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検索詳細GREVE RALF GUNTHER (グレーベ ラルフ ギユンター)
| 低温科学研究所 雪氷新領域部門 | 教授 |
| 北極域研究センター | 教授 |
2004年から北海道大学低温科学研究所で氷河・氷床の研究をしています。ドイツのダルムシュタット工科大学で物理学を学び、1995年に理学博士を取得、以来ポリサーマル氷床の動力学、熱力学を理論、解析、数値モデルを使い研究を続けています。2003年まではダルムシュタット工科大学力学部において研究員、助手、講師を務めました。学術論文は自著、共著を合わせると100を超え、氷力学と連続体力学の2冊の教科書の著者でもあります。さらに、「Journal of Glaciology」の副編集長、オープンソースの氷床モデルSICOPOLISを維持管理しています。
経歴
■ 経歴経歴
- 2016年04月 - 現在
北海道大学, 北極域研究センター, 兼務教員, 日本国 - 2004年01月 - 現在
北海道大学, 低温科学研究所, 教授, 日本国 - 2000年05月 - 2003年12月
ダルムシュタット工科大学, 力学部, 講師, ドイツ連邦共和国 - 1997年12月 - 2003年12月
ダルムシュタット工科大学, 力学部, 助手, ドイツ連邦共和国 - 1995年08月 - 1997年12月
ダルムシュタット工科大学, 力学部, 研究員, ドイツ連邦共和国
- 2019年01月 - 現在
国際雪氷学会, Journal of Glaciology 副編集長, 学協会 - 2004年01月 - 現在
北海道大学低温科学研究所, 教授会の委員, 自治体 - 2004年01月 - 現在
北海道大学低温科学研究所, 運営委員会の委員, 自治体 - 2017年06月 - 2019年05月
日本雪氷学会, Bulletin of Glaciological Research 編集委員, 学協会 - 1998年01月 - 2018年12月
国際雪氷学会, Journal of Glaciology 編集委員, 学協会 - 2014年04月 - 2018年03月
北海道大学大学院環境科学院, EPEES運営委員会の委員, 自治体 - 2008年01月 - 2017年10月
国際雪氷学会, 編集委員会の委員, 学協会 - 2016年04月 - 2017年03月
北海道大学低温科学研究所, 低温科学第75巻 編集委員長, 自治体 - 2015年03月 - 2015年12月
北海道大学低温科学研究所, 低温科学国際シンポジウム実行委員会の委員長, 自治体 - 2007年06月 - 2015年06月
International Association of Cryospheric Sciences, Head of the Division "Planetary and Other Ices in the Solar System", 学協会 - 2005年01月 - 2014年12月
国際雪氷学会, 指名委員会の委員, 学協会 - 2013年04月 - 2014年06月
国立極地研究所 / Elsevier, Polar Science 客員編集委員, その他 - 2012年11月 - 2014年06月
ヨーロッパ地球科学連合, Climate of the Past と The Cryosphere 客員編集委員, 学協会 - 2010年01月 - 2011年08月
国際雪氷学会, Annals of Glaciology 52(58) 編集委員, 学協会 - 2007年01月 - 2011年06月
ヨーロッパ地球科学連合, The Cryosphere 編集委員, 学協会 - 2010年06月 - 2010年08月
国際雪氷学会, 任命された評議会の委員, 学協会 - 2005年12月 - 2006年06月
国際雪氷学会, 任命された評議会の委員, 学協会
研究活動情報
■ 受賞- 2024年08月, 国際雪氷学会, Richardson Medal
将来の海水準予測の設計と作成における学術的・指導的活動
The ISMIP6 team (グレーベ・ラルフを含む) - 2022年10月, 日本雪氷学会, 学術賞
氷床数値モデル開発と氷床変動に関する研究
グレーベ ラルフ - 2015年03月, 北海道大学, 研究総長賞
奨励賞
グレーベ ラルフ
- The Smith–Morland flow law revisited
Ralf Greve; Ryszard Staroszczyk
Zenodo, 18802437, 2026年02月27日, [筆頭著者], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌), The standard Nye–Glen flow law for ice deformation contains a physically questionable infinite-viscosity singularity at zero stress. We revisit the polynomial Smith–Morland flow law as a singularity-free alternative. After rescaling the law into a modern non-dimensional framework, we find that the original parameters produce ice that is significantly too soft. Using an idealized EISMINT Phase 2 steady-state test, we recalibrate the law to match the ice volume of the standard Nye–Glen law, resulting in a slowdown factor of 5.776. Validation via a steady-state Greenland ice-sheet simulation shows that the modified law produces realistic geometries and velocities. Notably, the Smith–Morland law's linear term leads to faster flow in low-stress regions and favours thermomechanical fingering instabilities in the ice-sheet interior. The results demonstrate that the modified Smith–Morland law is a viable, physically consistent alternative for large-scale ice-flow modelling.
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Preprint, submitted to Journal of Glaciology. - On non-dimensional forms of basal sliding laws and flow laws for ice-sheet and glacier modelling
Ralf Greve
Journal of Glaciology, 71, e123, 2025年11月19日, [査読有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌), Ice sheets and glaciers flow through basal sliding and internal deformation, each governed by physical laws commonly expressed as power-law relationships. These formulations include coefficients - the sliding coefficient and rate factor - whose values and units depend on the respective exponents. This dependency complicates the systematic exploration of parameter space, especially in ensemble simulations. To address this, we propose dimensionless formulations of both sliding and flow laws, in which the coefficients are of order unity and decoupled from the exponents. This separation simplifies sensitivity studies and parameter variations. The dimensionless laws are straightforward to implement in existing models; we demonstrate this with the SICOPOLIS ice-sheet model using three test simulations in an idealized set-up. These simulations illustrate that independent variation of exponents and coefficients is feasible and practical, supporting the use of dimensionless laws in efforts to better constrain ice dynamics in past and future climate scenarios. - Disentangling uncertainty in ISMIP6 Antarctic sub-shelf melting and 2300 sea level rise projections
Johanna Beckmann; Ronja Reese; Felicity S. McCormack; Sue Cook; Lawrence Bird; Dawid Gwyther; Daniel Richards; Matthias Scheiter; Yu Wang; Hélène Seroussi; Ayako Abe‐Ouchi; Torsten Albrecht; Jorge Alvarez‐Solas; Xylar S. Asay‐Davis; Jean‐Baptiste Barre; Constantijn J. Berends; Jorge Bernales; Javier Blasco; Justine Caillet; David M. Chandler; Violaine Coulon; Richard Cullather; Christophe Dumas; Benjamin K. Galton‐Fenzi; Julius Garbe; Fabien Gillet‐Chaulet; Rupert Gladstone; Heiko Goelzer; Nicholas R. Golledge; Ralf Greve; G. Hilmar Gudmundsson; Holly Kyeore Han; Trevor R. Hillebrand; Matthew J. Hoffman; Philippe Huybrechts; Nicolas C. Jourdain; Ann Kristin Klose; Petra M. Langebroek; Gunter R. Leguy; William H. Lipscomb; Daniel P. Lowry; Pierre Mathiot; Marisa Montoya; Mathieu Morlighem; Sophie Nowicki; Frank Pattyn; Antony J. Payne; Tyler Pelle; Aurélien Quiquet; Alexander Robinson; Leopekka Saraste; Erika G. Simon; Sainan Sun; Jake P. Twarog; Luke D. Trusel; Benoit Urruty; Jonas Van Breedam; Roderik S. W. van de Wal; Chen Zhao; Thomas Zwinger
EGUsphere, 2025-4069, Copernicus GmbH, 2025年10月14日, [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌), Ocean-driven ice shelf melting is a major contributor of present and future ice loss from the Antarctic Ice Sheet. In the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project (ISMIP6) Antarctic 2300 projections, sea level rise varies widely, from –0.6 to 4.4 m, highlighting significant uncertainty. Here, we assess drivers of this spread, focussing on sub-shelf melting and dynamic ice loss as well as sectors that have the potential for large-scale, rapid ice loss: the Amundsen Sea, Filchner-Ronne, and Ross sectors, and the Aurora and Wilkes Subglacial Basins. We derive two sensitivity factors for each ISMIP6 simulation: a) a melt sensitivity factor, describing how simulated sub-shelf melt rates respond to ocean thermal forcing changes; and b) a dynamic ice loss sensitivity factor, describing how simulated dynamic ice loss (and hence sea level contribution) responds to cumulative sub-shelf melt changes. Melt sensitivities range from 1.5–21.3 m/(a K), with no clear dependency on the melt parameterisation. Model simulations cluster into two groups based on calving strength. The dynamic ice loss sensitivities range from 0.1 to 2.6 (unitless), with larger variations in the Amundsen sector, and Aurora and Wilkes Subglacial Basins. These sensitivity factors are good predictors of short-term integrated melting and sea level rise, respectively, but are less robust on longer time scales. Our findings show that these factors explain much of the ensemble spread in projected ice loss to 2300. We recommend to further constrain these factors, and advocate for their use in model calibration and emulator design, with the ultimate aim of explaining uncertainties in future projections of sea level rise from Antarctica.
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Preprint, submitted to The Cryosphere. - Projecting the evolution of the Northern Patagonian Icefield until the year 2200
Marius Schaefer; Ilaria Tabone; Ralf Greve; Johannes Fürst; Matthias Braun
EGUsphere, 2025-4167, Copernicus GmbH, 2025年09月29日, [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌), The Northern Patagonian Icefield (NPI), Chile, is the second-largest ice mass in the Southern Hemisphere outside Antarctica and a major remnant of the Patagonian ice sheet from the Last Glacial Period. It is located in the Southern Andes, which is among the world's glacierized regions with the most negative specific mass balances. The NPI is a highly dynamic system, with high amounts of accumulation and ablation, and includes Glaciar San Rafael, the tidewater calving glacier closest to the equator. Using the ice-sheet model SICOPOLIS, we reproduce the dynamical state and observed changes of the NPI in the early 21st century and project its evolution until 2200. Calving is represented by prescribing an additional mass loss for ocean-terminating grid cells (Glaciar San Rafael). A spin-up experiment generates an icefield comparable to conditions around the year 2000, which we then force with present-day and projected surface mass balance under climate scenarios SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5. In the committed mass loss run, the NPI stabilizes by 2100 at around 75 % of its current volume. Under climate change scenarios, mass loss accelerates from the mid-21st century and continues until 2200, despite assuming constant climate during the final century. The NPI exhibits a response time of approximately 100 years, highlighting the need for caution when interpreting current trends. By 2200, the remaining volume strongly depends on the emission pathway: 64 ± 10 % under SSP1-2.6 versus 32 ± 14 % under SSP5-8.5. These results confirm that for Patagonia, as found elsewhere, every fraction of a degree of warming matters.
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Preprint, submitted to The Cryosphere. - Evolution of the Antarctic ice sheet over the next three centuries from an ISMIP6 model ensemble
Hélène Seroussi; Tyler Pelle; William H. Lipscomb; Ayako Abe‐Ouchi; Torsten Albrecht; Jorge Alvarez‐Solas; Xylar Asay‐Davis; Jean‐Baptiste Barre; Constantijn J. Berends; Jorge Bernales; Javier Blasco; Justine Caillet; David M. Chandler; Violaine Coulon; Richard Cullather; Christophe Dumas; Benjamin K. Galton‐Fenzi; Julius Garbe; Fabien Gillet‐Chaulet; Rupert Gladstone; Heiko Goelzer; Nicholas Golledge; Ralf Greve; G. Hilmar Gudmundsson; Holly Kyeore Han; Trevor R. Hillebrand; Matthew J. Hoffman; Philippe Huybrechts; Nicolas C. Jourdain; Ann Kristin Klose; Petra M. Langebroek; Gunter R. Leguy; Daniel P. Lowry; Pierre Mathiot; Marisa Montoya; Mathieu Morlighem; Sophie Nowicki; Frank Pattyn; Antony J. Payne; Aurélien Quiquet; Ronja Reese; Alexander Robinson; Leopekka Saraste; Erika G. Simon; Sainan Sun; Jake P. Twarog; Luke D. Trusel; Benoit Urruty; Jonas Van Breedam; Roderik S. W. van de Wal; Yu Wang; Chen Zhao; Thomas Zwinger
Earth's Future, 12, 9, e2024EF004561, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 2024年09月04日, [査読有り], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌), The Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6 (ISMIP6) is the primary effort of CMIP6 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project–Phase 6) focusing on ice sheets, designed to provide an ensemble of process‐based projections of the ice‐sheet contribution to sea‐level rise over the twenty‐first century. However, the behavior of the Antarctic Ice Sheet beyond 2100 remains largely unknown: several instability mechanisms can develop on longer time scales, potentially destabilizing large parts of Antarctica. Projections of Antarctic Ice Sheet evolution until 2300 are presented here, using an ensemble of 16 ice‐flow models and forcing from global climate models. Under high‐emission scenarios, the Antarctic sea‐level contribution is limited to less than 30 cm sea‐level equivalent (SLE) by 2100, but increases rapidly thereafter to reach up to 4.4 m SLE by 2300. Simulations including ice‐shelf collapse lead to an additional 1.1 m SLE on average by 2300, and can reach 6.9 m SLE. Widespread retreat is observed on that timescale in most West Antarctic basins, leading to a collapse of large sectors of West Antarctica by 2300 in 30%–40% of the ensemble. While the onset date of retreat varies among ice models, the rate of upstream propagation is highly consistent once retreat begins. Calculations of sea‐level contribution including water density corrections lead to an additional ∼10% sea level and up to 50% for contributions accounting for bedrock uplift in response to ice loading. Overall, these results highlight large sea‐level contributions from Antarctica and suggest that the choice of ice sheet model remains the leading source of uncertainty in multi‐century projections. - Glacial inception through rapid ice area increase driven by albedo and vegetation feedbacks
Matteo Willeit; Reinhard Calov; Stefanie Talento; Ralf Greve; Jorjo Bernales; Volker Klemann; Meike Bagge; Andrey Ganopolski
Climate of the Past, 20, 3, 597, 623, Copernicus GmbH, 2024年03月18日, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌), We present transient simulations of the last glacial inception using the Earth system model CLIMBER-X with dynamic vegetation, interactive ice sheets, and visco-elastic solid Earth responses. The simulations are initialized at the middle of the Eemian interglacial (125 kiloyears before present, ka) and run until 100 ka, driven by prescribed changes in Earth's orbital parameters and greenhouse gas concentrations from ice core data. CLIMBER-X simulates a rapid increase in Northern Hemisphere ice sheet area through MIS5d, with ice sheets expanding over northern North America and Scandinavia, in broad agreement with proxy reconstructions. While most of the increase in ice sheet area occurs over a relatively short period between 119 and 117 ka, the larger part of the increase in ice volume occurs afterwards with an almost constant ice sheet extent. We show that the vegetation feedback plays a fundamental role in controlling the ice sheet expansion during the last glacial inception. In particular, with prescribed present-day vegetation the model simulates a global sea level drop of only ∼ 20 m, compared with the ∼ 35 m decrease in sea level with dynamic vegetation response. The ice sheet and carbon cycle feedbacks play only a minor role during the ice sheet expansion phase prior to ∼ 115 ka but are important in limiting the deglaciation during the following phase characterized by increasing summer insolation. The model results are sensitive to climate model biases and to the parameterization of snow albedo, while they show only a weak dependence on changes in the ice sheet model resolution and the acceleration factor used to speed up the climate component. Overall, our simulations confirm and refine previous results showing that climate–vegetation–cryosphere feedbacks play a fundamental role in the transition from interglacial to glacial states characterizing Quaternary glacial cycles. - Insights into the vulnerability of Antarctic glaciers from the ISMIP6 ice sheet model ensemble and associated uncertainty
