AE events that seemed to be caused by crack closing started to be observed. Since these AE events are most likely associated with degassing in the cracks without rock fracturing, it seems that they never bring instability to the surrounding rock mass even if they distribute large.
    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A), Kyoto University, 25249131
  • Risk evaluation of mining induced earthquakes by analyzing AE activity patterns on faults in deep gold mines in South Africa
    Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research
    29 Aug. 2014 - 31 Mar. 2016
    Naoi Makoto
    We investigated AE activities in deep gold mines in South Aftica, where many earthquakes are induced by mining. We made an AE-event catalog by using data obtained by more than 1-year observation, and found many interesting activities which have not been known in previous studies: steady AE activities on geological faults, very small repeating earthquakes, and AEs likely delineating macroscopic damage zone that newly emerged in front of the mining front.
    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, Grant-in-Aid for Research Activity Start-up, Kyoto University, 26887022
  • 超至近距離多点観測による様々な時定数を持つ断層破壊現象の統一的理解
    科学研究費助成事業
    2007 - 2009
    直井 誠
    200kHzまでの弾性波を感知できるAEセンサを用いた微小破壊観測を南アフリカ金鉱山内に展開し,観測網内で発生した100mサイズの破壊(M2地震)に伴い記録された20000個以上の余震の解析を行った.2008年度までは観測網周囲の岩盤の弾性波速度解析.観測点の座標修正・走時検測システムの構築といった予備的解析を行っていたが,2009年度は余震カタログの構築(手動検測による震源決定と,AEセンサ記録に適用可能な新たな決定手法によるモーメントマグニチュードの決定)を行い,本格的な余震活動解析や余震発生モデルの検証を行うことができた.余震分布と本震波形解析結果から,M2級破壊面の形成にも,室内実験で確認されているクーロン破壊基準が有効に働くことがはっきりと確認できた.この余震系列は,空間的に明瞭な5つのクラスタを形成していたが,各クラスタで全く異なるサイズ分布を持っていることが分かった.基本的に,余震のサイズ分布は岩盤のダメージのそれを反映していると予想されるが,5つのクラスタのうち,本震破壊面を描き出すような2次元的な分布を示した余震クラスタにおいては,その統計的性質が本震破壊の不均質構造を表すと予想し,破壊面周辺の短波長応力擾乱によってこれらの余震が発生するという最近提唱された余震モデルから予想されるものと,今回観測された余震の統計的性質が調和的であることを確認した.このことは,余震の統計的性質を調べることで,本震破壊の特性を支配すると考えられている,本震断層の不均質性を調べられる可能性を示唆する.
    日本学術振興会, 特別研究員奨励費, 東京大学, 07J09904