Hélène Seroussi; Vincent Verjans; Sophie Nowicki; Antony J. Payne; Heiko Goelzer; William H. Lipscomb; Ayako Abe-Ouchi; Cécile Agosta; Torsten Albrecht; Xylar Asay-Davis; Alice Barthel; Reinhard Calov; Richard Cullather; Christophe Dumas; Benjamin K. Galton-Fenzi; Rupert Gladstone; Nicholas R. Golledge; Jonathan M. Gregory; Ralf Greve; Tore Hattermann; Matthew J. Hoffman; Angelika Humbert; Philippe Huybrechts; Nicolas C. Jourdain; Thomas Kleiner; Eric Larour; Gunter R. Leguy; Daniel P. Lowry; Chistopher M. Little; Mathieu Morlighem; Frank Pattyn; Tyler Pelle; Stephen F. Price; Aurélien Quiquet; Ronja Reese; Nicole-Jeanne Schlegel; Andrew Shepherd; Erika Simon; Robin S. Smith; Fiammetta Straneo; Sainan Sun; Luke D. Trusel; Jonas Van Breedam; Peter Van Katwyk; Roderik S. W. van de Wal; Ricarda Winkelmann; Chen Zhao; Tong Zhang; Thomas Zwinger
The Cryosphere, 17, 12, 5197, 5217, Copernicus GmbH, 2023年12月07日, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌), The Antarctic Ice Sheet represents the largest source of uncertainty in future sea level rise projections, with a contribution to sea level by 2100 ranging from −5 to 43 cm of sea level equivalent under high carbon emission scenarios estimated by the recent Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison for CMIP6 (ISMIP6). ISMIP6 highlighted the different behaviors of the East and West Antarctic ice sheets, as well as the possible role of increased surface mass balance in offsetting the dynamic ice loss in response to changing oceanic conditions in ice shelf cavities. However, the detailed contribution of individual glaciers, as well as the partitioning of uncertainty associated with this ensemble, have not yet been investigated. Here, we analyze the ISMIP6 results for high carbon emission scenarios, focusing on key glaciers around the Antarctic Ice Sheet, and we quantify their projected dynamic mass loss, defined here as mass loss through increased ice discharge into the ocean in response to changing oceanic conditions. We highlight glaciers contributing the most to sea level rise, as well as their vulnerability to changes in oceanic conditions. We then investigate the different sources of uncertainty and their relative role in projections, for the entire continent and for key individual glaciers. We show that, in addition to Thwaites and Pine Island glaciers in West Antarctica, Totten and Moscow University glaciers in East Antarctica present comparable future dynamic mass loss and high sensitivity to ice shelf basal melt. The overall uncertainty in additional dynamic mass loss in response to changing oceanic conditions, compared to a scenario with constant oceanic conditions, is dominated by the choice of ice sheet model, accounting for 52 % of the total uncertainty of the Antarctic dynamic mass loss in 2100. Its relative role for the most dynamic glaciers varies between 14 % for MacAyeal and Whillans ice streams and 56 % for Pine Island Glacier at the end of the century. The uncertainty associated with the choice of climate model increases over time and reaches 13 % of the uncertainty by 2100 for the Antarctic Ice Sheet but varies between 4 % for Thwaites Glacier and 53 % for Whillans Ice Stream. The uncertainty associated with the ice–climate interaction, which captures different treatments of oceanic forcings such as the choice of melt parameterization, its calibration, and simulated ice shelf geometries, accounts for 22 % of the uncertainty at the ice sheet scale but reaches 36 % and 39 % for Institute Ice Stream and Thwaites Glacier, respectively, by 2100. Overall, this study helps inform future research by highlighting the sectors of the ice sheet most vulnerable to oceanic warming over the 21st century and by quantifying the main sources of uncertainty. - Reduced ice loss from Greenland under stratospheric aerosol injection
John C. Moore; Ralf Greve; Chao Yue; Thomas Zwinger; Fabien Gillet‐Chaulet; Liyun Zhao
Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, 128, 11, e2023JF007112, American Geophysical Union (AGU), 2023年11月27日, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌), Sea level rise (SLR) due to surface melt and to dynamic losses from the ice sheets—that is via accelerated flow of glaciers into the sea—is something that may be potentially mitigated by cooling the ice sheet and oceans via solar geoengineering. We use two ice dynamic models driven by changes in surface mass balance (SMB) from four climate models to estimate the SLR contribution from the Greenland ice sheet under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5, and 8.5, and Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project G4 scenarios. The G4 scenario adds 5 Tg/yr sulfate aerosols to the equatorial lower stratosphere (equivalent of 1/4 the 1991 Mt Pinatubo SO2 eruption) to the IPCC RCP4.5 scenario, which itself approximates the greenhouse gas emission commitments agreed in Paris in 2015. Over the 2020–2090 period, mass loss under G4 is about 31%–38% that under RCP4.5, which is 36%–48% lower than under RCP8.5. Ice lost across the grounding line under both G4 and RCP4.5 is reduced in the future as the termini of many southeast Greenland outlets retreat onto bedrock above sea level. Glaciers with large low‐lying catchments in the west, north, and northeast of Greenland (e.g., Jakobshavn, 79N, Zachariae Isstrøm, and Petermann glaciers) discharge more ice from the ice‐sheet interior under RCP4.5 than under G4. Although calving losses vary much more than the SMB difference between ice dynamic models, both models point to significant ice discharge losses of between 15% and 42% across the scenarios. - Future projections for the Antarctic ice sheet until the year 2300 with a climate-index method
Ralf Greve; Christopher Chambers; Takashi Obase; Fuyuki Saito; Wing-Le Chan; Ayako Abe-Ouchi
Journal of Glaciology, 69, 278, 1569, 1579, Cambridge University Press (CUP), 2023年07月11日, [査読有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌), As part of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6), the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6 (ISMIP6) was devised to assess the likely sea-level-rise contribution from the Earth's ice sheets. Here, we construct an ensemble of climate forcings for Antarctica until the year 2300 based on original ISMIP6 forcings until 2100, combined with climate indices from simulations with the MIROC4m climate model until 2300. We then use these forcings to run simulations for the Antarctic ice sheet with the SICOPOLIS model. For the unabated warming pathway RCP8.5/SSP5-8.5, the ice sheet suffers a severe mass loss, amounting to ~ 1.5 m SLE (sea-level equivalent) for the fourteen-experiment mean, and ~ 3.3 m SLE for the most sensitive experiment. Most of this loss originates from West Antarctica. For the reduced emissions pathway RCP2.6/SSP1-2.6, the loss is limited to a three-experiment mean of ~ 0.16 m SLE. The means are approximately two times larger than what was found in a previous study (Chambers and others, 2022, doi:10.1017/jog.2021.124) that assumed a sustained late-21st-century climate beyond 2100, demonstrating the importance of post-2100 climate trends on Antarctic mass changes in the 22nd and 23rd centuries. - SICOPOLIS-AD v2: tangent linear and adjoint modeling framework for ice sheet modeling enabled by automatic differentiation tool Tapenade
Shreyas Sunil Gaikwad; Laurent Hascoet; Sri Hari Krishna Narayanan; Liz Curry-Logan; Ralf Greve; Patrick Heimbach
Journal of Open Source Software, 8, 83, 4679, The Open Journal, 2023年03月07日, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌), SImulation COde for POLythermal Ice Sheets (SICOPOLIS) is an open-source, 3D dynamic/thermodynamic model that simulates the evolution of large ice sheets and ice caps. SICOPOLIS has been developed continuously and applied to problems of past, present, and future glaciation of Greenland, Antarctica, and others. It uses the finite differences discretization on a staggered Arakawa C grid and employs the shallow ice and shallow shelf approximations, making it suitable for paleoclimatic simulations. We present a new framework for generating derivative code, i.e., tangent linear, adjoint, or Hessian models, of SICOPOLIS. These derivative operators are powerful computational engines to efficiently compute comprehensive gradients or sensitivities of scalar-valued model output, including least-squares model-data misfits or important quantities of interest, to high-dimensional model inputs (such as model initial conditions, parameter fields, or boundary conditions). The new version 2 (SICOPOLIS-AD v2) framework is based on the source-to-source automatic differentiation (AD) tool Tapenade which has recently been open-sourced. The switch from a previous AD tool (OpenAD) used in SICOPOLIS-AD version 1 to Tapenade overcomes several limitations outlined here. The framework is integrated with the SICOPOLIS model's main trunk and is freely available. - Mass loss of the Antarctic ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late-21st-century climate
Christopher Chambers; Ralf Greve; Takashi Obase; Fuyuki Saito; Ayako Abe-Ouchi
Journal of Glaciology, 68, 269, 605, 617, 2022年06月, [査読有り], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Mass loss of the Greenland ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late-21st-century climate
Ralf Greve; Christopher Chambers
Journal of Glaciology, 68, 269, 618, 624, 2022年06月, [査読有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Carbon dioxide ice glaciers at the South Pole of Mars
Isaac B. Smith; Nicole-Jeanne Schlegel; Eric Larour; Ignacio Isola; Peter B. Buhler; Nathaniel E. Putzig; Ralf Greve
Journal of Geophysical Research: Planets, 127, 4, e2022JE007193, 2022年04月, [査読有り], [最終著者], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Future sea level change under Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 and Phase 6 scenarios from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets
Antony J. Payne; Sophie Nowicki; Ayako Abe-Ouchi; Cecile Agosta; Patrick Alexander; Torsten Albrecht; Xylar Asay-Davis; Andy Aschwanden; Alice Barthel; Thomas J. Bracegirdle; Reinhard Calov; Christopher Chambers; Youngmin Choi; Richard Cullather; Joshua Cuzzone; Christophe Dumas; Tamsin L. Edwards; Denis Felikson; Xavier Fettweis; Benjamin K. Galton-Fenzi; Heiko Goelzer; Rupert Gladstone; Nicholas R. Golledge; Jonathan M. Gregory; Ralf Greve; Tore Hattermann; Matthew J. Hoffman; Angelika Humbert; Philippe Huybrechts; Nicolas C. Jourdain; Thomas Kleiner; Peter Kuipers Munneke; Eric Larour; Sebastien Le Clec'h; Victoria Lee; Gunter Leguy; William H. Lipscomb; Christopher M. Little; Daniel P. Lowry; Mathieu Morlighem; Isabel Nias; Frank Pattyn; Tyler Pelle; Stephen F. Price; Aurelien Quiquet; Ronja Reese; Martin Rueckamp; Nicole-Jeanne Schlegel; Helene Seroussi; Andrew Shepherd; Erika Simon; Donald Slater; Robin S. Smith; Fiammetta Straneo; Sainan Sun; Lev Tarasov; Luke D. Trusel; Jonas Van Breedam; Roderik van de Wal; Michiel van den Broeke; Ricarda Winkelmann; Chen Zhao; Tong Zhang; Thomas Zwinger
Geophysical Research Letters, 48, 16, e2020GL091741, 2021年08月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - The 21st-century fate of the Mocho-Choshuenco ice cap in southern Chile
Matthias Scheiter; Marius Schaefer; Eduardo Flandez; Deniz Bozkurt; Ralf Greve
The Cryosphere, 15, 8, 3637, 3654, 2021年08月, [査読有り], [最終著者], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Projected land ice contributions to twenty-first-century sea level rise
Tamsin L. Edwards; Sophie Nowicki; Ben Marzeion; Regine Hock; Heiko Goelzer; Helene Seroussi; Nicolas C. Jourdain; Donald A. Slater; Fiona E. Turner; Christopher J. Smith; Christine M. McKenna; Erika Simon; Ayako Abe-Ouchi; Jonathan M. Gregory; Eric Larour; William H. Lipscomb; Antony J. Payne; Andrew Shepherd; Cecile Agosta; Patrick Alexander; Torsten Albrecht; Brian Anderson; Xylar Asay-Davis; Andy Aschwanden; Alice Barthel; Andrew Bliss; Reinhard Calov; Christopher Chambers; Nicolas Champollion; Youngmin Choi; Richard Cullather; Joshua Cuzzone; Christophe Dumas; Denis Felikson; Xavier Fettweis; Koji Fujita; Benjamin K. Galton-Fenzi; Rupert Gladstone; Nicholas R. Golledge; Ralf Greve; Tore Hattermann; Matthew J. Hoffman; Angelika Humbert; Matthias Huss; Philippe Huybrechts; Walter Immerzeel; Thomas Kleiner; Philip Kraaijenbrink; Sebastien Le Clec'h; Victoria Lee; Gunter R. Leguy; Christopher M. Little; Daniel P. Lowry; Jan-Hendrik Malles; Daniel F. Martin; Fabien Maussion; Mathieu Morlighem; James F. O'Neill; Isabel Nias; Frank Pattyn; Tyler Pelle; Stephen F. Price; Aure'lien Quiquet; Valentina Radic; Ronja Reese; David R. Rounce; Martin Ruckamp; Akiko Sakai; Courtney Shafer; Nicole-Jeanne Schlegel; Sarah Shannon; Robin S. Smith; Fiammetta Straneo; Sainan Sun; Lev Tarasov; Luke D. Trusel; Jonas Van Breedam; Roderik van de Wal; Michiel van den Broeke; Ricarda Winkelmann; Harry Zekollari; Chen Zhao; Tong Zhang; Thomas Zwinger
Nature, 593, 7857, 74, 82, 2021年05月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Studies on the variability of the Greenland Ice Sheet and climate
Kumiko Goto-Azuma; Tomoyuki Homma; Tomotaka Saruya; Fumio Nakazawa; Yuki Komuro; Naoko Nagatsuka; Motohiro Hirabayashi; Yutaka Kondo; Makoto Koike; Teruo Aoki; Ralf Greve; Jun'ichi Okuno
Polar Science, 27, 100557, 2021年03月, [査読有り], [招待有り], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Rapidly changing glaciers, ocean and coastal environments, and their impact on human society in the Qaanaaq region, northwestern Greenland
Shin Sugiyama; Naoya Kanna; Daiki Sakakibara; Takuto Ando; Izumi Asaji; Ken Kondo; Yefan Wang; Yoshiki Fujishi; Shungo Fukumoto; Evgeniy Podolskiy; Yasushi Fukamachi; Minori Takahashi; Sumito Matoba; Yoshinori Iizuka; Ralf Greve; Masato Furuya; Kazutaka Tateyama; Tatsuya Watanabe; Shintaro Yamasaki; Atsushi Yamaguchi; Bungo Nishizawa; Kohei Matsuno; Daiki Nomura; Yuta Sakuragi; Yoshimasa Matsumura; Yoshihiko Ohashi; Teruo Aoki; Masashi Niwano; Naotaka Hayashi; Masahiro Minowa; Guillaume Jouvet; Eef van Dongen; Andreas Bauder; Martin Funk; Anders Anker Bjork; Toku Oshima
Polar Science, 27, 100632, 2021年03月, [査読有り], [招待有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Antarctic ice sheet response to sudden and sustained ice-shelf collapse (ABUMIP)
Sainan Sun; Frank Pattyn; Erika G. Simon; Torsten Albrecht; Stephen Cornford; Reinhard Calov; Christophe Dumas; Fabien Gillet-Chaulet; Heiko Goelzer; Nicholas R. Golledge; Ralf Greve; Matthew J. Hoffman; Angelika Humbert; Elise Kazmierczak; Thomas Kleiner; Gunter R. Leguy; William H. Lipscomb; Daniel Martin; Mathieu Morlighem; Sophie Nowicki; David Pollard; Stephen Price; Aurelien Quiquet; Helene Seroussi; Tanja Schlemm; Johannes Sutter; Roderik S. W. van de Wal; Ricarda Winkelmann; Tong Zhang
Journal of Glaciology, 66, 260, 891, 904, 2020年12月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Possible impacts of a 1000 km long hypothetical subglacial river valley towards Petermann Glacier in northern Greenland
Christopher Chambers; Ralf Greve; Bas Altena; Pierre-Marie Lefeuvre
The Cryosphere, 14, 11, 3747, 3759, 2020年11月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - The future sea-level contribution of the Greenland ice sheet: a multi-model ensemble study of ISMIP6
Heiko Goelzer; Sophie Nowicki; Anthony Payne; Eric Larour; Helene Seroussi; William H. Lipscomb; Jonathan Gregory; Ayako Abe-Ouchi; Andrew Shepherd; Erika Simon; Cecile Agosta; Patrick Alexander; Andy Aschwanden; Alice Barthel; Reinhard Calov; Christopher Chambers; Youngmin Choi; Joshua Cuzzone; Christophe Dumas; Tamsin Edwards; Denis Felikson; Xavier Fettweis; Nicholas R. Golledge; Ralf Greve; Angelika Humbert; Philippe Huybrechts; Sebastien Le Clec'h; Victoria Lee; Gunter Leguy; Chris Little; Daniel P. Lowry; Mathieu Morlighem; Isabel Nias; Aurelien Quiquet; Martin Rueckamp; Nicole-Jeanne Schlegel; Donald A. Slater; Robin S. Smith; Fiamma Straneo; Lev Tarasov; Roderik van de Wal; Michiel van den Broeke
The Cryosphere, 14, 9, 3071, 3096, 2020年09月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - ISMIP6 Antarctica: a multi-model ensemble of the Antarctic ice sheet evolution over the 21st century
Helene Seroussi; Sophie Nowicki; Antony J. Payne; Heiko Goelzer; William H. Lipscomb; Ayako Abe-Ouchi; Cecile Agosta; Torsten Albrecht; Xylar Asay-Davis; Alice Barthel; Reinhard Calov; Richard Cullather; Christophe Dumas; Benjamin K. Galton-Fenzi; Rupert Gladstone; Nicholas R. Golledge; Jonathan M. Gregory; Ralf Greve; Tore Hattermann; Matthew J. Hoffman; Angelika Humbert; Philippe Huybrechts; Nicolas C. Jourdain; Thomas Kleiner; Eric Larour; Gunter R. Leguy; Daniel P. Lowry; Chistopher M. Little; Mathieu Morlighem; Frank Pattyn; Tyler Pelle; Stephen F. Price; Aurelien Quiquet; Ronja Reese; Nicole-Jeanne Schlegel; Andrew Shepherd; Erika Simon; Robin S. Smith; Fiammetta Straneo; Sainan Sun; Luke D. Trusel; Jonas Van Breedam; Roderik S. W. van de Wal; Ricarda Winkelmann; Chen Zhao; Tong Zhang; Thomas Zwinger
The Cryosphere, 14, 9, 3033, 3070, 2020年09月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Description and validation of the ice-sheet model Yelmo (version 1.0)
Alexander Robinson; Jorge Alvarez-Solas; Marisa Montoya; Heiko Goelzer; Ralf Greve; Catherine Ritz
Geoscientific Model Development, 13, 6, 2805, 2823, 2020年06月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - SICOPOLIS-AD v1: an open-source adjoint modeling framework for ice sheet simulation enabled by the algorithmic differentiation tool OpenAD
Liz C. Logan; Sri Hari Krishna Narayanan; Ralf Greve; Patrick Heimbach
Geoscientific Model Development, 13, 4, 1845, 1864, 2020年04月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Projecting Antarctica's contribution to future sea level rise from basal ice shelf melt using linear response functions of 16 ice sheet models (LARMIP-2)
Anders Levermann; Ricarda Winkelmann; Torsten Albrecht; Heiko Goelzer; Nicholas R. Golledge; Ralf Greve; Philippe Huybrechts; Jim Jordan; Gunter Leguy; Daniel Martin; Mathieu Morlighem; Frank Pattyn; David Pollard; Aurelien Quiquet; Christian Rodehacke; Helene Seroussi; Johannes Sutter; Tong Zhang; Jonas Van Breedam; Reinhard Calov; Robert DeConto; Christophe Dumas; Julius Garbe; G. Hilmar Gudmundsson; Matthew J. Hoffman; Angelika Humbert; Thomas Kleiner; William H. Lipscomb; Malte Meinshausen; Esmond Ng; Sophie M. J. Nowicki; Mauro Perego; Stephen F. Price; Fuyuki Saito; Nicole-Jeanne Schlegel; Sainan Sun; Roderik S. W. van de Wal
Earth System Dynamics, 11, 1, 35, 76, 2020年02月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Constraining the geothermal heat flux in Greenland at regions of radar-detected basal water
Soroush Rezvanbehbahani; Leigh A. Stearns; C. J. Van der Veen; Gordon K. A. Oswald; Ralf Greve
Journal of Glaciology, 65, 254, 1023, 1034, 2019年12月, [査読有り], [最終著者], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Comparative simulations of the evolution of the Greenland ice sheet under simplified Paris Agreement scenarios with the models SICOPOLIS and ISSM
Martin Rückamp; Ralf Greve; Angelika Humbert
Polar Science, 21, 14, 25, 2019年09月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - InitMIP-Antarctica: an ice sheet model initialization experiment of ISMIP6
Helene Seroussi; Sophie Nowicki; Erika Simon; Ayako Abe-Ouchi; Torsten Albrecht; Julien Brondex; Stephen Cornford; Christophe Dumas; Fabien Gillet-Chaulet; Heiko Goelzer; Nicholas R. Golledge; Jonathan M. Gregory; Ralf Greve; Matthew J. Hoffman; Angelika Humbert; Philippe Huybrechts; Thomas Kleiner; Eric Larour; Gunter Leguy; William H. Lipscomb; Daniel Lowry; Matthias Mengel; Mathieu Morlighem; Frank Pattyn; Anthony J. Payne; David Pollard; Stephen F. Price; Aurelien Quiquet; Thomas J. Reerink; Ronja Reese; Christian B. Rodehacke; Nicole-Jeanne Schlegel; Andrew Shepherd; Sainan Sun; Johannes Sutter; Jonas Van Breedam; Roderik S. W. van de Wal; Ricarda Winkelmann; Tong Zhang
The Cryosphere, 13, 5, 1441, 1471, 2019年05月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Response of the flow dynamics of Bowdoin Glacier, northwestern Greenland, to basal lubrication and tidal forcing
Hakime Seddik; Ralf Greve; Daiki Sakakibara; Shun Tsutaki; Masahiro Minowa; Shin Sugiyama
Journal of Glaciology, 65, 250, 225, 238, 2019年04月, [査読有り], [責任著者], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Geothermal heat flux distribution for the Greenland ice sheet, derived by combining a global representation and information from deep ice cores
Ralf Greve
Polar Data Journal, 3, 22, 36, National Institute of Polar Research, 2019年02月, [査読有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌), We present a distribution of the geothermal heat flux (GHF) for Greenland, which is an update of two earlier versions by Greve (2005, Ann. Glaciol. 42) and Greve and Herzfeld (2013, Ann. Glaciol. 54). The GHF distribution is constructed in two steps. First, the global representation by Pollack et al. (1993, Rev. Geophys. 31) is scaled for the area of Greenland. Second, by means of a paleoclimatic simulation carried out with the ice sheet model SICOPOLIS, the GHF values for five deep ice core locations are modified such that observed and simulated basal temperatures match closely. The resulting GHF distribution generally features low values in the south and the north-west, whereas elevated values prevail in central North Greenland and towards the north-east. The data are provided as NetCDF files on two different grids (EPSG:3413 grid, Bamber grid) that have frequently been used in modelling studies of the Greenland ice sheet, and for the three different resolutions of 5 km, 10 km and 20 km. - Simulation of the future sea level contribution of Greenland with a new glacial system model
Reinhard Calov; Sebastian Beyer; Ralf Greve; Johanna Beckmann; Matteo Willeit; Thomas Kleiner; Martin Rückamp; Angelika Humbert; Andrey Ganopolski
The Cryosphere, 12, 10, 3097, 3121, 2018年10月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Design and results of the ice sheet model initialisation initMIP-Greenland: an ISMIP6 intercomparison
Heiko Goelzer; Sophie Nowicki; Tamsin Edwards; Matthew Beckley; Ayako Abe-Ouchi; Andy Aschwanden; Reinhard Calov; Olivier Gagliardini; Fabien Gillet-Chaulet; Nicholas R. Golledge; Jonathan Gregory; Ralf Greve; Angelika Humbert; Philippe Huybrechts; Joseph H. Kennedy; Eric Larour; William H. Lipscomb; Sebastien Le Clec'h; Victoria Lee; Mathieu Morlighem; Frank Pattyn; Antony J. Payne; Christian Rodehacke; Martin Rückamp; Fuyuki Saito; Nicole Schlegel; Helene Seroussi; Andrew Shepherd; Sainan Sun; Roderik van de Wal; Florian A. Ziemen
The Cryosphere, 12, 4, 1433, 1460, 2018年04月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - 氷床モデリングの基礎
齋藤 冬樹; グレーベ ラルフ
低温科学, 76, 179, 186, 低温科学研究所, 2018年03月, [招待有り], [最終著者], [国内誌]
日本語, 研究論文(大学,研究機関等紀要), 本稿では,氷床モデルについての概観を述べた上で,種々の氷床モデルの中でも特に氷床形状を決 めるためのモデルを概観する.氷床モデルで氷床をどのように抽象化して表現しているかを解説し, 具体例として氷床や棚氷の性質を理解する上での,二つの基本的な氷床モデルを紹介する. - Regional modeling of the Shirase drainage basin, East Antarctica: full Stokes vs. shallow ice dynamics
Hakime Seddik; Ralf Greve; Thomas Zwinger; Shin Sugiyama
The Cryosphere, 11, 5, 2213, 2229, 2017年09月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Projecting the response of the Greenland ice sheet to future climate change with the ice sheet model SICOPOLIS
Ralf Greve; Reinhard Calov; Ute C. Herzfeld
低温科学, 75, 117, 129, 低温科学研究所, 2017年03月, [招待有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際共著], [国内誌]
英語, 研究論文(大学,研究機関等紀要), Numerical modelling has become established as an important tool for understanding ice sheet dynamics in general, and in particular for assessing the contribution of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets to future sea level change under global warming conditions. In this paper, we review related work carried out with the ice sheet model SICOPOLIS (SImulation COde for POLythermal Ice Sheets). As part of a group of eight models, it was applied to a set of standardised experiments for the Greenland ice sheet defined by the SeaRISE (Sea-level Response to Ice Sheet Evolution) initiative. A main finding of SeaRISE was that, if climate change continues unabatedly, the ice sheet may experience a significant decay over the next centuries. However, the spread of results across different models was very large, mainly because of differences in the applied initialisation methods and surface mass balance schemes. Therefore, the new initiative ISMIP6 (Ice Sheet Modeling Intercomparison Project for CMIP6) was launched. An early sub-project is InitMIP-Greenland, within which we showed that two different initialisations computed with SICOPOLIS lead indeed to large differences in the simulated response to schematic future climate scenarios. Further work within ISMIP6 will thus focus on improved initialisation techniques. Based on this, refined future climate simulations for the Greenland ice sheet, driven by forcings derived from AOGCM (atmosphere-ocean general circulation model) simulations, will be carried out. The goal of ISMIP6 is to provide significantly improved estimates of ice sheet contribution to sea level rise in the coming years. - State dependence of climatic instability over the past 720,000 years from Antarctic ice cores and climate modeling
Kenji Kawamura; Ayako Abe-Ouchi; Hideaki Motoyama; Yutaka Ageta; Shuji Aoki; Nobuhiko Azuma; Yoshiyuki Fujii; Koji Fujita; Shuji Fujita; Kotaro Fukui; Teruo Furukawa; Atsushi Furusaki; Kumiko Goto-Azuma; Ralf Greve; Motohiro Hirabayashi; Takeo Hondoh; Akira Hori; Shinichiro Horikawa; Kazuho Horiuchi; Makoto Igarashi; Yoshinori Iizuka; Takao Kameda; Hiroshi Kanda; Mika Kohno; Takayuki Kuramoto; Yuki Matsushi; Morihiro Miyahara; Takayuki Miyake; Atsushi Miyamoto; Yasuo Nagashima; Yoshiki Nakayama; Takakiyo Nakazawa; Fumio Nakazawa; Fumihiko Nishio; Ichio Obinata; Rumi Ohgaito; Akira Oka; Jun'ichi Okuno; Junichi Okuyama; Ikumi Oyabu; Frederic Parrenin; Frank Pattyn; Fuyuki Saito; Takashi Saito; Takeshi Saito; Toshimitsu Sakurai; Kimikazu Sasa; Hakime Seddik; Yasuyuki Shibata; Kunio Shinbori; Keisuke Suzuki; Toshitaka Suzuki; Akiyoshi Takahashi; Kunio Takahashi; Shuhei Takahashi; Morimasa Takata; Yoichi Tanaka; Ryu Uemura; Genta Watanabe; Okitsugu Watanabe; Tetsuhide Yamasaki; Kotaro Yokoyama; Masakazu Yoshimori; Takayasu Yoshimoto
Science Advances, 3, 2, e1600446, 2017年02月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Marine ice sheet model performance depends on basal sliding physics and sub-shelf melting
Rupert Michael Gladstone; Roland Charles Warner; Benjamin Keith Galton-Fenzi; Olivier Gagliardini; Thomas Zwinger; Ralf Greve
The Cryosphere, 11, 1, 319, 329, 2017年01月, [査読有り], [最終著者], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Comparison of hybrid schemes for the combination of shallow approximations in numerical simulations of the Antarctic Ice Sheet
Jorge Bernales; Irina Rogozhina; Ralf Greve; Maik Thomas
The Cryosphere, 11, 1, 247, 265, 2017年01月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Cyclic steps on ice
Miwa Yokokawa; Norihiro Izumi; Kensuke Naito; Gary Parker; Tomohito Yamada; Ralf Greve
Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, 121, 5, 1023, 1048, 2016年05月, [査読有り], [最終著者], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Comparison of thermodynamics solvers in the polythermal ice sheet model SICOPOLIS
Ralf Greve; Heinz Blatter
Polar Science, 10, 1, 11, 23, 2016年03月, [査読有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Modelling the Antarctic marine cryosphere at the Last Glacial Maximum
Kazuya Kusahara; Tatsuru Sato; Akira Oka; Takashi Obase; Ralf Greve; Ayako Abe-Ouchi; Hiroyasu Hasumi
Annals of Glaciology, 56, 69, 425, 435, 2015年10月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Ice sheet mass loss caused by dust and black carbon accumulation
Thomas Goelles; Carl E. Bøggild; Ralf Greve
The Cryosphere, 9, 5, 1845, 1856, 2015年09月, [査読有り], [最終著者], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Comparison and verification of enthalpy schemes for polythermal glaciers and ice sheets with a one-dimensional model
Heinz Blatter; Ralf Greve
Polar Science, 9, 2, 196, 207, 2015年06月, [査読有り], [最終著者], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Coupled simulations of Greenland Ice Sheet and climate change up to AD 2300
Miren Vizcaino; Uwe Mikolajewicz; Florian Ziemen; Christian B. Rodehacke; Ralf Greve; Michiel R. van den Broeke
Geophysical Research Letters, 42, 10, 3927, 3935, 2015年05月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Projecting Antarctic ice discharge using response functions from SeaRISE ice-sheet models
A. Levermann; R. Winkelmann; S. Nowicki; J. L. Fastook; K. Frieler; R. Greve; H. H. Hellmer; M. A. Martin; M. Meinshausen; M. Mengel; A. J. Payne; D. Pollard; T. Sato; R. Timmermann; W. L. Wang; R. A. Bindschadler
Earth System Dynamics, 5, 2, 271, 293, 2014年08月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - On the pressure dependence of the rate factor in Glen's flow law
Ralf Greve; Thomas Zwinger; Yongmei Gong
Journal of Glaciology, 60, 220, 397, 398, 2014年04月, [査読有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Accumulation reconstruction and water isotope analysis for 1736-1997 of an ice core from the Ushkovsky volcano, Kamchatka, and their relationships to North Pacific climate records
Tatsuru Sato; Takayuki Shiraiwa; Ralf Greve; Hakime Seddik; Erik Edelmann; Thomas Zwinger
Climate of the Past, 10, 1, 393, 404, 2014年02月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Capabilities and performance of Elmer/Ice, a new-generation ice sheet model
O. Gagliardini; T. Zwinger; F. Gillet-Chaulet; G. Durand; L. Favier; B. de Fleurian; R. Greve; M. Malinen; C. Martin; P. Råback; J. Ruokolainen; M. Sacchettini; M. Schäfer; H. Seddik; J. Thies
Geoscientific Model Development, 6, 4, 1299, 1318, 2013年08月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Resolution of ice streams and outlet glaciers in large-scale simulations of the Greenland ice sheet
Ralf Greve; Ute C. Herzfeld
Annals of Glaciology, 54, 63, 209, 220, 2013年07月, [査読有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Insights into spatial sensitivities of ice mass response to environmental change from the SeaRISE ice sheet modeling project I: Antarctica
Sophie Nowicki; Robert A. Bindschadler; Ayako Abe-Ouchi; Andy Aschwanden; Ed Bueler; Hyeungu Choi; Jim Fastook; Glen Granzow; Ralf Greve; Gail Gutowski; Ute Herzfeld; Charles Jackson; Jesse Johnson; Constantine Khroulev; Eric Larour; Anders Levermann; William H. Lipscomb; Maria A. Martin; Mathieu Morlighem; Byron R. Parizek; David Pollard; Stephen F. Price; Diandong Ren; Eric Rignot; Fuyuki Saito; Tatsuru Sato; Hakime Seddik; Helene Seroussi; Kunio Takahashi; Ryan Walker; Wei Li Wang
Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, 118, 2, 1002, 1024, 2013年06月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Insights into spatial sensitivities of ice mass response to environmental change from the SeaRISE ice sheet modeling project II: Greenland
Sophie Nowicki; Robert A. Bindschadler; Ayako Abe-Ouchi; Andy Aschwanden; Ed Bueler; Hyeungu Choi; Jim Fastook; Glen Granzow; Ralf Greve; Gail Gutowski; Ute Herzfeld; Charles Jackson; Jesse Johnson; Constantine Khroulev; Eric Larour; Anders Levermann; William H. Lipscomb; Maria A. Martin; Mathieu Morlighem; Byron R. Parizek; David Pollard; Stephen F. Price; Diandong Ren; Eric Rignot; Fuyuki Saito; Tatsuru Sato; Hakime Seddik; Helene Seroussi; Kunio Takahashi; Ryan Walker; Wei Li Wang
Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, 118, 2, 1025, 1044, 2013年06月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Ice-sheet model sensitivities to environmental forcing and their use in projecting future sea level (the SeaRISE project)
Robert A. Bindschadler; Sophie Nowicki; Ayako Abe-Ouchi; Andy Aschwanden; Hyeungu Choi; Jim Fastook; Glen Granzow; Ralf Greve; Gail Gutowski; Ute Herzfeld; Charles Jackson; Jesse Johnson; Constantine Khroulev; Anders Levermann; William H. Lipscomb; Maria A. Martin; Mathieu Morlighem; Byron R. Parizek; David Pollard; Stephen F. Price; Diandong Ren; Fuyuki Saito; Tatsuru Sato; Hakime Seddik; Helene Seroussi; Kunio Takahashi; Ryan Walker; Wei Li Wang
Journal of Glaciology, 59, 214, 195, 224, 2013年04月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Greenland ice sheet contribution to sea-level rise from a new-generation ice-sheet model
F. Gillet-Chaulet; O. Gagliardini; H. Seddik; M. Nodet; G. Durand; C. Ritz; T. Zwinger; R. Greve; D. G. Vaughan
The Cryosphere, 6, 6, 1561, 1576, 2012年12月, [査読有り], [国際共著]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - On the influence of Greenland outlet glacier bed topography on results from dynamic ice-sheet models
Ute C. Herzfeld; James Fastook; Ralf Greve; Brian McDonald; Bruce F. Wallin; Philip A. Chen
Annals of Glaciology, 53, 60, 281, 293, 2012年11月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Sensitivity experiments for the Antarctic ice sheet with varied sub-ice-shelf melting rates
Tatsuru Sato; Ralf Greve
Annals of Glaciology, 53, 60, 221, 228, 2012年11月, [査読有り], [最終著者], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Projecting Antarctic ice discharge using response functions from SeaRISE ice-sheet models
A. Levermann; R. Winkelmann; S. Nowicki; J. L. Fastook; K. Frieler; R. Greve; H. H. Hellmer; M. A. Martin; M. Mengel; A. J. Payne; D. Pollard; T. Sato; R. Timmermann; W. L. Wang; R. A. Bindschadler
The Cryosphere Discussions, 6, 3447, 3489, Copernicus, 2012年08月, [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌), The largest uncertainty in projections of future sea-level change still results from the potentially changing dynamical ice discharge from Antarctica. While ice discharge can alter through a number of processes, basal ice-shelf melting induced by a warming ocean has been identified as a major if not the major cause for possible additional ice flow across the grounding line. Here we derive dynamic ice-sheet response functions for basal ice-shelf melting using experiments carried out within the Sea-level Response to Ice Sheet Evolution (SeaRISE) intercomparison project with five different Antarctic ice-sheet models. As used here these response functions provide separate contributions for four different Antarctic drainage regions. Under the assumptions of linear-response theory we project future ice-discharge for each model, each region and each of the four Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) using oceanic temperatures from 19 comprehensive climate models of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, CMIP-5, and two ocean models from the EU project Ice2Sea. Uncertainty in the climatic forcing, the oceanic response and the ice-model differences is combined into an uncertainty range of future Antarctic ice discharge induced from basal ice-shelf melt. The additional ice loss (Table 6) is clearly scenario-dependent and results in a median of 0.07 m (66%-range: 0.04-0.10 m; 90%-range: -0.01-0.26 m) of global sea-level equivalent for the low-emission RCP-2.6 scenario and yields 0.1 m (66%-range: 0.06-0.14 m; 90%-range: -0.01-0.45 m) for the strongest RCP-8.5. If only models with an explicit representation of ice shelves are taken into account the scenario dependence remains and the values change to: 0.05 m (66%-range: 0.03-0.08 m) for RCP-2.6 and 0.07 m (66%-range: 0.04-0.11 m) for RCP-8.5. These results were obtained using a time delay between the surface warming signal and the subsurface oceanic warming as observed in the CMIP-5 models. Without this time delay the ranges for all ice models changes to 0.10 m (66%-range: 0.07-0.12 m; 90%-range: 0.01-0.28 m) for RCP-2.6 and 0.15 m (66%-range: 0.10-0.21 m; 90%-range: 0.02-0.53 m) for RCP-8.5. All probability distributions as provided in Fig. 10 are highly skewed towards high values. - Simulations of the Greenland ice sheet 100 years into the future with the full Stokes model Elmer/Ice
Hakime Seddik; Ralf Greve; Thomas Zwinger; Fabien Gillet-Chaulet; Olivier Gagliardini
Journal of Glaciology, 58, 209, 427, 440, 2012年06月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - An assessment of key model parametric uncertainties in projections of Greenland Ice Sheet behavior
P. J. Applegate; N. Kirchner; E. J. Stone; K. Keller; R. Greve
The Cryosphere, 6, 3, 589, 606, 2012年05月, [査読有り], [最終著者], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Computational modeling of flow-induced anisotropy of polar ice for the EDML deep drilling site, Antarctica: The effect of rotation recrystallization and grain boundary migration
Swantje Bargmann; Hakime Seddik; Ralf Greve
International Journal for Numerical and Analytical Methods in Geomechanics, 36, 7, 892, 917, 2012年05月, [査読有り], [最終著者], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Effects of uncertainties in the geothermal heat flux distribution on the Greenland Ice Sheet: An assessment of existing heat flow models
I. Rogozhina; J. M. Hagedoorn; Z. Martinec; K. Fleming; O. Soucek; R. Greve; M. Thomas
Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, 117, F2, F02025, 2012年05月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Present State and Prospects of Ice Sheet and Glacier Modelling
Heinz Blatter; Ralf Greve; Ayako Abe-Ouchi
Surveys in Geophysics, 32, 4-5, 555, 583, 2011年09月, [査読有り], [招待有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Initial results of the SeaRISE numerical experiments with the models SICOPOLIS and IcIES for the Greenland ice sheet
Ralf Greve; Fuyuki Saito; Ayako Abe-Ouchi
Annals of Glaciology, 52, 58, 23, 30, 2011年08月, [査読有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - A full Stokes ice flow model for the vicinity of Dome Fuji, Antarctica, with induced anisotropy and fabric evolution
Hakime Seddik; Ralf Greve; Thomas Zwinger; Luca Placidi
The Cryosphere, 5, 2, 495, 508, 2011年06月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Permanent fast flow versus cyclic surge behaviour: numerical simulations of the Austfonna ice cap, Svalbard
Thorben Dunse; Ralf Greve; Thomas Vikhamar Schuler; Jon Ove Hagen
Journal of Glaciology, 57, 202, 247, 259, 2011年04月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Paleoglaciological reconstructions for the Tibetan Plateau during the last glacial cycle: evaluating numerical ice sheet simulations driven by GCM-ensembles
Nina Kirchner; Ralf Greve; Arjen P. Stroeven; Jakob Heyman
Quaternary Science Reviews, 30, 1-2, 248, 267, 2011年01月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - MAIC-2, a latitudinal model for the Martian surface temperature, atmospheric water transport and surface glaciation
Ralf Greve; Björn Grieger; Oliver J. Stenzel
Planetary and Space Science, 58, 6, 931, 940, 2010年05月, [査読有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Continuum-mechanical, Anisotropic Flow model for polar ice masses, based on an anisotropic Flow Enhancement factor
Luca Placidi; Ralf Greve; Hakime Seddik; Sergio H. Faria
Continuum Mechanics and Thermodynamics, 22, 3, 221, 237, 2010年03月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Evidence of past migration of the ice divide between the Shirase and Soya drainage basins derived from chemical characteristics of the marginal ice in the Soya drainage basin, East Antarctica
Yoshinori Iizuka; Hideki Miura; Shogo Iwasaki; Hideaki Maemoku; Takanobu Sawagaki; Ralf Greve; Hiroshi Satake; Kimikazu Sasa; Yuki Matsushi
Journal of Glaciology, 56, 197, 395, 404, 2010年, [査読有り], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - A short history of the thermomechanical theory and modelling of glaciers and ice sheets
Heinz Blatter; Ralf Greve; Ayako Abe-Ouchi
Journal of Glaciology, 56, 200, 1087, 1094, 2010年, [査読有り], [招待有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Results from the Ice-Sheet Model Intercomparison Project-Heinrich Event INtercOmparison (ISMIP HEINO)
Reinhard Calov; Ralf Greve; Ayako Abe-Ouchi; Ed Bueler; Philippe Huybrechts; Jesse V. Johnson; Frank Pattyn; David Pollard; Catherine Ritz; Fuyuki Saito; Lev Tarasov
Journal of Glaciology, 56, 197, 371, 383, 2010年, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - A continuum-mechanical model for the flow of anisotropic polar ice
Ralf Greve; Luca Placidi; Hakime Seddik
低温科学, 68 (Suppl.), 137, 148, 低温科学研究所, 2009年12月, [招待有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際共著], [国内誌]
英語, 研究論文(国際会議プロシーディングス), In order to study the mechanical behaviour of polar ice masses, the method of continuum mechanics is used. The newly developed CAFFE model (Continuum-mechanical, Anisotropic Flow model, based on an anisotropic Flow Enhancement factor) is described, which comprises an anisotropic flow law as well as a fabric evolution equation. The flow law is an extension of the isotropic Glen's flow law, in which anisotropy enters via an enhancement factor that depends on the deformability of the polycrystal. The fabric evolution equation results from an orientational mass balance and includes constitutive relations for grain rotation and recrystallization. The CAFFE model fulfills all the fundamental principles of classical continuum mechanics, is sufficiently simple to allow numerical implementations in ice-flow models and contains only a limited number of free parameters. The applicability of the CAFFE model is demonstrated by a case study for the site of the EPICA (European Project for Ice Coring in Antarctica) ice core in Dronning Maud Land, East Antarctica. - Decay of the Greenland Ice Sheet due to surface-meltwater-induced acceleration of basal sliding
Ralf Greve; Shin Sugiyama
ArXiv E-Prints, arXiv:0905.2027, Cornell University, 2009年05月, [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌), Simulations of the Greenland Ice Sheet are carried out with a high-resolution version of the ice-sheet model SICOPOLIS for several global-warming scenarios for the period 1990-2350. In particular, the impact of surface-meltwater-induced acceleration of basal sliding on the stability of the ice sheet is investigated. A parameterization for the acceleration effect is developed for which modelled and measured mass losses of the ice sheet in the early 21st century agree well. The main findings of the simulations are: (i) the ice sheet is generally very susceptible to global warming on time-scales of centuries, (ii) surface-meltwater-induced acceleration of basal sliding leads to a pronounced speed-up of ice streams and outlet glaciers, and (iii) this ice-dynamical effect accelerates the decay of the Greenland Ice Sheet as a whole significantly, but not catastrophically, in the 21st century and beyond. - Numerical simulation of the evolution of glacial valley cross sections
Hakime Seddik; Ralf Greve; Shin Sugiyama; Renji Naruse
ArXiv E-Prints, arXiv:0901.1177, Cornell University, 2009年01月, [責任著者], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌), A numerical model was developed for simulating the formation of U-shaped glacial valleys by coupling a two-dimensional ice flow model with an erosion model for a transverse cross section. The erosion model assumes that the erosion rate varies quadratically with sliding speed. We compare the two-dimensional model with a simple shallow-ice approximation model and show the differences in the evolution of a pre-glacial V-shaped valley profile using the two models. We determine the specific role of the lateral shear stresses acting on the glacier side walls in the formation of glacial valleys. By comparing the model results with field data, we find that U-shaped valleys can be formed within 50 ka. A shortcoming of the model is that it primarily simulates the formation of glacial valleys by deepening, whereas observed valleys apparently have formed mainly by widening. - A comparative modeling study of the Brunt Ice Shelf/Stancomb-Wills Ice Tongue system, East Antarctica
Angelika Humbert; Thomas Kleiner; Chris-Oliver Mohrholz; Christoph Oelke; Ralf Greve; Manfred A. Lange
Journal of Glaciology, 55, 189, 53, 65, 2009年, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Increased future sea level rise due to rapid decay of the Greenland ice sheet?
Ralf Greve
Proceedings of the First International Symposium on the Arctic Research (ISAR-1), 90, 93, 2008年11月, [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(国際会議プロシーディングス) - Simulation of cryovolcanism on Saturn's moon Enceladus with the Green-Naghdi theory of thermoelasticity
Swantje Bargmann; Ralf Greve; Paul Steinmann
Bulletin of Glaciological Research, 26, 23, 32, Japanese Society of Snow and Ice, 2008年08月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌), In 2005, the Cassini spacecraft proved the existence of cryovolcanism, i.e., the icy counterpart of volcanism on Earth, on Saturn's moon Enceladus during its close fly-bys. In particular, water-rich plume venting was discovered in the south polar region. Thus, Enceladus was found to be one out of three outer solar bodies to be geologically active. This contribution is concerned with the modeling and computation of this phenomenon. For the underlying thermoelastic description of ice at cryogenic temperatures, we resort to the Green-Naghdi approach. The Green-Naghdi theory includes the classical Fourier approach, but, in addition to that, it is a lot more general as it also allows for other types of heat propagation. The numerical implementation is carried out with the help of the finite element method. Results show that lateral spreading of internal and surface warming away from an active volcanic vent increases strongly with increasing contribution of the non-classical heat flux. Agreement with available high-resolution surface temperature data based on infrared spectrometry seems to be best if the non-classical heat flux contributes significantly to the total heat transport. Complementary laboratory studies would be required in order to strengthen this speculative, yet promising idea. - Scenarios for the formation of Chasma Boreale, Mars
Ralf Greve
Icarus, 196, 2, 359, 367, 2008年08月, [査読有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Application of a continuum-mechanical model for the flow of anisotropic polar ice to the EDML core, Antarctica
Hakime Seddik; Ralf Greve; Luca Placidi; Ilka Hamann; Olivier Gagliardini
Journal of Glaciology, 54, 187, 631, 642, 2008年, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - The polar ice caps of Mars
Ralf Greve
低温科学, 66, 139, 148, 低温科学研究所, 2007年12月, [招待有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国内誌]
英語, 研究論文(大学,研究機関等紀要), Both Martian polar regions are covered by prominent ice caps. Similar to snow on Earth, the seasonal caps are extended layers of CO2 frost which grow and shrink over the seasons. In the respective summer season, much smaller permanent caps remain, which are underlain by 3 km high topographic domes termed as polar layered deposits. The polar layered deposits consist mainly of H2O ice and have formed by exchange of water with the atmosphere over at least millions of years. Alternating layers of clear and dusty ice, which are exposed in surface troughs and close to the margin, indicate a complex climatic history of Mars driven by quasiperiodic changes of orbital elements, similar to the Milankovitch cycles on Earth. Likely present-day glacial flow velocities are of the order of 0.1-1 mm/a, the north polar deposits being more dynamic than the southern ones due to higher surface temperatures. Basal temperatures are far below the pressure melting point, with the possible exception of geothermally active areas under the ice. - Coupling Planet Simulator Mars, a general circulation model of the Martian atmosphere, to the ice sheet model SICOPOLIS
O. J. Stenzel; B. Grieger; H. U. Keller; R. Greve; K. Fraedrich; E. Kirk; F. Lunkeit
Planetary and Space Science, 55, 14, 2087, 2096, 2007年11月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - The effect of the north-east ice stream on the Greenland ice sheet in changing climates
Ralf Greve; Shoko Otsu
The Cryosphere Discussions, 1, 41, 76, Copernicus, 2007年06月, [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌), The north-east Greenland ice stream (NEGIS) was discovered as a large fast-flow feature of the Greenland ice sheet by synthetic aperture radar (SAR) imaginary of the ERS-1 satellite. In this study, the NEGIS is implemented in the dynamic/thermodynamic, large-scale ice-sheet model SICOPOLIS (Simulation Code for POLythermal Ice Sheets). In the first step, we simulate the evolution of the ice sheet on a 10-km grid for the period from 250 ka ago until today, driven by a climatology reconstructed from a combination of present-day observations and GCM results for the past. We assume that the NEGIS area is characterized by enhanced basal sliding compared to the "normal", slowly-flowing areas of the ice sheet, and find that the misfit between simulated and observed ice thicknesses and surface velocities is minimized for a sliding enhancement by the factor three. In the second step, the consequences of the NEGIS, and also of surface-meltwater-induced acceleration of basal sliding, for the possible decay of the Greenland ice sheet in future warming climates are investigated. It is demonstrated that the ice sheet is generally very susceptible to global warming on time-scales of centuries and that surface-meltwater-induced acceleration of basal sliding can speed up the decay significantly, whereas the NEGIS is not likely to dynamically destabilize the ice sheet as a whole. - A full Stokes-flow thermo-mechanical model for firn and ice applied to the Gorshkov crater glacier, Kamchatka
Thomas Zwinger; Ralf Greve; Olivier Gagliardini; Takayuki Shiraiwa; Mikko Lyly
Annals of Glaciology, 45, 29, 37, 2007年, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Simulation of large-scale ice-sheet surges: The ISMIP HEINO experiments
Ralf Greve; Ryoji Takahama; Reinhard Calov
Polar Meteorology and Glaciology, 20, 1, 15, National Institute of Polar Research, 2006年11月, [査読有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌), The three-dimensional, dynamic/thermodynamic ice-sheet model SICOPOLIS (SImulation COde for POLythermal Ice Sheets) is applied to the ISMIP HEINO (Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project-Heinrich Event INtercOmparison) set-up. ISMIP HEINO has been designed to study large-scale ice-sheet instabilities, similar to those of the Laurentide ice sheet which are likely the cause of Heinrich events, on a simplified geometry which consists of a flat square with 4000 km side length. This square contains an area which resembles Hudson Bay and Hudson Strait, on which rapid sediment sliding can occur. The ice sheet is built up over 200 ka by assuming a temporally constant glacial climate. For the standard set-up of ISMIP HEINO, we obtain an oscillatory behaviour of the ice sheet with a main period of approx. 7.5 ka. One cycle consists of a gradual growth phase, followed by a massive surge through "Hudson Bay" and "Hudson Strait" owing to rapid sediment sliding on a molten bed. The occurrence of internal oscillations is robust against moderate variations of the surface boundary conditions and the strength of the sediment sliding. These findings support the idea of a free oscillatory mechanism as the main cause for large-scale ice-sheet surges. - Fluid dynamics of planetary ices
Ralf Greve
GAMM-Mitteilungen, 29, 1, 29, 51, Wiley‐VCH, 2006年04月, [査読有り], [招待有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌), The role of water ice in the solar system is reviewed from a fluid‐dynamical point of view. On Earth and Mars, water ice forms ice sheets, ice caps and glaciers at the surface, which show glacial flow under their own weight. By contrast, water ice is a major constituent of the bulk volume of the icy satellites in the outer solar system, and ice flow can occur as thermal convection. The rheology of polycrystalline aggregates of ordinary, hexagonal ice Ih is described by a power law, different forms of which are discussed. The temperature dependence of the ice viscosity follows an Arrhenius law. Therefore, the flow of ice in a planetary environment constitutes a thermo‐mechanically coupled problem; its model equations are obtained by inserting the flow law and the thermodynamic material equations in the balance laws of mass, momentum and energy. As an example of gravity‐driven flow, the polar caps of Mars are discussed. For the north‐polar cap, large‐scale flow velocities of the order of 0.1 … 1 mm/a are likely, locally enhanced by a factor ten or more in the vicinity of surface scarps/troughs. By contrast, the colder south‐polar cap is expected to be almost stagnant. Tidally heated convection is discussed for the example of the icy crust of Europa, where a two‐dimensional model predicts the formation of an upper, conductive lid and a lower, convective layer with flow velocities of the order of 100 mm/a. Very little is known about the fluid‐dynamical relevance of high‐pressure phases of water ice as well as ices made up of other materials. - Parameter sensitivity studies for the ice flow of the Ross Ice Shelf, Antarctica
Angelika Humbert; Ralf Greve; Kolumban Hutter
Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, 110, F4, F04022, 2005年12月, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Response of the intermediate complexity Mars Climate Simulator to different obliquity angles
J. Segschneider; B. Grieger; H. U. Keller; F. Lunkeit; E. Kirk; K. Fraedrich; A. Rodin; R. Greve
Planetary and Space Science, 53, 6, 659, 670, 2005年05月, [査読有り], [最終著者], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Transient simulation of the last glacial inception. Part I: glacial inception as a bifurcation in the climate system
Reinhard Calov; Andrey Ganopolski; Martin Claussen; Vladimir Petoukhov; Ralf Greve
Climate Dynamics, 24, 6, 545, 561, 2005年05月, [査読有り], [最終著者], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Influence of ice rheology and dust content on the dynamics of the north-polar cap of Mars
Ralf Greve; Rupali A. Mahajan
Icarus, 174, 2, 475, 485, 2005年04月, [査読有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - A semi-analytical solution for the positive degree-day model with stochastic temperature variations
Reinhard Calov; Ralf Greve
Journal of Glaciology, 51, 172, 173, 175, 2005年, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Relation of measured basal temperatures and the spatial distribution of the geothermal heat flux for the Greenland ice sheet
Ralf Greve
Annals of Glaciology, 42, 424, 432, 2005年, [査読有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Simulation of large-scale surges of the glacial Laurentide Ice Sheet: the simplified ISMIP HEINO experiments
Ralf Greve; Ryoji Takahama
Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Global Change: Connection to the Arctic (GCCA-6), Miraikan, Tokyo, Japan, 160, 163, 2005年, [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(国際会議プロシーディングス) - Evolution of the north-polar cap of Mars: a modelling study
Ralf Greve; Rupali A. Mahajan; Joachim Segschneider; Björn Grieger
Planetary and Space Science, 52, 9, 775, 787, 2004年08月, [査読有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Simulation of the Eurasian ice sheet dynamics during the last glaciation
Pirjo-Leena Forsström; Ralf Greve
Global and Planetary Change, 42, 1-4, 59, 81, 2004年07月, [査読有り], [最終著者], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Derivation of deformation characteristics in fast-moving glaciers
Ute C. Herzfeld; Garry K. C. Clarke; Helmut Mayer; Ralf Greve
Computers & Geosciences, 30, 3, 291, 302, 2004年04月, [査読有り], [最終著者], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Evolution and dynamics of the Greenland ice sheet over past glacial-interglacial cycles and in future climate-warming scenarios
Ralf Greve
Proceedings of the 5th International Workshop on Global Change: Connection to the Arctic (GCCA-5), University of Tsukuba, Japan, 42, 45, 2004年, [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(国際会議プロシーディングス) - Inlandeismodelle
Ralf Greve
Promet, 29, 1-4, 98, 104, Deutscher Wetterdienst, 2003年06月, [招待有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際誌]
ドイツ語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Ice flow and isostasy of the north polar cap of Mars
Ralf Greve; Volker Klemann; Detlef Wolf
Planetary and Space Science, 51, 3, 193, 204, 2003年03月, [査読有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Simulation of fast-flow features of the Fennoscandian ice sheet during the Last Glacial Maximum
Pirjo-Leena Forsström; Olli Sallasmaa; Ralf Greve; Thomas Zwinger
Annals of Glaciology, 37, 383, 389, 2003年, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Large-scale instabilities of the Laurentide ice sheet simulated in a fully coupled climate-system model
Reinhard Calov; Andrey Ganopolski; Vladimir Petoukhov; Martin Claussen; Ralf Greve
Geophysical Research Letters, 29, 24, 2216, 2002年12月, [査読有り], [最終著者], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Comparison of numerical schemes for the solution of the ice-thickness equation in a dynamic/thermodynamic ice-sheet model
Ralf Greve; Reinhard Calov
Journal of Computational Physics, 179, 2, 649, 664, 2002年07月, [査読有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Comparison of numerical schemes for the solution of the advective age equation in ice sheets
Ralf Greve; Yongqi Wang; Bernd Mügge
Annals of Glaciology, 35, 487, 494, 2002年, [査読有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Asymptotic theories of large-scale motion, temperature, and moisture distribution in land-based polythermal ice sheets: A critical review and new developments
Dambaru R. Baral; Kolumban Hutter; Ralf Greve
Applied Mechanics Reviews, 54, 3, 215, 256, American Society of Mechanical Engineers, 2001年05月, [査読有り], [最終著者], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌), A review is given of the theory of polythermal ice sheets, ie, ice masses of which the ice has submelting temperatures in certain subdomains and is at the pressure melting point in other subdomains. Cold ice is treated as a non-linearly viscous heat conducting fluid, temperate ice as a mixture of ice at the melting point and melt-water diffusing through the ice matrix. Cold and temperate ice are separated by a non-material singular Stefan-type surface. We repeat and partly amend the complicated field equations and boundary conditions as derived in the literature. These equations are subjected to a scale analysis that makes the creeping flow conditions and the shallow geometries of land-based ice sheets explicit. The small aspect ratio ε — typical depth to horizontal distance over which the geometry and/or stresses change appreciably — suggests a perturbation approach for a possible analytical or numerical solution which has been pursued to include second-order terms O(ε^2). The lowest-order O(ε^0) model equations, known as the shallow-ice approximation (SIA), are asymptotically valid in the entire ice sheet domain except a small marginal zone provided the topographic variations are shallow, ie, possess wave height to wavelength ratios that are O(ε^1) and the constitutive relation for the stress deviator exhibits finite viscosity at zero effective shear stress (square root of second stress deviator invariant). We critically review earlier procedures and put them into the proper perspectives with regard to the original expansion procedures. We extend the zeroth-order theory to first and second order but present only those equations and deductions from them which lead to improved physical insight. In particular we derive stress formulas which show how the stresses depend on i) depth and surface slope, ii) surface topography and iii) stress deviator components, more complete than, and going beyond, known formulas of the literature. Finally we discuss numerically computed second-order stresses for the present state of the Greenland ice sheet. It turns out that they are typically three orders of magnitude smaller than the corresponding zeroth-order quantities, and that they are mainly determined by contributions due to zeroth-order stress deviators, rather than by topography effects. Their relative importance is largest close to the ice surface for the second-order pressure, and in the vicinity of ice domes for the horizontal, bed-parallel shear stresses. There are 229 references. - On the response of the Greenland ice sheet to greenhouse climate change
Ralf Greve
Climatic Change, 46, 3, 289, 303, 2000年08月, [査読有り], [招待有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Waxing and waning of the perennial north polar H2O ice cap of Mars over obliquity cycles
Ralf Greve
Icarus, 144, 2, 419, 431, 2000年04月, [査読有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Simulation of the Antarctic ice sheet with a three-dimensional polythermal ice-sheet model, in support of the EPICA project. II. Nested high-resolution treatment of Dronning Maud Land, Antarctica
Alexey Savvin; Ralf Greve; Reinhard Calov; Bernd Mügge; Kolumban Hutter
Annals of Glaciology, 30, 69, 75, 2000年, [査読有り], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Results from the EISMINT model intercomparison: the effects of thermomechanical coupling
A. J. Payne; P. Huybrechts; A. Abe-Ouchi; R. Calov; J. L. Fastook; R. Greve; S. J. Marshall; I. Marsiat; C. Ritz; L. Tarasov; M. P. A. Thomassen
Journal of Glaciology, 46, 153, 227, 238, 2000年, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Theory of shallow ice shelves
Magnus Weis; Ralf Greve; Kolumban Hutter
Continuum Mechanics and Thermodynamics, 11, 1, 15, 50, 1999年02月, [査読有り], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Deglaciation of the Northern Hemisphere at the onset of the Eemian and Holocene
Ralf Greve; Karl-Heinz Wyrwoll; Anton Eisenhauer
Annals of Glaciology, 28, 1, 8, 1999年, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Palaeoclimatic evolution and present conditions of the Greenland ice sheet in the vicinity of Summit: An approach by large-scale modelling
Ralf Greve; Magnus Weis; Kolumban Hutter
Paleoclimates: Data and Modelling, 2, 2-3, 133, 161, OPA (Overseas Publishers Association), 1998年, [査読有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌), Using the three-dimensional numerical model SICOPOLIS for polythermal land-based ice sheets in the shallow ice approximation, simulations are performed to determine the velocity, temperature and water-content distributions as well as the evolution of the free surface, the cold-temperate-transition surface (CTS) and the basal surface within the Greenland Ice Sheet through time for a climate driving as determined by the (smoothed) GRIP palaeotemperature record. The model is driven by the temperature at the free surface, the global sea level and the geothermal heat flow 5 km below the basal surface. It uses plausible parameterizations for the accumulation and ablation rates, the basal sliding law and the constitutive behaviour (power-law rheology), in which the fluidity difference between glacial and interglacial ice is accounted for by appropriate enhancement factors. Computations that cover 250,000 years of climate history are performed with various sets of parameters to find optimal present conditions when compared with available data. To this end a misfit index is defined, and parameterizations are chosen so as to minimize it. It is shown that dating the ice at depth is crucially dependent on the “flux of age” into the base. However, other parameterizations such as the geothermal heat flow or the basal drag in the sliding law etc. equally influence the present geometry of the ice sheet. We investigate the results of the best-fit simulation with particular attention to the vicinity of Summit, the highest point of the Greenland Ice Sheet at 72°34'N, 37°38'W, in whose vicinity the two deep ice cores GRIP and GISP2 were drilled. For these boreholes, time series for the ice thickness and the basal temperature, present temperature-depth profiles and present age-depth profiles are presented. Furthermore, the ice-surface topography and the ice thickness in the vicinity of Summit is shown, and a comparison with high-resolution RES data is performed. - Simulation of the Antarctic ice sheet with a three-dimensional polythermal ice-sheet model, in support of the EPICA project
Reinhard Calov; Alexey Savvin; Ralf Greve; Imke Hansen; Kolumban Hutter
Annals of Glaciology, 27, 201, 206, 1998年, [査読有り], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Application of a polythermal three-dimensional ice sheet model to the Greenland Ice Sheet: Response to steady-state and transient climate scenarios
Ralf Greve
Journal of Climate, 10, 5, 901, 918, 1997年05月, [査読有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - A continuum-mechanical formulation for shallow polythermal ice sheets
Ralf Greve
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 355, 1726, 921, 974, 1997年05月, [査読有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Large-scale ice-sheet modelling as a means of dating deep ice cores in Greenland
Ralf Greve
Journal of Glaciology, 43, 144, 307, 310, 1997年, [査読有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Modelled ice-sheet margins of three Greenland ice-sheet models compared with a geological record from ice-marginal deposits in central West Greenland
Frank G. M. van Tatenhove; Adeline Fabré; Ralf Greve; Philippe Huybrechts
Annals of Glaciology, 23, 52, 58, 1996年, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌), Ice-sheet modelling is an essential tool for estimating the effect of climate change on the Greenland ice sheet. The large spatial and long-term temporal scales of the ice-sheet model limits the amount of data which can be used to test model results. The geological record is useful because it provides test material on the time-scales typical for the memory of ice sheets (millennia). This paper compares modelled ice-margin positions with a geological scenario of ice-margin positions since the Last Glacial Maximum to the present in West Greenland. Morphological evidence of ice-margin positions is provided by moraines. Moraine systems are dated by 14C-dated marine shells and terrestrial peat. Three Greenland ice-sheet models are compared. There are distinct differences in modelled ice-margin positions between the models and between model results and the geological record. Disagreement between models and the geological record in the near-coastal area is explained by the inadequate treatment of marginal processes in a tide-water environment. A smaller than present ice sheet around the warm period in the Holocene (Holocene climatic optimum) only occurs if such a period appears in the forcing (ice-core record) or used temporal resolution. Smoothing of the GRIP record with a 2000 year average eliminates the climatic signal related to the Holocene climatic optimum. This underlines the importance of short-term and medium-term variations (decades, centuries) in climatic variables in determining ice-margin positions in the past but also in the future. - The EISMINT benchmarks for testing ice-sheet models
Philippe Huybrechts; Anthony J. Payne; EISMINT Intercomparison Group (including Ralf Greve)
Annals of Glaciology, 23, 1, 12, International Glaciological Society, 1996年, [査読有り], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌), We present a series of benchmark experiments designed for testing and comparing numerical ice-sheet models. Following the outcome of two EISMINT workshops organized to intercompare large-scale ice-sheet models currently in operation, model benchmark experiments ate described for ice sheets under fixed and moving margin conditions. These address both steady-state and time-dependent behaviour under schematic boundary conditions and with prescribed physics. A comparison was made of each model’s prediction of basic geophysical variables such as ice thickness, velocity and temperature. Consensus achieved in the model inter-comparison provides reference solutions against which the accuracy and consistency of ice-sheet modelling codes can be assessed. - Polythermal modelling of steady states of the Antarctic ice sheet in comparison with the real world
Imke Hansen; Ralf Greve
Annals of Glaciology, 23, 382, 387, International Glaciological Society, 1996年, [査読有り], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌), An approach to simulate the present Antarctic ice sheet with reaped to its thermomechanical behaviour and the resulting features is made with the three-dimensional polythermal ice-sheet model designed by Greve and Hutter. It treats zones of cold and temperate ice as different materials with their own properties and dynamics. This is important because an underlying layer of temperate ice can influence the ice sheet as a whole, e.g. the cold ice may slide upon the less viscous binary ice water mixture.
Measurements indicate that the geothermal heat flux below the Antarctic ice sheet appears to be remarkably higher than the standard value of 42 mW/m2 that is usually applied for Precambrian shields in ice-sheet modelling. Since the extent of temperate ice at the base is highly dependent on this heat input from the lithosphere, an adequate choice is crucial for realistic simulations. We shall present a series of steady-state results with varied geothermal heat flux and demonstrate that the real ice-sheet topography can be reproduced fairly well with a value in the range 50–60 mW/m2. Thus, the physical parameters of ice (especially the enhancement factor in Glen’s flow law) as used by Greve (1995) for polythermal Greenland ice-sheet simulations can be adopted without any change. The remaining disagreements may he explained by the neglected influence of the ice shelves, the rather coarse horizontal resolution (100 km), the steady-state assumption and possible shortcomings in the parameterization of the surface mass balance. - Dynamic/thermodynamic simulations of Laurentide ice-sheet instability
Ralf Greve; Douglas R. MacAyeal
Annals of Glaciology, 23, 328, 335, International Glaciological Society, 1996年, [査読有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌), A crucial element of several leading theories of Laurentide ice-sheet instability (i.e. Heinrich events and advance/retreat cycles of the southern margin) is the evolution of melting conditions at the subglacial bed. Despite the great importance basal-temperature conditions play in these theories, relatively little has been done to test their physical plausibility. We therefore undertake a numerical model study of the ice-sheet temperature field along an important transect which extends from the lobate southern margin of the Laurentide ice sheet to the iceberg-calving from at the terminus of Hudson Strait. Our experiments illustrate the influence of important aspects of ice-sheet thermodynamics on ice-sheet instability, including horizontal advection and the development of an internal temperate-ice reservoir. Free oscillations of the basal temperature and ice thickness in Hudson Strait are possible under a restricted range of parameters elucidated by the model. These free oscillations may provide a basis for understanding ice-sheet instability, e.g. Heinrich events, with time-scales in the range of 10^3–10^4 a. - Application of a polythermal ice sheet model to the Antarctic ice sheet: Steady-state solution and response to Milankovic cycles
Imke Hansen; Ralf Greve; Kolumban Hutter
Proceedings of the 5th International Symposium on Thermal Engineering and Sciences for Cold Regions (ed. Y. Lee and W. Hallett), 89, 96, 1996年, [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(国際会議プロシーディングス) - Polythermal three-dimensional modelling of the Greenland ice sheet with varied geothermal heat flux
Ralf Greve; Kolumban Hutter
Annals of Glaciology, 21, 8, 12, 1995年, [査読有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Unconfined flow of granular avalanches along a partly curved surface. II. Experiments and numerical computations
Thilo Koch; Ralf Greve; Kolumban Hutter
Proceedings of the Royal Society A, 445, 1924, 415, 435, 1994年05月, [査読有り], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Unconfined flow of granular avalanches along a partly curved surface. I. Theory
Ralf Greve; Thilo Koch; Kolumban Hutter
Proceedings of the Royal Society A, 445, 1924, 399, 413, 1994年05月, [査読有り], [筆頭著者], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Motion of a granular avalanche in a convex and concave curved chute: experiments and theoretical predictions
Ralf Greve; Kolumban Hutter
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 342, 1666, 573, 600, 1993年03月, [査読有り], [筆頭著者], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌) - Two-dimensional similarity solutions for finite-mass granular avalanches with Coulomb- and viscous-type frictional resistance
Kolumban Hutter; Ralf Greve
Journal of Glaciology, 39, 132, 357, 372, 1993年, [査読有り], [最終著者], [国際誌]
英語, 研究論文(学術雑誌)
- Predicting the long-term mass loss of the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets
Ralf Greve, 低温研ニュース, 53, 12, 14, 2022年07月, [招待有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国内誌]
北海道大学低温科学研究所, 英語, 記事・総説・解説・論説等(大学・研究所紀要) - ISMIP6 future projections for the Greenland ice sheet with the model SICOPOLIS
Ralf Greve; Christopher Chambers; Reinhard Calov, Zenodo, 3971251, 2020年09月, [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際共著], [国際誌]
The Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6 (ISMIP6) brings together a consortium of international ice-sheet and climate modellers to simulate the contribution from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets to future sea-level rise. In this document (supplementary to Goelzer et al. 2020, doi: 10.5194/tc-14-3071-2020), we describe the ISMIP6 Greenland Tier-1 and Tier-2 experiments carried out with the ice-sheet model SICOPOLIS. First, we conduct a paleoclimatic spin-up over the last glacial-interglacial cycle until the year 1990. In this spin-up, we employ a nudging technique for the topography and aim at optimizing the match between simulated and observed surface velocities by adjusting the amount of basal sliding for individual drainage systems. Then, we carry out a historical run to bridge the gap between 1990 and 2015. The future climate projections run from the beginning of 2015 until the end of 2100. The simulated mass loss by 2100 is 133.0 ± 40.7 mm SLE (mean ± 1-sigma uncertainty; SLE: sea-level equivalent) for the RCP8.5/SSP5-8.5 pathway that represents "business as usual", and it is 48.6 ± 6.2 mm SLE for the RCP2.6/SSP1-2.6 pathway that represents substantial emissions reductions. The large difference between the results for the two pathways highlights the importance of efficient climate change mitigation for limiting sea-level rise. Further, results obtained with forcings from the newer CMIP6 global climate models consistently produce larger mass losses than those obtained with the older CMIP5 global climate models., CERN / OpenAIRE / European Commission, 英語, 機関テクニカルレポート,技術報告書,プレプリント等 - ISMIP6 future projections for the Antarctic ice sheet with the model SICOPOLIS
Ralf Greve; Reinhard Calov; Takashi Obase; Fuyuki Saito; Shun Tsutaki; Ayako Abe-Ouchi, Zenodo, 3971232, 2020年09月, [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際共著], [国際誌]
The Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6 (ISMIP6) brings together a consortium of international ice-sheet and climate modellers to simulate the contribution from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets to future sea-level rise. In this document (supplementary to Seroussi et al. 2020, doi: 10.5194/tc-14-3033-2020), we describe the ISMIP6 Antarctica Tier-1 and Tier-2 experiments carried out with the ice-sheet model SICOPOLIS. First, we conduct a paleoclimatic spin-up over the last glacial-interglacial cycle until the year 1990. In this spin-up, we employ a nudging technique for the topography and aim at optimizing the match between simulated and observed surface velocities by adjusting the amount of basal sliding for individual drainage systems. Then, we carry out a historical run to bridge the gap between 1990 and 2015. The future climate projections run from the beginning of 2015 until the end of 2100. Results reveal a non-uniform response of the Antarctic ice sheet: for both employed future climate scenarios (RCP8.5/SSP5-8.5, RCP2.6/SSP1-2.6), mass losses and gains occur, depending on the specific forcing (provided by CMIP5 and CMIP6 global climate models). This is due to the counteracting effects of increasing ocean temperature (leading to a loss) and increasing precipitation (leading to a gain). For RCP8.5/SSP5-8.5, the ensemble mean is a mass loss of 18.5 mm SLE (sea-level equivalent) by 2100, and for RCP2.6/SSP1-2.6 it is 8.4 mm SLE. However, the uncertainty range is quite large, including the possibility of a mass loss of more than 100 mm SLE under RCP8.5/SSP5-8.5., CERN / OpenAIRE / European Commission, 英語, 機関テクニカルレポート,技術報告書,プレプリント等 - Ice sheets, global warming and sea level
Ralf Greve, Proceedings of the 18th Chitose International Forum on Photonics Science & Technology, 12, 17, 2018年07月, [招待有り]
英語, 記事・総説・解説・論説等(国際会議プロシーディングズ) - Simulations of the present state and future evolution of the Greenland ice sheet with the model SICOPOLIS
Ralf Greve, 低温研ニュース, 45, 8, 9, 2018年06月, [招待有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国内誌]
北海道大学低温科学研究所, 英語, 記事・総説・解説・論説等(大学・研究所紀要) - CO2 glaciers on the South Polar Layered Deposits of Mars
Ian B. Smith; Eric Larour; Nathan E. Putzig; Ralf Greve; Nicole-Jeanne Schlegel, Sixth International Conference on Mars Polar Science and Exploration. LPI Contribution No. 1926, 6072, 2016年09月, [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 速報,短報,研究ノート等(大学,研究機関紀要) - Promoting international, multidisciplinary efforts in detecting and understanding high-latitude changes, and searching for their global impacts
Igor V. Polyakov; Robert Bolton; Ralf Greve; Jenny Hutchings; Seong-Joong Kim; Yongwon Kim; Sang H. Lee; Tetsuo Ohata; Fuyuki Saito; Atsuko Sugimoto; Rikie Suzuki, Polar Science, 8, 2, 53, 56, 2014年, [国際共著]
Elsevier, 英語, 記事・総説・解説・論説等(学術雑誌) - 氷上のステップ地形に関する実験的研究
横川美和; 泉典洋; 内藤健介; 山田朋人; GREVE Ralf, 土木学会論文集 B1(水工学), 69, 4, I.1129, I.1134, 2013年, [最終著者], [国内誌]
The spiral troughs observed on the surface of Mars' north polar ice cap show upstream-migrating structures, which indicate that those may possibly be cyclic steps formed by a density current created by cooling of the atmosphere due to the ice. It can be useful to estimate the formative process of the Mars' polar ice cap and thus the climatic history of Mars using the analogues of cyclic steps on the Earth. In this study, we have performed a series of physical experiments aimed at the formation of cyclic steps on ice by flowing fluid. Temperature distribution plays a quite important role for the formation and development of step topography on the ice surface, and was set as ice < fluid < ambient air in this experiment. As a result, step topography was formed on the ice except the case whose Fr is lowest, i.e., 0.76, and the steps generally developed upstream direction. The results of the present experiment agree with the mathematical model describing the evolution of the ice surface by flowing fluid., 土木学会, 日本語, 研究発表ペーパー・要旨(全国大会,その他学術会議) - 過去と将来の気候における火星の水氷堆積物の進化に関する数値シミュレーション
グレーベ ラルフ, 研究助成事業・研究成果報告書, 59, 64, 2012年07月, [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国内誌]
英語, 機関テクニカルレポート,技術報告書,プレプリント等 - Stratigraphic and modeling evidence in support of a young age for the North Polar Layered Deposits, Mars
J. W. Holt; R. Greve; I. B. Smith; L. E. Steel; T. C. Cowan, 43rd Lunar and Planetary Science Conference. LPI Contribution No. 1659, 2879, 2012年03月, [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 速報,短報,研究ノート等(大学,研究機関紀要) - Glaciation of Mars from 10 million years ago until 10 million years into the future simulated with the model MAIC-2
Ralf Greve; Björn Grieger; Oliver J. Stenzel, Fifth International Conference on Mars Polar Science and Exploration. LPI Contribution No. 1631, 6004, 2011年09月, [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際共著], [国際誌]
英語, 速報,短報,研究ノート等(大学,研究機関紀要) - 過去と将来の気候における南極氷床の変動と力学的挙動に関する数値シミュレーション
グレーベ ラルフ; 杉山 慎, 研究助成事業・研究成果報告書, 49, 53, 2010年06月, [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国内誌]
英語, 機関テクニカルレポート,技術報告書,プレプリント等 - 気候変動に伴う火星の極氷床の進化と動力学
グレーベ ラルフ, 研究助成事業・研究成果報告書, 37, 41, 2008年05月, [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国内誌]
英語, 機関テクニカルレポート,技術報告書,プレプリント等 - Book review: "Mass Balance of the Cryosphere: Observations and Modelling of Contemporary and Future Changes", J. L. Bamber and A. J. Payne (Eds.), 2004, 662 pp., Cambridge University Press
Ralf Greve, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 87, 12, 1759, 1760, 2006年12月, [招待有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際誌]
American Meteorological Society, 英語, 書評論文,書評,文献紹介等 - Scenarios for the formation of Chasma Borealis, Mars
Ralf Greve, Fourth International Conference on Mars Polar Science and Exploration. LPI Contribution No. 1323, 8002, 2006年, [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際誌]
英語, 速報,短報,研究ノート等(大学,研究機関紀要) - Klimarekonstruktion aus dem Eis großer Eisschilde
Kolumban Hutter; Ralf Greve; Reinhard Calov, Thema Forschung (Darmstadt University of Technology, Germany), 2/2003, 24, 32, 2003年, [招待有り], [国内誌]
ドイツ語, 記事・総説・解説・論説等(大学・研究所紀要) - Kommt die Klimakatastrophe?
Ralf Greve, Der Gesundheitsberater (Organ der Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsberatung GGB e.V., Lahnstein, Germany), 2/02, 8, 10, 2002年, [招待有り], [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国内誌]
ドイツ語, 記事・総説・解説・論説等(大学・研究所紀要) - Klima und Klimaänderungen
Martin Claussen; Ralf Greve; Ulrich Cubasch, Wissenschaftliche Mitteilungen aus dem Institut für Meteorologie der Universität Leipzig, Sonderheft zum Jahr der Geowissenschaften -- Atmosphäre, 44, 50, 2002年, [招待有り], [国内誌]
ドイツ語, 記事・総説・解説・論説等(大学・研究所紀要) - Ice flow, isostasy and gravity anomaly of the permanent north polar H2O ice cap of Mars
Ralf Greve; Volker Klemann; Detlef Wolf, Second International Conference on Mars Polar Science and Exploration. LPI Contribution No. 1057, 51, 52, 2000年, [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際誌]
英語, 速報,短報,研究ノート等(大学,研究機関紀要) - Dynamic/thermodynamic simulations of the north polar ice cap of Mars
Ralf Greve, First International Conference on Mars Polar Science and Exploration. LPI Contribution No. 953, 13, 15, 1998年, [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際誌]
英語, 速報,短報,研究ノート等(大学,研究機関紀要) - Auswirkungen des Treibhauseffektes auf das grönländische Eisschild
Ralf Greve, VESGO Mitteilungen (Verein zur Erforschung und zum Schutz der Gewässer Ottendorf, Germany), 1/96, 16, 17, 1996年, [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国内誌]
ドイツ語, 速報,短報,研究ノート等(大学,研究機関紀要) - EGIG line simulations with a 2-d polythermal ice sheet model
Ralf Greve, Open File Series (Geological Survey of Greenland, Copenhagen, Denmark), 94/13, 47, 49, 1994年, [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際誌]
英語, 速報,短報,研究ノート等(大学,研究機関紀要) - An improved polythermal ice sheet model
Ralf Greve, Open File Series (Geological Survey of Greenland, Copenhagen, Denmark), 93/5, 22, 24, 1993年, [筆頭著者, 責任著者], [国際誌]
英語, 速報,短報,研究ノート等(大学,研究機関紀要)
- Expedition Erde. Wissenswertes und Spannendes aus den Geowissenschaften (4th Edition)
Martin Claussen; Ralf Greve; Ulrich Cubasch, Was ist eigentlich Klima? Klima und Klimaänderungen
MARUM Bibliothek, 2015年07月, 9783000490453, 352-359, ドイツ語, 一般書・啓蒙書, [国際共著], [分担執筆] - Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
J. A. Church; P. U. Clark; A. Cazenave; J. M. Gregory; S. Jevrejeva; A. Levermann; M. A. Merrifield; G. A. Milne; R. S. Nerem; P. D. Nunn; A. J. Payne; W. T. Pfeffer; D. Stammer; A. S. Unnikrishnan; 57 contributing authors including R. Greve, Sea level change
Cambridge University Press, 2013年09月, 1137-1216, 英語, 調査報告書, [国際共著], [分担執筆] - Expedition Erde. Wissenswertes und Spannendes aus den Geowissenschaften (3rd Edition)
Martin Claussen; Ralf Greve; Ulrich Cubasch, Was ist eigentlich Klima? Klima und Klimaänderungen
MARUM Bibliothek, 2010年10月, 9783000307720, 326-333, ドイツ語, 一般書・啓蒙書, [国際共著], [分担執筆] - Continuum Mechanics, Fluids, Heat
Swantje Bargmann; Hakime Seddik; Ralf Greve, On a thermodynamically consistent flow model for induced anisotropy in polar ice
WSEAS Press, 2010年02月, 9789604741588, 114-119, 英語, 学術書, [国際共著], [分担執筆] - Dynamics of Ice Sheets and Glaciers
Ralf Greve; Heinz Blatter
Springer, 2009年08月, 9783642034145, 287 pp., 英語, 教科書・概説・概論, [国際共著], [共著] - 地球温暖化の科学
グレーベ ラルフ, 地球温暖化と陸域雪氷の役割、および海水準上昇
北海道大学出版会, 2007年, 9784832981812, 105-112, 日本語, 教科書・概説・概論, [分担執筆] - Kontinuumsmechanik. Ein Grundkurs für Ingenieure und Physiker
Ralf Greve
Springer, 2003年, 3540007601, 302 pp., ドイツ語, 教科書・概説・概論, [単著] - Continuum Mechanics and Applications in Geophysics and the Environment
Ralf Greve, Glacial isostasy: Models for the response of the Earth to varying ice loads
Springer, 2001年, 3540416609, 307-325, 英語, 学術書, [分担執筆] - Continuum Mechanics and Applications in Geophysics and the Environment
Brian Straughan; Ralf Greve; Harald Ehrentraut; Yongqi Wang
Springer, 2001年, 3540416609, 393 pp., 英語, 学術書, [国際共著], [共編者(共編著者)] - Advances in Cold-Region Thermal Engineering and Sciences
Bernd Mügge; Alexey A. Savvin; Reinhard Calov; Ralf Greve, Numerical age computation of the Antarctic ice sheet for dating deep ice cores
Springer, 1999年, 3540663339, 307-318, 英語, 学術書, [分担執筆] - Advances in Cold-Region Thermal Engineering and Sciences
Ralf Greve; Bernd Mügge; Dambaru R. Baral; Olaf Albrecht; Alexey A. Savvin, Nested high-resolution modelling of the Greenland Summit region
Springer, 1999年, 3540663339, 285-306, 英語, 学術書, [分担執筆]
- 氷床数値モデル開発と氷床変動に関する研究
グレーべ ラルフ
日本雪氷学会・雪氷研究大会, 2022年10月04日, 英語, 口頭発表(招待・特別)
[招待講演], [国内会議] - History and Japanese contribution to the International Association of Cryospheric Sciences IACS
Ralf Greve
日本地球惑星科学連合2019年大会, 2019年05月30日, 英語, 口頭発表(招待・特別)
[招待講演], [国際会議] - Ice sheets, global warming and sea level
Ralf Greve
千歳光科学国際フォーラム, 2017年10月10日, 英語, 口頭発表(招待・特別)
千歳科学技術大学, [招待講演], [国際会議] - Ice sheet modelling and applications to Greenland, Antarctica and the Martian polar caps
Ralf Greve
Australasian Fluid Mechanics Conference, 2012年12月04日, 英語, 口頭発表(基調)
[招待講演], [国際会議] - Ice sheet modelling and applications to the past, present and future glaciation of the Earth
Ralf Greve
IPICS (International Partnerships in Ice Core Sciences) Open Science Conference, 2012年10月02日, 英語, 口頭発表(基調)
[招待講演], [国際会議] - Glaciation of Mars from 10 million years ago until 10 million years into the future simulated with the model MAIC-2
Ralf Greve; Björn Grieger; Oliver J. Stenzel
日本地球惑星科学連合2012年大会, 2012年05月24日, 英語, 口頭発表(招待・特別)
[招待講演], [国際会議], [国際共著] - Cooperation between the Nordic countries and Japan in advanced ice sheet and glacier modelling
Ralf Greve; Thomas Zwinger
Northern Environmental Research Symposium, Hokkaido University Sustainability Weeks, 2011年10月31日, 英語, 口頭発表(招待・特別)
[招待講演], [国際会議], [国際共著] - Do the Martian Polar Layered Deposits flow, now or in the past?
D. Fisher; W. Durham; R. Greve; J. Holt; C. Hvidberg; S. Milkovich
Fifth International Conference on Mars Polar Science and Exploration, 2011年09月12日, 英語, シンポジウム・ワークショップパネル(指名)
[招待講演], [国際会議], [国際共著] - SeaRISE: Modelling the present-day state and future evolution of the Greenland Ice Sheet with the models SICOPOLIS and IcIES
Ralf Greve; Fuyuki Saito; Ayako Abe-Ouchi
AGU (American Geophysical Union) Fall Meeting, 2010年12月, 英語, 口頭発表(招待・特別)
[招待講演], [国際会議] - Implementation of ice shelf dynamics and marine ice dynamics in the ice sheet model SICOPOLIS
Ralf Greve; Tatsuru Sato; Thorben Dunse
International Glaciological Conference "Ice and Climate Change: A View from the South", 2010年02月, 英語, 口頭発表(招待・特別)
[招待講演], [国際会議], [国際共著] - Dynamic/thermodynamic modelling of the Antarctic Ice Sheet with the focus on the vicinity of Dome Fuji
Ralf Greve; Hakime Seddik; Thomas Zwinger; Luca Placidi
2nd International Symposium on the Dome Fuji Ice Core and Related Topics, 2009年11月, 英語, 口頭発表(招待・特別)
[招待講演], [国際会議], [国際共著] - Dynamic/thermodynamic modelling of ice sheets in changing climates
Ralf Greve
International Symposium "Frontiers of Low Temperature Science", Hokkaido University Sustainability Weeks, 2009年11月, 英語, 口頭発表(招待・特別)
[招待講演], [国際会議] - Decay of the Greenland Ice Sheet due to surface-meltwater-induced acceleration of basal sliding
Ralf Greve
Nuuk Climate Days: Changes of the Greenland Cryosphere Workshop & International Symposium on the Arctic Freshwater Budget, 2009年08月, 英語, 口頭発表(招待・特別)
[招待講演], [国際会議] - Increased future sea level rise due to rapid decay of the Greenland Ice Sheet?
Ralf Greve
IAMAS-IAPSO-IACS Joint Assembly (MOCA-09), 2009年07月, 英語, 口頭発表(招待・特別)
[招待講演], [国際会議] - Rapid decay of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets?
Ralf Greve
Sentinel Earth, Detection of Environmental Change, 2008年07月, 英語, 口頭発表(招待・特別)
[招待講演], [国際会議] - Dynamic/thermodynamic modeling of the Gorshkov crater glacier at Ushkovsky volcano, Kamchatka
Ralf Greve; Thomas Zwinger; Olivier Gagliardini; Evgeny Isenko; Erik Edelmann; Hakime Seddik
AGU (American Geophysical Union) Fall Meeting, 2007年12月, 英語, 口頭発表(招待・特別)
[招待講演], [国際会議], [国際共著] - Simulation of the north and south polar caps of Mars over climate cycles
Ralf Greve
AOGS (Asia Oceania Geosciences Society) 2nd Annual Meeting, 2005年06月, 英語, 口頭発表(招待・特別)
[招待講演], [国際会議] - Evolution and dynamics of the Greenland ice sheet over past glacial-interglacial cycles and in future climate-warming scenarios
Ralf Greve
5th International Conference on Global Change: Connection to the Arctic (GCCA-5), 2004年11月, 英語, 口頭発表(招待・特別)
[招待講演], [国際会議]
- 理論雪氷学特論, 2024年, 修士課程, 環境科学院
- 地球雪氷学実習Ⅱ, 2024年, 修士課程, 環境科学院
- 地球雪氷学実習Ⅰ, 2024年, 修士課程, 環境科学院
- 大学院共通授業科目(一般科目):自然科学・応用科学, 2024年, 修士課程, 大学院共通科目
- 大学院共通授業科目(教育プログラム):南極学, 2024年, 修士課程, 大学院共通科目
- 国際科学コミュニケーション法特論, 2024年, 修士課程, 環境科学院
- 地球雪氷学基礎論, 2024年, 修士課程, 環境科学院
■ Works(作品等)
- SICOPOLIS
Ralf Greve; SICOPOLIS Authors, 1992年03月 - 現在, SICOPOLIS (SImulation COde for POLythermal Ice Sheets, www.sicopolis.net) is a 3D model that simulates the evolution, dynamics and thermodynamics of large ice sheets and ice caps., [コンピュータソフト], [国際共著] - MAIC-2
Ralf Greve; Björn Grieger; Oliver J. Stenzel, 2007年10月 - 2013年02月, The Mars Atmosphere-Ice Coupler MAIC-2 is a simple, latitudinal model that consists of a set of parameterizations for the surface temperature, the atmospheric water transport and the surface mass balance (condensation minus evaporation) of water ice. It is driven directly by the orbital parameters obliquity, eccentricity and solar longitude of perihelion., [コンピュータソフト], [国際共著]
- グリーンランド氷床の将来の質量減少をシミュレーションするためのモデル物理学の改善、境界条件の改善、統計的手法の採用
リーダーシップ研究助成
2024年04月 - 2025年03月
グレーベ ラルフ
低温科学研究所, 北海道大学, 研究代表者, 競争的資金, [国際共著] - 北極域における沿岸環境の変化とその社会影響
北極域研究加速プロジェクト(ArCS II)
2020年06月 - 2025年03月
杉山 慎; et al.
文部科学省, 研究分担者, JPMXD1420318865 - 気象気候予測と予測手法の高度化
北極域研究加速プロジェクト(ArCS II)
2020年06月 - 2025年03月
羽角 博康; et al.
文部科学省, 研究分担者, JPMXD1420318865 - 南極氷床・海洋・気候の統合的モデリング
科学研究費助成事業 新学術領域研究(研究領域提案型)
2017年06月 - 2022年03月
阿部 彩子; 吉森 正和; 草原 和弥; 齋藤 冬樹; 岡 顕; グレーベ ラルフ
◆南極氷床モデリング:氷床モデルを南極用に設定し海洋ー氷床相互作用や底面過程を改良した。さらに将来予測実験ISMIP6の実行に向けた準備を行なった。棚氷底面融解を外力とする氷床の定常・非定常実験を実施。・気候モデルによる温暖化実験結果を入力に用いた実験や、長時間スケールの氷床変動再現実験を開始した。・南極変動に関わる古気候氷床実験を実施。モデルの不確定性の評価を行った。
◆南極氷床の質量収支解析:・MIROCの降水量や気温や大気循環に関するデータによるモデル検証を行い。20世紀再現バイアスなどとの関係を調べた。
◆南大洋モデリング:・氷期の数値実験に基づいて物理環境など各要素の再現性についての検討を進める。・底層水班と連携した南大洋における底層水形成や海氷分布などの検討を行った。生態系班と連携した南大洋での生物ポンプ過程の検討。氷床・気候班と連携した氷床コアによるCO2濃度データとモデル結果との直接の比較、氷期CO2低下の理解に向けた研究を進めた。過去及び将来における海洋酸性化に関する数値実験を実施した。氷期のCO2のモデリングについて論文執筆を進める一方、氷期から退氷期の実験の準備を進めた。
◆長期気候-氷床モデリング:過去数百万年の気候と氷床の変化に関して大気海洋結合モデルMIROCの結果と南極氷床モデルを組み合わせた長期気候-氷床モデル実験を準備し、固体地球班との連携による古気候データとの比較検討によって、南極氷床と気候の変動メカニズムを調べた。
日本学術振興会, 新学術領域研究(研究領域提案型), 東京大学, 研究分担者, 競争的資金, 17H06323 - 過去の大規模な気候変動における氷床・海洋・大気の相互作用の解明
科学研究費助成事業 基盤研究(S)
2017年05月 - 2022年03月
阿部 彩子; 大河内 直彦; 吉森 正和; 齋藤 冬樹; 藤田 耕史; グレーベ ラルフ; 川村 賢二
大気海洋結合モデルや氷床モデル、植生モデル、海洋物質循環モデル、同位体モデルに関して、過去150万年の氷床や気候、海洋のシミュレーションにとって必要な開発改良課題に取り組み、古気候指標と直接比較可能にするモデリング体制作りを開始した。
これまでに実施した北半球氷床の過去40万年の計算を過去80万年に拡張した。氷期から間氷期への移行の条件と考えられる地球軌道要素や二酸化炭素濃度を変化させ、氷床と気候の計算を実施することで、それぞれの役割の時代による違いを定量化する。更に、過去150万年のモデリングに着手し、約100万年前に氷期サイクルが4万年周期から10万年周期へ遷移した原因とメカニズムに迫る為の様々な感度実験を計画し、実験を開始した。
最終退氷期を含む複数の退氷期において連続的非定常の実験をMIROCを用いて行い、退氷期における氷床-海洋-大気の相互作用についての感度実験を実施した。その結果、北大西洋での風と海氷の相互作用が海洋深層循環と気候の維持に重要であることがわかった。また最終退氷期については、IcIES-MIROCを用いて北大西洋へ流入する氷床融解水のシナリオを調べ、MIROCに与える氷床融解水量を様々に変える実験を行った。氷床と海洋、気候の相互作用を分析することで、様々な問題を解明している途中である。
平均気候の決定条件である二酸化炭素濃度や軌道要素を変化させる感度実験を多数実施し、振動の発生や維持の条件を詳細に調べた。深層循環やグリーンランドの気温、中低緯度の降水量について振動の2つのモードを解析するとともに、海洋炭素循環モデルによって海水中の炭素同位体を計算し、データとの直接比較を行った。海洋深層循環の外的要因に対する応答の性質をその多重構造に着目して解き明かすため、様々な二酸化炭素濃度や軌道要素の条件下で、淡水流入を増減させる実験を実施した。
日本学術振興会, 基盤研究(S), 東京大学, 研究分担者, 競争的資金, 17H06104 - Modelling the future mass loss of the Greenland ice sheet due to atmospheric and oceanic changes
リーダーシップ研究助成
2020年04月 - 2021年03月
グレーベ ラルフ; チェンバース クリストフアー; 阿部 彩子; 齋藤 冬樹; HUMBERT Angelika
低温科学研究所, 北海道大学, 研究代表者, 競争的資金, [国際共著] - Projecting discharge from the Greenland ice sheet using climatic forcings derived from atmosphere-ocean models
科研費基盤研究(A)
2016年04月 - 2020年03月
グレーベ ラルフ; 杉山 慎; 齋藤 冬樹; 榎本 浩之; 東 久美子
日本学術振興会, 北海道大学, 研究代表者, 競争的資金 - グリーンランドにおける気候・氷床変動
北極域研究推進プロジェクト(ArCS)
2015年10月 - 2020年03月
東 久美子; et al.
文部科学省, 研究分担者 - グリーンランドにおける氷河氷床・海洋相互作用
北極域研究推進プロジェクト(ArCS)
2015年10月 - 2020年03月
杉山 慎; et al.
文部科学省, 研究分担者 - 急激な気候変動の大気中二酸化炭素濃度への依存性の解明
科学研究費助成事業
2017年04月01日 - 2018年03月31日
阿部 彩子; 吉森 正和; 齋藤 冬樹; Greve Ralf; 川村 賢二
本研究、基盤研究A「急激な気候変動の大気中二酸化炭素濃度への依存度の解明」では、数千年周期で繰り返す急激な気候変動について、
大気海洋結合モデルを用いて再現し、大気中二酸化炭素濃度を変化させて気候と深層海洋循環の定常応答を調べる感度実験を行い、急激な気候変動が起こりやすい条件を明らかにしようとすること、
そして、氷期から間氷期への移行における大気・海洋・氷床の相互作用を複数のモデルの結合により再現し、過去150万年の氷期サイクルの卓越周期が4万年から10万年に移り変わった原因やプロセスを提示することを目指している。
H29年の2ヶ月で、大気海洋結合モデル(MIROC)と氷床モデル、植生モデル、海洋炭素循環モデルを統合的に用いた数値実験に着手した。
また、大気海洋結合モデルを用いて再現し、大気中二酸化炭素濃度を変化させて気候と深層海洋循環の異なる応答を調べる感度実験を数多く実行している段階である。
今後の研究目標は、基盤研究S「過去の大規模な気候変動における氷床・海洋・気候の相互作用の解明」(代表阿部彩子)で達成していく予定である。
日本学術振興会, 基盤研究(A), 東京大学, 17H00778 - GPUによって加速化された氷床モデリング用プログラムの開発と応用
特別研究員奨励費
2015年04月 - 2017年03月
グレーベ ラルフ; セディック ハキム
日本学術振興会, 北海道大学, 研究代表者, 競争的資金 - 地球システムモデリングによる急激な気候変動と氷期サイクルとの相互作用の解明
科学研究費助成事業 基盤研究(A)
2013年04月 - 2016年03月
阿部 彩子; グレーベ ラルフ; 川村 賢二; 吉森 正和; 齋藤 冬樹; 羽角 博康; 芳村 圭; 大河内 直彦; 岡 顕; 奥野 淳一
10 万年周期で交代する氷期サイクルの究極的要因を調べる為に最新の氷床―気候モデルを用いたシミュレーションを行なった。その結果、氷期サイクルは日射変化に対して気候システムが応答し、大気-氷床-地殻の相互作用によりもたらされたものであると突き止めた。また、大気中の二酸化炭素は氷期サイクルに伴って変動し、その振幅を増幅させる働きがあるが、主体的に10 万年周期を生み出しているわけではないことも分かった。これらの結果は気候変動のの理解を深め、地球温暖化予測に用いられる氷床-気候モデルの信頼性を検証する上で重要な意義がある。また、より普遍的に過去の気候変動の原因を解き明かす道筋が出来た。
日本学術振興会, 基盤研究(A), 東京大学, 研究分担者, 競争的資金, 25241005 - グリーンランド氷床Qaanaaq 流域の近年および将来の変動に関するモデル開発と数値実験
リーダーシップ研究助成
2014年04月 - 2015年03月
グレーベ ラルフ; セディック ハキム; 阿部 彩子; 杉山 慎; 齋藤 冬樹; ZWINGER Thomas
低温科学研究所, 北海道大学, 研究代表者, 競争的資金, [国際共著] - 過去と将来の気候における南極氷床の変動と力学的挙動に関する数値シミュレーション
科研費基盤研究(A)
2010年04月 - 2014年03月
グレーベ ラルフ; 阿部 彩子; 杉山 慎; 藤田 秀二; 本山 秀明; 齋藤 冬樹
日本学術振興会, 北海道大学, 研究代表者, 競争的資金 - 過去と将来の気候における火星の水氷堆積物の進化に関する数値シミュレーション
リーダーシップ研究助成
2011年04月 - 2012年03月
グレーベ ラルフ; GRIEGER Björn; STENZEL Oliver J.
低温科学研究所, 北海道大学, 研究代表者, 競争的資金, [国際共著] - 地球温暖化に応じてのグリーンランドの氷床の急速で動的な変化のシミュレーション
特別研究員奨励費
2008年10月 - 2010年10月
グレーベ ラルフ; セディック ハキム
日本学術振興会, 北海道大学, 研究代表者, 競争的資金 - 過去と将来の気候における南極氷床の変動と力学的挙動に関する数値シミュレーション
リーダーシップ研究助成
2009年04月 - 2010年03月
グレーベ ラルフ; 杉山 慎; 阿部 彩子; 藤田 秀二; HUMBERT Angelika; KIRCHNER Nina; 本山 秀明; 齋藤 冬樹; セディック ハキム; ZWINGER Thomas
低温科学研究所, 北海道大学, 研究代表者, 競争的資金, [国際共著] - 氷床における氷の異方性と高速氷流、およびその気候変動との関係性
科研費基盤研究(B)
2006年04月 - 2009年03月
グレーベ ラルフ; 杉山 慎
This project dealt with two hot topics in current climatological research on ice sheets, induced anisotropy and fast ice flow, by means of numerical modelling. A new versatile, three-dimensional computer model "Elmer/Ice" for flowing ice masses was developed, which solves the full-Stokes equations. Within Elmer/Ice, induced anisotropy is described by the "CAFFE model". The CAFFE model was applied to the site of the EDML ice core at Kohnen Station in east Antarctica, for which the measured surface velocity and fabrics profile could be reproduced well. Elmer/Ice with the CAFFE model was applied to a 200×200km window around the Dome Fuji ice core in central east Antarctica. The main findings of the simulations were : (i)the flow regime at Dome Fuji is a complex superposition of vertical compression, horizontal extension and bed-parallel shear ; (ii)for a geothermal heat flux of 60mW m^<-2> the basal temperature at Dome Fuji reaches the pressure melting point ; (iii)the fabric shows a weak single maximum at Dome Fuji ; (iv)the basal age is smaller where the ice is thicker and larger where the ice is thinner. As a spin-off study, Elmer/Ice was also applied to the Gorshkov crater glacier at Ushkovsky volcano, Kamchatka, which is characterized by an unusually large aspect ratio and a very high geothermal heat flux. Simulations of the Greenland ice sheet were carried out with R. Greve's ice-sheet model SICOPOLIS. It was found that(i)the present-day North-East Greenland Ice Stream(NEGIS)shows basal sliding enhancement by the factor three compared to the surrounding, slowly flowing ice, and(ii)ice-dynamical processes(basal sliding accelerated by surface meltwater)can speed up the decay of the ice sheet significantly, but not catastrophically in the 21st century and beyond. Modelling with Elmer/Ice of the flow regime of the Antarctic drainage system from Dome Fuji to Shirase Glacier is still ongoing. One doctoral thesis(Mr. Hakime Seddik)and one master thesis(Ms. Shoko Otsu)were completed at Hokkaido University within this project.
日本学術振興会, 基盤研究(B), 北海道大学, 研究代表者, 競争的資金, 18340135 - 気候変動に伴う火星の極氷床の進化と動力学
リーダーシップ研究助成
2005年04月 - 2007年03月
グレーベ ラルフ; GRIEGER Björn; STENZEL Oliver J.
低温科学研究所, 北海道大学, 研究代表者, 競争的資金, [国際共著] - 極地氷床における物理過程の解明とそれに基づく気候、環境変動史の高分解能解析
科学研究費助成事業 学術創成研究費
2002年04月 - 2007年03月
本堂 武夫; グレーベ ラルフ; 飯塚 芳徳; 藤田 秀二; 堀 彰; 亀田 貴雄; 白岩 孝行; 成田 英器
本研究は、氷床における様々な微物理過程と巨視的な氷床過程を融合する新たな研究領域として、Nanoglaciologyを創成すると共に、各地で採取された氷コアの高分解能解析を実施し、種々のシグナルの意味と信頼性を明らかにすることを目的として行われた。当初設定した研究課題をほぼすべて達成し、課題によっては当初想定以上の成果を挙げることができた。研究成果の要点は以下の通りである。
1.表層における物質移動と成層構造の形成過程:種々の手法を複合的に駆使して、フィルンにおける圧密過程と表層の層構造が深部に伝搬するメカニズムを明らかにした。また、SEM-EDSおよび顕微RAMANを用いて、イオン種の大部分が硫酸塩などの塩として固体微粒子の状態で存在し、塩生成反応の最終生成物とイオンバランスの関係を反応生成ダイヤグラムとしてまとめて表現できることを示した。
2.気泡-ハイドレート遷移過程と気体分別:深部で気泡からクラスレート・ハイドレートに遷移する過程で、ハイドレートの新たな核生成過程を明らかにし、ハイドレートの層状分布が堆積微粒子の季節変動を反映することを示した。また、ハイドレートの成長過程と気体分別およびそれらが大気組成データに与える影響を明らかにした。
3.結晶組織の発達過程と氷床流動:これまでの流動モデルで無視されてきた結晶方位分布の異方性を取り込んだ流動モデルの定式化を行った。このモデルを南極DML地点に適用すると、異方性を考慮した場合、水平流動速度は数倍大きくなり、この異方性の効果が極めて大きいことを示した。
4.氷床における電波伝播特性とレーダー探査:氷床内部の酸性不純物層や氷結晶組織の異方性分布を探査する新たなレーダーシステムによって、氷床内部の結晶組織分布などの画期的な情報抽出に成功し、氷コアによる1地点のデータを広域に拡大すること、および上記流動モデルとの対比を可能にした。
日本学術振興会, 学術創成研究費, 北海道大学, 研究分担者, 競争的資金, 14GS0202
学術貢献活動
- Modelling and Observations of Glaciers and Ice Sheets
2025年07月21日 - 2025年07月22日
パネル司会・セッションチェア等
大会・シンポジウム等
IAMAS, IACS, IAPSO
Busan, South Korea, Convenor of session C08 "Modelling and Observations of Glaciers and Ice Sheets", BACO-25 (Busan IAMAS-IACS-IAPSO Joint Assembly), [国際学術貢献] - Fast Glacier Flow: Processes, Observations and Modelling of Ice Streams, Tidewater Glaciers and Surging Glaciers
2023年07月16日
パネル司会・セッションチェア等
大会・シンポジウム等
International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG)
Berlin, Germany, Co-convenor of session C04 "Fast Glacier Flow: Processes, Observations and Modelling of Ice Streams, Tidewater Glaciers and Surging Glaciers", IUGG General Assembly, [国際学術貢献] - Fast Glacier Flow: Processes, Observations and Modelling of Ice Streams, Tidewater Glaciers and Surging Glaciers
2019年07月10日
パネル司会・セッションチェア等
大会・シンポジウム等
International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG)
Montreal, Canada, Co-convenor of session C05 "Fast Glacier Flow: Processes, Observations and Modelling of Ice Streams, Tidewater Glaciers and Surging Glaciers", IUGG General Assembly, [国際学術貢献] - Cold Flows
2016年06月06日
パネル司会・セッションチェア等
大会・シンポジウム等
International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG)
Paris, France, Co-convenor of session 2d "Cold Flows", IUGG Conference on Mathematical Geophysics, [国際学術貢献] - ILTS International Symposium on Low Temperature Science
2015年11月30日 - 2015年12月02日
企画立案・運営等
大会・シンポジウム等
低温科学研究所
札幌, Head of the Local Organizing Committee, ILTS International Symposium on Low Temperature Science, [国際学術貢献] - Planetary Physics
2015年06月26日
パネル司会・セッションチェア等
大会・シンポジウム等
International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG)
Prague, Czechia, Co-convenor of session JS1 "Planetary Physics", IUGG General Assembly, [国際学術貢献] - Solar System Exploration of Atmospheres with Ground-Based and Space-Based Platforms
2015年06月24日
パネル司会・セッションチェア等
大会・シンポジウム等
International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG)
Prague, Czechia, Co-convenor of session M09 "Solar System Exploration of Atmospheres with Ground-Based and Space-Based Platforms", IUGG General Assembly, - Linking Cryospheric Observations and Modeling
2014年12月19日
パネル司会・セッションチェア等
大会・シンポジウム等
American Geophysical Union (AGU)
San Francisco, USA, Co-convenor of session C51B/C54A "Linking Cryospheric Observations and Modeling",
AGU Fall Meeting, [国際学術貢献]
- Reduced mass loss from the Greenland ice sheet under stratospheric aerosol injection, and some general considerations about pros and cons of geoengineering techniques
2024年03月07日
講師
国際雪氷学会
IGS Global Seminar
オンライン
大学生, 大学院生, 研究者 - Of cold ice, warm ice and water: thermodynamics of ice sheets and glaciers
2021年10月13日
講師
国際雪氷学会
IGS Global Seminar
オンライン
大学生, 大学院生, 研究者 - How to write strong KAKENHI proposals
2019年09月25日
司会
北海道大学
KAKENHI Seminar in English
北海道大学創生科学研究棟
大学院生, 研究者 - How to write strong KAKENHI proposals
2018年09月25日
司会
北海道大学
KAKENHI Seminar in English
北海道大学創生科学研究棟
大学院生, 研究者 - How to write strong KAKENHI proposals
2017年10月03日
司会
北海道大学
KAKENHI Seminar in English
北海道大学シオノギ創薬イノベーションセン ター
大学院生, 研究者 - How to write strong KAKENHI proposals
2016年09月21日
司会
北海道大学
KAKENHI Seminar in English
北海道大学創生科学研究棟
大学院生, 研究者 - Tips for writing strong KAKENHI proposals
2016年07月25日
講師
ユーラクセス・ジャパン
Boost your Career: Grants in Practice
駐日欧州連合代表部、東京
大学院生, 研究者 - Practical tips on writing proposals
2015年09月24日
司会
北海道大学
KAKENHI Seminar in English
北海道大学学術交流会館
大学院生, 研究者 - How to give a great scientific presentation
2014年07月14日
司会
English Engineering Education (e3) Program
北海道大学工学部
大学生, 大学院生 - Ice sheets and climate change
2014年05月18日
講師
千歳科学技術大学
4th meeting of the German JSPS Club in Japan
千歳科学技術大学
研究者 - Global warming and icy environments
2008年11月15日
司会
北海道大学CoSTEP
International Science Cafe
レストラン「みんたる」、札幌
高校生, 大学生, 社会人・一般
- Geoengineering may slow Greenland ice sheet loss
2024年01月30日
Hokkaido University
Research Press Release
[インターネットメディア] - 成層圏へのエアロゾル噴射による氷床の変化を予測〜グリーンランド氷床の体積減少を大幅に抑制できることが判明〜
2024年01月11日
北海道大学
プレスリリース(研究発表)
[インターネットメディア] - Greenland ice sheet may halve in volume by year 3000
2022年03月14日
Hokkaido University
Research Press Release
[インターネットメディア] - 3000年に海面5.3m上昇・南極氷床の変動予測
2022年02月02日
日刊工業新聞
[新聞・雑誌] - 南極融解、1000年先まで?海面上昇で東京も浸水リスク
2022年01月30日
日本経済新聞
[新聞・雑誌] - Melting of the Antarctic ice sheet could cause multi-meter rise in sea levels by the end of the millennium
2021年12月22日
Hokkaido University
Research Press Release
[インターネットメディア] - Possible 1,000-kilometer-long river running deep below Greenland’s ice sheet
2020年11月12日
Hokkaido University
Research Press Release
[インターネットメディア] - New estimates for the rise in sea levels due to ice sheet mass loss under future climate change
2020年09月17日
Hokkaido University
Research Press Release
Japan, [インターネットメディア]
